Thursday, June 20, 2013

Colonial Downs 6-20-2013 - Races 1,2,4-7

Pre Scratches.  I will be unable to update for scratches as I will be at the track today, but I have listed alternate horses to use in case of scratches. 
 
Card Notes-

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Multirace Bets-



Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF MSW - Play
A - #1 Sunbaked (5-1) - drops from higher priced open MSW, showed brief speed last out
B - #4 Lady Olivia (2-1) - short price on a horse that has never sprinted and is running for the first time in 7 months, but does show a good work tab and the presence of Russell encourages
C - #7 Cherry Road (12-1) - scratched yesterday, so will run today, has speed, but maybe a cut below
D - #2 Said in Silence (5/2) - drops from open MSW
E - #10 Class Gogo (15-1) 

Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#3 Trout Lily (20-1)
#8 Royal Circus (20-1) 

Multi-Race Horses-
1,4,7

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays: 
$3 - 1 / 4 / 7 = $3
$2 - 1 / 7 / 4 = $2
$3 - 4 / 1 / 7 = $3
$1 - 1,4 / 1,4 / 7,2,10 = $6
$0.50 - 1,4 / 7,2,10 / 7,2,10 = $6
$0.50 - 1.4 / 7,2,10 / 1,4 = $3



Race 2 - 1-1/16mi INNER TURF Clm - Weak
A - #4 Smoothe Landing (7/2) - runs well and close to par on turf
B - #1 Hatta (3-1) - has run well on turf in past
C - #8 Moonovermanhattan (12-1) - first on turf, but bred well
D - #3 Sugah Sweet (6-1)
E - #6 Wadocashski (8-1)

Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#9 Golly Gin (9/2)
#2 Fly Unitedly (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
4,1,8,3,6

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays: 



Race 4 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #9 Brand New Moves (7/2) - class drops from open company, has drilled par for this class several times, Boyce is riding well at this meet too
B - #3 Whiskey Keg (4-1) - class drop, has run to par, likely
C - #8 Silber Stern (5-1) - has been run against much better, huge class drop, has speed
D - #5 Bakyt (6-1)
E - #4 Prince Robear (12-1)

Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#2 Francesco Punch (5-1)
#1 What a Wildcat (12-1) 

Multi-Race Horses-
9,3,8

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
$2 - 9 / 3 / 8 = $5
$1 - 9 / 8 / 3 = $1
$1 - 3 / 9 / 8 - $1
$0.50 - 9 / 3,8,5,4 / 3,8,5,4 = $6
$.50 -3,8 / 9 / 3,8,5,4 = $3
$.50 - 3,8 / 3,8,5,4 / 9 = $3



Race 5 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #11 Veritas Man (5/2) - has shown speed which could win it here
B - #4 Try the Impossible (8-1) - first out, but is well bred
C - #2 Stake the Claim (15-1) - first out with a decent last work
D - #3 More Glitter (20-1)
E - #10 Winning Quest (4-1)

Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#5 Lady E (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-  
11,4,2,3

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays: 



Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #10 Bettymo (5/2) - has had some close seconds
B - #3 Runway (10-1) - drops from MSW
C - #4 Heart and Seek (7/2) - solid work tab for first outer, presence of Russell encourages
D - #1 Bucaramanga (5-1)
E - #9 Mshomecomingqueen (8-1)

Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#7 Nikoldini (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 
10,3,4,1

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays: 


Race 7 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Boatyard (9/5) - class drops, well bred with good records, but will have to beat older horses
B - #7 Silent Tale (10-1) - decent finish last turf out, will need some pace
C - #4 Irunalatte (20-1) - class drop, but has only won 1 in 16 on turf
D - #13 Jewelian 'n Roses (5-1) - ran a big # last turf out, will need to repeat that to win
E - #9  Bocono (6-1) - well bred for turf

Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#12 Tooth N Claw (15-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 
5,7,4

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
$2 - 5 / 7 / 4 = $2
$1 - 5 / 7,4,13 / 7,4,13 = $6
$0.50 - 5 / 7,4,13,9 / 7,4,13,9 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 5 / 7,4,13,9 = $3
$0.50 - 7,4 / 7,4,13,9 / 5 = $3

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