Colonial Downs 6-19-2013 - Races 1,3-7

Updated 5:21pm.
 
Card Notes-

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 7,2 / 7,4 / 6,1 = $4
$0.50 - 7 / 7,4,10 / 6,1,3 = $4.50
$0.50 - 7,2,3 / 7 / 6,1,3 = $4.50
$0.50 - 7,2,3 / 7,4,10 / 6 = $4.50


Race 1 - 1-1/16 mi INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #6 Miss Nunn Finer (12-1) - well bred for turf, had trouble last time out on turf, should improve
B - #12 Work It Out (5-1) - 1st out in 2013, runs well at Cnl, class drop from MSW
C - #11 Rattle Awhile (6-1)
D - #5 Grace of God (10-1)
E - #8 Motown Mambo (15-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
6,12,11,5

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 


Race 3 - 6-1/2f DIRT MSW - Play
A - #7 Herthum (5/2) - first out in 2013, but works suggest ready and big class drop from last out
B - #2 C F's Bullet (12-1) - has every right to turn things around from green effort last out, esp. with Hamilton Smith in his corner, lots of value
C - #3 Time of the Sword (3-1) - first out, well bred, exotics use
D - #1 Wild Kiss (10-1)
E - #9 Street Shark (9/2) 

Multi-Race Horses-
7,2,3

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 
$2 - 7 / 2 / 3 = $2
$1 - 7,2 / 7,2,3  / 7,2,3 = $4
$0.50 - 7 / 2,3,1,9 / 2,3,1,9 = $6
$0.50 - 2,3 / 7,2,3 / 7,2,3,1,9 = $6 



Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Nag Nag Nag (5/2) - class drop, has run well at dist and Cnl, should get first jump on leaders
B - #4 Heavy Favorite (4-1) - can sit close if pace is slow, get class relief and should move fwd from last out, past turf #'s good
C - #10 Prom Queen (2-1) - may go for early lead, but is 0 for 5 on turf at this distance not a horse I want as my top selection at a short price, 2nd out 2013
D - #1 Ken Sing a Song (15-1) - past turf #'s suggest she could mix it up with these and at a price, value
E - #11 - Boastful Dancer (15-1) - should be in exotics mix if runs to best, but poor effort last out is a concern 

Multi-Race Horses-
7,4,10

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:
$5 - 7 / 4 / 10 = $5
$3 - 7 / 10 / 4 = $3
$2 - 4 / 7 / 10 - $2
$0.50 - 7 / 4,10,1,11 / 4,10,1,11 = $6
$.50 - 4,10 / 7 / 4,10,1,11 = $3
$.50 - 4,10 / 4,10,1,11 / 7 = $3



Race 5 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 To Dubai (9/5) - class drop, speed, has run better than par
B - #1 E.J. Little Boy (7/2) - class drop, has bettered par a few times, but is 1 for 11 at distance
C - #3 Friskie J. (10-1)
D - #8 Deep Regret (8-1)
E - #9 Alta Boy (15-1)

Multi-Race Horses-  
6,1,3

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 
$3 - 6 / 1 / 3 = $3
$2 - 6 / 3 / 1 = $2
$2 - 1 / 6 / 3 = $2
$1 - 6,1 / 6,1 / 3,8,9 = $6
$0.50 - 6,1 / 3,8,9 / 3,8,9 = $6
$0.50 - 6,1 / 3,8,9 / 6,1 = $3



Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #10  Brahms (12-1) - closed well last out, slight class drop
B - #6 Pea Ridge (7/2) - 1st out 2013, but work suggest ready, adds blinkers
C - #12 Total Regs (10-1) - class drop, bred well for turf
D - #8 Rising Ember (12-1)
E - #7 Let's Drink On It (15-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 
10,6,12,8,7

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 


Race 7 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 Rhetoricalquestion (8-1) - runs better on turf, can show speed and this race lacks it
B - #7 Donttangowithmango (5/2) - gets lots of class relief from recent outs, should be around at finish
C - #5 Anime (8/5) - runs well at this distance, is all over par and class dropping, but off pace style could hurt here, chance if lays closer to pace
D - #1 Silentiary (5-1) - good beyers, should sit a stalking trip, just feel like others are a little better
E - #2 Printasticat (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 
6,7,5,1

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:
$1 - 6,7 / 6,7 / 5,1,2 = $6
$1 - 6 / 5 / 7,1,2 = $3
$.50 - 6 / 1 / 7,5,2 = $1.50
$.50 - 5 / 6,7 / 6,7 = $1