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Updated 11:50am.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Race 2 - 6f Clm - Play
A - #3 Grace Is a Beauty (9/5) - the speed horse in the race with good beyers - WIN $2.60
B - #5 Amelia Rose (8-1) - will be coming late and some pace will help, exotics
C - #1 Miss Glengar (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses -3
Suggest Plays:
$4 - 3 / 5 = $4 - HIT $9.20
$2 - 3 / 1 = $2
Race 4 - 6f Clm - Action+
A - #5 Irish Irene (9/5) - trnr is 33% off the claim and horse has run #'s that put her in the mix here - WIN $4.80
B - #7 Midian (3-1) - takes a nice class drop from open company, very likely
C - #6 Will n' Pat (2-1) - has run good beyers, but has not run well at this distance or at Pim
D - #3 One More Son (20-1) - exotics boost only
E - #1 Slewdious (15-1) - exotics boost only
Multi-Race Horses - 5,7,6
Suggest Plays:
Race 7 - 5f Mister Diz Stakes TURF - Play
A - #3 Ben's Cat (1/5) - this guy can close and has tons of class over these, he is 4 of 7 at Pim and 12 of 18 at this distance, look for him to arrive on the scene late with a head of steam - WIN $2.40
B - #8 Capital Fellow (12-1) - he'll be running hard on the front end in his 1st out in 2014, hopefully he can hang on to finish in the exotics at a price
C - #1 A P Elvis (15-1) - has some class and is 2 for 3 at Pim
D - #7 Relentless Move (15-1) - like the post position and the early speed, has never been out of Exacta on the Pim turf and is 5 for 11 at this distance
Multi-Race Horses - 3,8
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 3 / 8,1 = $4
$1 - 3 / 7 = $1
$1 - 3,8 / 3,8 = $2
Race 8 - 1-1/16mi The Twixt Stakes - Play
A - #2 Inspired Say Eye (4-1) - like the post and may get an uncontested lead
B - #4 Steady N Love (Even) - good beyers and class, should make it a race in the stretch
C - #1 Charlie Renee (8/5) - ran a nice beyer last out, will need to work out a trip
D - #3 Turf Craze (8-1) - exotics booster
Multi-Race Horses - 2,4
Suggest Plays:
$5 - 2 / 4 = $5
$3 - 2 / 1 = $3
$1 - 4,1 / 2 = $2
Race 9 - 1mi Dahlia Stakes TURF - Action+
A - #8 Divine Luck (10-1) - McGaughey trained mare is taking a step up in class and will need a good trip, but Sheldon Russell who is a good turf jockey gets the mount. Will need a slight step up on the beyer scale, but is capable
B - #1 Joy (3-1) - solid beyers and class, owns a win over this course and at this distance
C - #2 Zucchini Flower (4-1) - has got some class in non graded stakes, good beyers and I always like Graham Motion on the turf
D - #3 Embarr (7/2) - won this event last year, will need to recover some good form to repeat here. She is 3 for 4 on this Pimilco course and has won 4 out of 9 at this distance - WIN
E - #5 Too Clever by Half (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 8,1,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 8 / 1,2 = $4
$1 - 8 / 3 = $1
$1 - 1,2 / 8 = $1
$1 - 8,1,2 / 8,1,2 = $6
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