Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Colonial Downs 6-13-2013 - Full Card

CARD CANCELLED DUE TO POWER OUTAGE.

Card Notes-
Hopefully, we can dodge the thunderstorms and the track will stay firm.

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets


Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 2,3,4
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,14 / 7,4 = $4
$0.50 - 5 / 9,14,1 / 7,4,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,2,9 / 9 / 7,4,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,2,9 / 9,14,1 / 7 = $4.50 

Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 9,14 / 7,4 / 5,2 = $4
$0.50 - 9 / 7,4,1 / 5,2,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 9,14,1 / 7 / 5,2,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 9,14,1 / 7,4,1 / 5 = $4.50 

Daily Double - Races 4,5 
$1 - 7,4,1 / 5,2,1 = $9
$1 - 7,4 / 5,2 = $4
$1 - 7 / 5 = $1 


Race 1 - 5-1/2f TURF MSW - Action+
A - #7 Sunbaked (9/2) - class drop, comes off a due in last out with 2 good works, breeding suggest ok on turf
B - #8 Said in Silence (3-1) - class drop, is wheeling right back, beyers put in mix
C - #6 Lady Olivia (7/5) - is cutting back and 1st out in 2013, vulnerable favorite, good last work
D - #3 Reenie (15-1)
E - #2 Sherwood Outlaw (20-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

7,8,6

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:

$2 - 7,8 / 7,8,6= $8
$1 - 6 / 7,8 = $2 



Race 2 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Summer in Giza (5-1) - best early speed, may be able to wire
B - #2 Call Me Frankie (9/2) - 1st in 2013, but good last work, has run well at Cnl and distance
C - #9 Valter (3-1) - class drop and class relief from runnings in 2012
D - #4 Quetzalito (8-1)
E - #7 Castle Victory (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

5,2,9

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 

$3 - 5 / 2 / 9 = $3
$2 - 5 / 9 / 2 = $2
$2 - 2 / 5 / 9 = $2
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 9,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,4,7 / 9,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,4,7 / 5,2 = $3 



Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Play
A - #9 Curly Sue (7/5) - class drop, can show good early speed cutting back to sprint
B - #14 Spunky Country Gal (12-1) - class drop, bad trouble last out had to check hard lost all chance
C - #1 Campbell Creek (12-1) - class drop, but Ct runners don't win well here
D - #13 English Arms (8-1)
E - #3 Jackadee (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

9,14,1

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:

$2 - 9,14 / 9,14 = $4
$1 - 9,14 / 1,13,3 = $8



Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play 
A - #7 Jewelian 'n Roses (2-1) - good post, class drop, good early speed
B - #4 Cousin Brucy (3-1) - good work tab (esp last work) and sire does well with turf runners, like Russell
C - #1 Irunalatte (8-1) - Class drop, seems a cut below top 2 in here
D - #8 Hannibal Barca (6-1)
E - #5 Later Tater (20-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 

7,4,1

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:
 

$3 - 7 / 4 / 1 = $3
$2 - 7 / 1 / 4 = $2
$2 - 4 / 7 / 1 = $2
$1 - 7,4 / 7,4 / 1,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 1,8,5 / 1,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 1,8,5 / 7,4 = $3 



Race 5 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm -  Play
A - #5 Boatyard (7/5) - good post for style, dueled in last our, younger against older but very likely
B - #2 Available (7/2) - class drop, beyers a few lengths below par, will be running late
C - #1 Silent Tale (5-1) - can close, but is shipping from Ct, definitely a cut below
D - #4 Cap'n Raymond (12-1)
E - #3 Nighcut (12-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 

5,2,1

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 

$3 - 5 / 2 / 1 = $3
$2 - 5 / 1 / 2 = $2
$2 - 2 / 5 / 1= $2
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 1,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4,3 / 1,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4,3 / 5,2 = $3 



Race 6 - 1 mile INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #8 Page McKenney (8-1) - don't want the #2 on that layoff, Russell does his best work at Cnl with 1 mile Maidens
B - #5 Timeless Testament (6-1) - class drop, beyers ok but below par
C - #2 Last Hurrah (8/5) - would love if he wasn't coming off a 1-1/2 year layoff
D - #6 Marriage Fever (5/2)
E - #3 Calvary Raid (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-8,5,2,6

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:




Race 7 - 1-1/16 miles INNER TURF OC - Action
A - #3 Too Clever by Half (7/5) - may very well be the best and has beat this level, but 7/5 is short in this spot
B - #4 Pagan Priestess (4-1) - beyers have been within a few lengths of par
C - #5 Another Smokey (10-1) - has 2 wins at Cnl, should be running late
D - #7 Misty in Malibu (7/2) - best beyer was earned on the lead
E - #2 Cobbley's Breeze (9/2) - good beyers, but 1st out in 2013 with one published work

Multi-Race Horses-

3,4,5,7,2 - or single #3 Too Clever by Half can run his best

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 




Race 8 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #4 Appealynn (5/2) - class drop, beyer within a length of par
B - #13 Brahms Bracelet (8-1) - class drop
C - #8 D' lady Is Wild (6-1)
D - #6 Asian Invasion (9/2)
E - #14 Let's Drink On It (12-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

4

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:

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