Pre Scratches. I am not sure I will have time to update for scratches. Just in case I am listing alternate horses for each race.
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 1,2,3
$0.50 - 5,3 / 7,3 / 4,5 = $4
$0.50 - 5 / 7,3,6 / 4,5,6,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,3,2,4 / 7 / 4,5,6,2 = $8
$0.50 - 5,3,2,4 / 7,3,6 / 4 = $6
Race 1 - 1-1/16 mi INNER TURF Clm - Action
A - #5 Powerful Juju (8-1) - class drop, like last work, 2-3 in exacta at Cnl
B - #3 Emmara Gale (5/2) - class drop, time was a little better than Par at Pim 2 back
C - #2 Hit by a Hurricane (6-1) - class dropper can close
D - #4 Wicked Jazz (3-1)
E - #7 Rustify (12-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#8 Green Mint (7/2)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,3,2,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 2 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Gas Tank (4-1) - huge relief in class, runs well at Cnl, impressive md break here last year, good last work, may have best early SP, like the sire for turf
B - #3 Dutyhonorcountry (4/5) - big class relief, beyer's fit here
C - #6 Class Cap (5-1) - good recs at distance and Cnl, beyers put him a cut below best
D - #4 Summer in Giza (10-1)
E - #8 Afternoon Jazz (20-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#9 Super Brian (20-1)
#5 Ol' Henry (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,3,6
Race Notes-
#7 Gas Tank offers some value, esp. if he goes off at 4-1.
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 7 / 3 / 6 = $3
$2 - 7 / 6 / 3 = $2
$2 - 3 / 7 / 6 = $2
$1 - 7,3 / 7,3 / 6,4,8 = $6
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,4,8 / 6,4,8 = $6
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,4,8 / 7,3 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF sAlw - Action+
A - #4 Relentless Move (9/5) - beat better last out, 4-4 in Exacta at Cnl and 7-7 in Exacta at distance, class drop, should handle these
B - #5 Drunken Love (8/5) - nice class drop and records at distance and Cnl, potential to jump out to early lead
C - #6 R. Bee Ess (5-1) - class drop, beyer's fit and records at Cnl and distance are good, may sit a good trip if SP fails
D - #2 Book the Crook (15-1) - rates a huge upset at a nice price if a speed duel takes place
E - #3 Dont Blame the Cat (8-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#7 Hesagoldmine (15-1)
#1 Venture Capital (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4,5,6,2
Race Notes-
Another horse in here that could really upset if a speed duel takes place is the #7 Hesagoldmine. He's a cut below, but can really close late.
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF - Play
A - #3 Excessive Essence (7/2) - work suggest ready to fire, results 2 and 3 back say he can get the best of these, Russell will probably go for lead here
B - #9 D' Pepjo (3-1) - switching back to turf and 2nd off claim for 29% claiming trainer, class drop and has run to par previoulsy
C - #5 Gottalovethedrake (2-1) - slight class drop, but only 1 win in 14 starts at this distance on the turf leaves this horse very vulnerable, plus his style doesn't fit this inner turf
D - #6 Flyingtobechilders (8-1)
E - #8 Generation Speed (8-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#1 Star Maneuver (15-1)
#4 Bulaga (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
3,9,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 3 / 9 / 5 = $3
$2 - 3 / 5 / 9 = $2
$2 - 9 / 3 / 5 = $2
$1 - 3,9 / 3,9 / 5,6,8 = $6
$0.50 - 3,9 / 5,6,8 / 5,6,8 = $6
$0.50 - 3,9 / 5,6,8 / 3,9 = $3
Race 7 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF - Action+
A - #8 Mosaicist (9/5) - class drop and has finished well against much better, early speed, like last work and unlike a lot of these has run in 2013
B - #1 Caribbean Lady (3-1) - if I was going to bet any of these off layoffs it would be this one, has run better than par in the past and the work tab looks very solid, big contender
C - #1a Thisdanseistaken (3-1) - the lesser of the coupled entry, but is 3-3 at Cnl with class, but is coming off layoff
D - #5 Miss Oil (8-1) - another coming off a layoff
E - #4 Uno's Wild Angel (4-1) - comes from a 13 month layoff with just a few published works, maybe, but big questions
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#3 Lion Down by Me (12-1)
#7 Heaven Knows What (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
8,1-1a,5,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
No comments:
Post a Comment