Pre
Scratches. I will be unable to update for scratches.
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
None.
Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #6 Subtle Demeanor (4-1) - class drop MSW
B - #8 Campbell Creek (9/2) - better #'s have been on turf
C - #4 Polly's Pride (3-1) - first out, but has a nice work tab
D - #5 Sherwood Outlaw (5-1)
E - #1a Class Joy (9/2)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,4,8,5,1a
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 2 - 5f INNER TURF Clm - Action+
A
- #1 Military Mary (8-1) - is 2-0-1 out of 3 starts on the inner turf, 1 hole will play to style
B
- #3 Trappist Monk (5/2)
C - #8 Five Star Prince (5-1)
D - #4 Dylan My Villain (6-1)
E - #5 Tequila Rules (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1,3,8,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF OC - Action
A
- #7 Hold on Smokey (2-1) - is speed of race, but is in for a tag after a slow performance last out
B
- #3 Love Those Boots (4-1) - ran well last out to beat Clm 35K
C
- #2 Agonistic (8-1) - not sure there is enough pace to win, but will probably be in the mix
D - #6 Grain (30-1) - No turf experience, but is well bred
E - #1 Wire Funds (9/2) - in for a tag, but beat Alw 7500 3 starts back should be up close to the pace and is 8 of 13 in exacta on turf
Multi-Race Horses-
7,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 5 - 5f TURF Clm - Play
A
- #2 Crimson Comic (6/5) - closed well last out, most races have been against much better
B
- #8 Venture Capital (7/5) - class drop, should get a good trip from post
C
- #5 Copelan's Ridge (12-1) - may be the speed of race and could wire with easy lead, but I'm going with class and experienced riders over this speed
D - #4 Foralltheglory (15-1)
E - #3 Parker'sgoldencat (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
2,8,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 2 / 8 / 5 = $3
$2 - 2 / 5 / 8 = $2
$3 - 8 / 2 / 5 = $3
$1 - 8 / 5 / 2 = $1
$0.50 - 8,2 / 8,2,5 / 5,4,3 = $5
$0.50 - 8,2 / 5,4,3 / 8,2 = $3
$0.50 - 5 / 8,2 / 8,2,4 = $2
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Thursday, June 20, 2013
Colonial Downs 6-20-2013 - Races 1,2,4-7
Pre Scratches. I will be unable to update for scratches as I will be at the track today, but I have listed alternate horses to use in case of scratches.
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF MSW - Play
A - #1 Sunbaked (5-1) - drops from higher priced open MSW, showed brief speed last out
B - #4 Lady Olivia (2-1) - short price on a horse that has never sprinted and is running for the first time in 7 months, but does show a good work tab and the presence of Russell encourages
C - #7 Cherry Road (12-1) - scratched yesterday, so will run today, has speed, but maybe a cut below
D - #2 Said in Silence (5/2) - drops from open MSW
E - #10 Class Gogo (15-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#3 Trout Lily (20-1)
#8 Royal Circus (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1,4,7
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 1 / 4 / 7 = $3
$2 - 1 / 7 / 4 = $2
$3 - 4 / 1 / 7 = $3
$1 - 1,4 / 1,4 / 7,2,10 = $6
$0.50 - 1,4 / 7,2,10 / 7,2,10 = $6
$0.50 - 1.4 / 7,2,10 / 1,4 = $3
Race 2 - 1-1/16mi INNER TURF Clm - Weak
A - #4 Smoothe Landing (7/2) - runs well and close to par on turf
B - #1 Hatta (3-1) - has run well on turf in past
C - #8 Moonovermanhattan (12-1) - first on turf, but bred well
D - #3 Sugah Sweet (6-1)
E - #6 Wadocashski (8-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#9 Golly Gin (9/2)
#2 Fly Unitedly (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4,1,8,3,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 4 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #9 Brand New Moves (7/2) - class drops from open company, has drilled par for this class several times, Boyce is riding well at this meet too
B - #3 Whiskey Keg (4-1) - class drop, has run to par, likely
C - #8 Silber Stern (5-1) - has been run against much better, huge class drop, has speed
D - #5 Bakyt (6-1)
E - #4 Prince Robear (12-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#2 Francesco Punch (5-1)
#1 What a Wildcat (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
9,3,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 9 / 3 / 8 = $5
$1 - 9 / 8 / 3 = $1
$1 - 3 / 9 / 8 - $1
$0.50 - 9 / 3,8,5,4 / 3,8,5,4 = $6
$.50 -3,8 / 9 / 3,8,5,4 = $3
$.50 - 3,8 / 3,8,5,4 / 9 = $3
Race 5 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #11 Veritas Man (5/2) - has shown speed which could win it here
B - #4 Try the Impossible (8-1) - first out, but is well bred
C - #2 Stake the Claim (15-1) - first out with a decent last work
D - #3 More Glitter (20-1)
E - #10 Winning Quest (4-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#5 Lady E (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
11,4,2,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #10 Bettymo (5/2) - has had some close seconds
B - #3 Runway (10-1) - drops from MSW
C - #4 Heart and Seek (7/2) - solid work tab for first outer, presence of Russell encourages
D - #1 Bucaramanga (5-1)
E - #9 Mshomecomingqueen (8-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#7 Nikoldini (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
10,3,4,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Boatyard (9/5) - class drops, well bred with good records, but will have to beat older horses
B - #7 Silent Tale (10-1) - decent finish last turf out, will need some pace
C - #4 Irunalatte (20-1) - class drop, but has only won 1 in 16 on turf
D - #13 Jewelian 'n Roses (5-1) - ran a big # last turf out, will need to repeat that to win
E - #9 Bocono (6-1) - well bred for turf
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#12 Tooth N Claw (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,7,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 5 / 7 / 4 = $2
$1 - 5 / 7,4,13 / 7,4,13 = $6
$0.50 - 5 / 7,4,13,9 / 7,4,13,9 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 5 / 7,4,13,9 = $3
$0.50 - 7,4 / 7,4,13,9 / 5 = $3
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF MSW - Play
A - #1 Sunbaked (5-1) - drops from higher priced open MSW, showed brief speed last out
B - #4 Lady Olivia (2-1) - short price on a horse that has never sprinted and is running for the first time in 7 months, but does show a good work tab and the presence of Russell encourages
C - #7 Cherry Road (12-1) - scratched yesterday, so will run today, has speed, but maybe a cut below
D - #2 Said in Silence (5/2) - drops from open MSW
E - #10 Class Gogo (15-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#3 Trout Lily (20-1)
#8 Royal Circus (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1,4,7
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 1 / 4 / 7 = $3
$2 - 1 / 7 / 4 = $2
$3 - 4 / 1 / 7 = $3
$1 - 1,4 / 1,4 / 7,2,10 = $6
$0.50 - 1,4 / 7,2,10 / 7,2,10 = $6
$0.50 - 1.4 / 7,2,10 / 1,4 = $3
Race 2 - 1-1/16mi INNER TURF Clm - Weak
A - #4 Smoothe Landing (7/2) - runs well and close to par on turf
B - #1 Hatta (3-1) - has run well on turf in past
C - #8 Moonovermanhattan (12-1) - first on turf, but bred well
D - #3 Sugah Sweet (6-1)
E - #6 Wadocashski (8-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#9 Golly Gin (9/2)
#2 Fly Unitedly (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4,1,8,3,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 4 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #9 Brand New Moves (7/2) - class drops from open company, has drilled par for this class several times, Boyce is riding well at this meet too
B - #3 Whiskey Keg (4-1) - class drop, has run to par, likely
C - #8 Silber Stern (5-1) - has been run against much better, huge class drop, has speed
D - #5 Bakyt (6-1)
E - #4 Prince Robear (12-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#2 Francesco Punch (5-1)
#1 What a Wildcat (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
9,3,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 9 / 3 / 8 = $5
$1 - 9 / 8 / 3 = $1
$1 - 3 / 9 / 8 - $1
$0.50 - 9 / 3,8,5,4 / 3,8,5,4 = $6
$.50 -3,8 / 9 / 3,8,5,4 = $3
$.50 - 3,8 / 3,8,5,4 / 9 = $3
Race 5 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #11 Veritas Man (5/2) - has shown speed which could win it here
B - #4 Try the Impossible (8-1) - first out, but is well bred
C - #2 Stake the Claim (15-1) - first out with a decent last work
D - #3 More Glitter (20-1)
E - #10 Winning Quest (4-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#5 Lady E (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
11,4,2,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #10 Bettymo (5/2) - has had some close seconds
B - #3 Runway (10-1) - drops from MSW
C - #4 Heart and Seek (7/2) - solid work tab for first outer, presence of Russell encourages
D - #1 Bucaramanga (5-1)
E - #9 Mshomecomingqueen (8-1)
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#7 Nikoldini (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
10,3,4,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Boatyard (9/5) - class drops, well bred with good records, but will have to beat older horses
B - #7 Silent Tale (10-1) - decent finish last turf out, will need some pace
C - #4 Irunalatte (20-1) - class drop, but has only won 1 in 16 on turf
D - #13 Jewelian 'n Roses (5-1) - ran a big # last turf out, will need to repeat that to win
E - #9 Bocono (6-1) - well bred for turf
Alternate Horses- (in order of preference)
#12 Tooth N Claw (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,7,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 5 / 7 / 4 = $2
$1 - 5 / 7,4,13 / 7,4,13 = $6
$0.50 - 5 / 7,4,13,9 / 7,4,13,9 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 5 / 7,4,13,9 = $3
$0.50 - 7,4 / 7,4,13,9 / 5 = $3
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
Colonial Downs 6-19-2013 - Races 1,3-7
Updated 5:21pm.
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 7,2 / 7,4 / 6,1 = $4
$0.50 - 7 / 7,4,10 / 6,1,3 = $4.50
$0.50 - 7,2,3 / 7 / 6,1,3 = $4.50
$0.50 - 7,2,3 / 7,4,10 / 6 = $4.50
Race 1 - 1-1/16 mi INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #6 Miss Nunn Finer (12-1) - well bred for turf, had trouble last time out on turf, should improve
B - #12 Work It Out (5-1) - 1st out in 2013, runs well at Cnl, class drop from MSW
C - #11 Rattle Awhile (6-1)
D - #5 Grace of God (10-1)
E - #8 Motown Mambo (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,12,11,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 3 - 6-1/2f DIRT MSW - Play
A - #7 Herthum (5/2) - first out in 2013, but works suggest ready and big class drop from last out
B - #2 C F's Bullet (12-1) - has every right to turn things around from green effort last out, esp. with Hamilton Smith in his corner, lots of value
C - #3 Time of the Sword (3-1) - first out, well bred, exotics use
D - #1 Wild Kiss (10-1)
E - #9 Street Shark (9/2)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,2,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 7 / 2 / 3 = $2
$1 - 7,2 / 7,2,3 / 7,2,3 = $4
$0.50 - 7 / 2,3,1,9 / 2,3,1,9 = $6
$0.50 - 2,3 / 7,2,3 / 7,2,3,1,9 = $6
Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Nag Nag Nag (5/2) - class drop, has run well at dist and Cnl, should get first jump on leaders
B - #4 Heavy Favorite (4-1) - can sit close if pace is slow, get class relief and should move fwd from last out, past turf #'s good
C - #10 Prom Queen (2-1) - may go for early lead, but is 0 for 5 on turf at this distance not a horse I want as my top selection at a short price, 2nd out 2013
D - #1 Ken Sing a Song (15-1) - past turf #'s suggest she could mix it up with these and at a price, value
E - #11 - Boastful Dancer (15-1) - should be in exotics mix if runs to best, but poor effort last out is a concern
Multi-Race Horses-
7,4,10
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$5 - 7 / 4 / 10 = $5
$3 - 7 / 10 / 4 = $3
$2 - 4 / 7 / 10 - $2
$0.50 - 7 / 4,10,1,11 / 4,10,1,11 = $6
$.50 - 4,10 / 7 / 4,10,1,11 = $3
$.50 - 4,10 / 4,10,1,11 / 7 = $3
Race 5 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 To Dubai (9/5) - class drop, speed, has run better than par
B - #1 E.J. Little Boy (7/2) - class drop, has bettered par a few times, but is 1 for 11 at distance
C - #3 Friskie J. (10-1)
D - #8 Deep Regret (8-1)
E - #9 Alta Boy (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,1,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 6 / 1 / 3 = $3
$2 - 6 / 3 / 1 = $2
$2 - 1 / 6 / 3 = $2
$1 - 6,1 / 6,1 / 3,8,9 = $6
$0.50 - 6,1 / 3,8,9 / 3,8,9 = $6
$0.50 - 6,1 / 3,8,9 / 6,1 = $3
Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #10 Brahms (12-1) - closed well last out, slight class drop
B - #6 Pea Ridge (7/2) - 1st out 2013, but work suggest ready, adds blinkers
C - #12 Total Regs (10-1) - class drop, bred well for turf
D - #8 Rising Ember (12-1)
E - #7 Let's Drink On It (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
10,6,12,8,7
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 Rhetoricalquestion (8-1) - runs better on turf, can show speed and this race lacks it
B - #7 Donttangowithmango (5/2) - gets lots of class relief from recent outs, should be around at finish
C - #5 Anime (8/5) - runs well at this distance, is all over par and class dropping, but off pace style could hurt here, chance if lays closer to pace
D - #1 Silentiary (5-1) - good beyers, should sit a stalking trip, just feel like others are a little better
E - #2 Printasticat (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,7,5,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 6,7 / 6,7 / 5,1,2 = $6
$1 - 6 / 5 / 7,1,2 = $3
$.50 - 6 / 1 / 7,5,2 = $1.50
$.50 - 5 / 6,7 / 6,7 = $1
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 7,2 / 7,4 / 6,1 = $4
$0.50 - 7 / 7,4,10 / 6,1,3 = $4.50
$0.50 - 7,2,3 / 7 / 6,1,3 = $4.50
$0.50 - 7,2,3 / 7,4,10 / 6 = $4.50
Race 1 - 1-1/16 mi INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #6 Miss Nunn Finer (12-1) - well bred for turf, had trouble last time out on turf, should improve
B - #12 Work It Out (5-1) - 1st out in 2013, runs well at Cnl, class drop from MSW
C - #11 Rattle Awhile (6-1)
D - #5 Grace of God (10-1)
E - #8 Motown Mambo (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,12,11,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 3 - 6-1/2f DIRT MSW - Play
A - #7 Herthum (5/2) - first out in 2013, but works suggest ready and big class drop from last out
B - #2 C F's Bullet (12-1) - has every right to turn things around from green effort last out, esp. with Hamilton Smith in his corner, lots of value
C - #3 Time of the Sword (3-1) - first out, well bred, exotics use
D - #1 Wild Kiss (10-1)
E - #9 Street Shark (9/2)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,2,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 7 / 2 / 3 = $2
$1 - 7,2 / 7,2,3 / 7,2,3 = $4
$0.50 - 7 / 2,3,1,9 / 2,3,1,9 = $6
$0.50 - 2,3 / 7,2,3 / 7,2,3,1,9 = $6
Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Nag Nag Nag (5/2) - class drop, has run well at dist and Cnl, should get first jump on leaders
B - #4 Heavy Favorite (4-1) - can sit close if pace is slow, get class relief and should move fwd from last out, past turf #'s good
C - #10 Prom Queen (2-1) - may go for early lead, but is 0 for 5 on turf at this distance not a horse I want as my top selection at a short price, 2nd out 2013
D - #1 Ken Sing a Song (15-1) - past turf #'s suggest she could mix it up with these and at a price, value
E - #11 - Boastful Dancer (15-1) - should be in exotics mix if runs to best, but poor effort last out is a concern
Multi-Race Horses-
7,4,10
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$5 - 7 / 4 / 10 = $5
$3 - 7 / 10 / 4 = $3
$2 - 4 / 7 / 10 - $2
$0.50 - 7 / 4,10,1,11 / 4,10,1,11 = $6
$.50 - 4,10 / 7 / 4,10,1,11 = $3
$.50 - 4,10 / 4,10,1,11 / 7 = $3
Race 5 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 To Dubai (9/5) - class drop, speed, has run better than par
B - #1 E.J. Little Boy (7/2) - class drop, has bettered par a few times, but is 1 for 11 at distance
C - #3 Friskie J. (10-1)
D - #8 Deep Regret (8-1)
E - #9 Alta Boy (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,1,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 6 / 1 / 3 = $3
$2 - 6 / 3 / 1 = $2
$2 - 1 / 6 / 3 = $2
$1 - 6,1 / 6,1 / 3,8,9 = $6
$0.50 - 6,1 / 3,8,9 / 3,8,9 = $6
$0.50 - 6,1 / 3,8,9 / 6,1 = $3
Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #10 Brahms (12-1) - closed well last out, slight class drop
B - #6 Pea Ridge (7/2) - 1st out 2013, but work suggest ready, adds blinkers
C - #12 Total Regs (10-1) - class drop, bred well for turf
D - #8 Rising Ember (12-1)
E - #7 Let's Drink On It (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
10,6,12,8,7
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 Rhetoricalquestion (8-1) - runs better on turf, can show speed and this race lacks it
B - #7 Donttangowithmango (5/2) - gets lots of class relief from recent outs, should be around at finish
C - #5 Anime (8/5) - runs well at this distance, is all over par and class dropping, but off pace style could hurt here, chance if lays closer to pace
D - #1 Silentiary (5-1) - good beyers, should sit a stalking trip, just feel like others are a little better
E - #2 Printasticat (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
6,7,5,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 6,7 / 6,7 / 5,1,2 = $6
$1 - 6 / 5 / 7,1,2 = $3
$.50 - 6 / 1 / 7,5,2 = $1.50
$.50 - 5 / 6,7 / 6,7 = $1
Saturday, June 15, 2013
Colonial Downs 6-16-2013 - Races 1-3,6,7
Pre Scratches. I am not sure I will have time to update for scratches. Just in case I am listing alternate horses for each race.
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 1,2,3
$0.50 - 5,3 / 7,3 / 4,5 = $4
$0.50 - 5 / 7,3,6 / 4,5,6,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,3,2,4 / 7 / 4,5,6,2 = $8
$0.50 - 5,3,2,4 / 7,3,6 / 4 = $6
Race 1 - 1-1/16 mi INNER TURF Clm - Action
A - #5 Powerful Juju (8-1) - class drop, like last work, 2-3 in exacta at Cnl
B - #3 Emmara Gale (5/2) - class drop, time was a little better than Par at Pim 2 back
C - #2 Hit by a Hurricane (6-1) - class dropper can close
D - #4 Wicked Jazz (3-1)
E - #7 Rustify (12-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#8 Green Mint (7/2)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,3,2,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 2 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Gas Tank (4-1) - huge relief in class, runs well at Cnl, impressive md break here last year, good last work, may have best early SP, like the sire for turf
B - #3 Dutyhonorcountry (4/5) - big class relief, beyer's fit here
C - #6 Class Cap (5-1) - good recs at distance and Cnl, beyers put him a cut below best
D - #4 Summer in Giza (10-1)
E - #8 Afternoon Jazz (20-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#9 Super Brian (20-1)
#5 Ol' Henry (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,3,6
Race Notes-
#7 Gas Tank offers some value, esp. if he goes off at 4-1.
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 7 / 3 / 6 = $3
$2 - 7 / 6 / 3 = $2
$2 - 3 / 7 / 6 = $2
$1 - 7,3 / 7,3 / 6,4,8 = $6
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,4,8 / 6,4,8 = $6
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,4,8 / 7,3 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF sAlw - Action+
A - #4 Relentless Move (9/5) - beat better last out, 4-4 in Exacta at Cnl and 7-7 in Exacta at distance, class drop, should handle these
B - #5 Drunken Love (8/5) - nice class drop and records at distance and Cnl, potential to jump out to early lead
C - #6 R. Bee Ess (5-1) - class drop, beyer's fit and records at Cnl and distance are good, may sit a good trip if SP fails
D - #2 Book the Crook (15-1) - rates a huge upset at a nice price if a speed duel takes place
E - #3 Dont Blame the Cat (8-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#7 Hesagoldmine (15-1)
#1 Venture Capital (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4,5,6,2
Race Notes-
Another horse in here that could really upset if a speed duel takes place is the #7 Hesagoldmine. He's a cut below, but can really close late.
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF - Play
A - #3 Excessive Essence (7/2) - work suggest ready to fire, results 2 and 3 back say he can get the best of these, Russell will probably go for lead here
B - #9 D' Pepjo (3-1) - switching back to turf and 2nd off claim for 29% claiming trainer, class drop and has run to par previoulsy
C - #5 Gottalovethedrake (2-1) - slight class drop, but only 1 win in 14 starts at this distance on the turf leaves this horse very vulnerable, plus his style doesn't fit this inner turf
D - #6 Flyingtobechilders (8-1)
E - #8 Generation Speed (8-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#1 Star Maneuver (15-1)
#4 Bulaga (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
3,9,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 3 / 9 / 5 = $3
$2 - 3 / 5 / 9 = $2
$2 - 9 / 3 / 5 = $2
$1 - 3,9 / 3,9 / 5,6,8 = $6
$0.50 - 3,9 / 5,6,8 / 5,6,8 = $6
$0.50 - 3,9 / 5,6,8 / 3,9 = $3
Race 7 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF - Action+
A - #8 Mosaicist (9/5) - class drop and has finished well against much better, early speed, like last work and unlike a lot of these has run in 2013
B - #1 Caribbean Lady (3-1) - if I was going to bet any of these off layoffs it would be this one, has run better than par in the past and the work tab looks very solid, big contender
C - #1a Thisdanseistaken (3-1) - the lesser of the coupled entry, but is 3-3 at Cnl with class, but is coming off layoff
D - #5 Miss Oil (8-1) - another coming off a layoff
E - #4 Uno's Wild Angel (4-1) - comes from a 13 month layoff with just a few published works, maybe, but big questions
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#3 Lion Down by Me (12-1)
#7 Heaven Knows What (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
8,1-1a,5,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Card Notes-
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 1,2,3
$0.50 - 5,3 / 7,3 / 4,5 = $4
$0.50 - 5 / 7,3,6 / 4,5,6,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,3,2,4 / 7 / 4,5,6,2 = $8
$0.50 - 5,3,2,4 / 7,3,6 / 4 = $6
Race 1 - 1-1/16 mi INNER TURF Clm - Action
A - #5 Powerful Juju (8-1) - class drop, like last work, 2-3 in exacta at Cnl
B - #3 Emmara Gale (5/2) - class drop, time was a little better than Par at Pim 2 back
C - #2 Hit by a Hurricane (6-1) - class dropper can close
D - #4 Wicked Jazz (3-1)
E - #7 Rustify (12-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#8 Green Mint (7/2)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,3,2,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 2 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Gas Tank (4-1) - huge relief in class, runs well at Cnl, impressive md break here last year, good last work, may have best early SP, like the sire for turf
B - #3 Dutyhonorcountry (4/5) - big class relief, beyer's fit here
C - #6 Class Cap (5-1) - good recs at distance and Cnl, beyers put him a cut below best
D - #4 Summer in Giza (10-1)
E - #8 Afternoon Jazz (20-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#9 Super Brian (20-1)
#5 Ol' Henry (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,3,6
Race Notes-
#7 Gas Tank offers some value, esp. if he goes off at 4-1.
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 7 / 3 / 6 = $3
$2 - 7 / 6 / 3 = $2
$2 - 3 / 7 / 6 = $2
$1 - 7,3 / 7,3 / 6,4,8 = $6
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,4,8 / 6,4,8 = $6
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,4,8 / 7,3 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF sAlw - Action+
A - #4 Relentless Move (9/5) - beat better last out, 4-4 in Exacta at Cnl and 7-7 in Exacta at distance, class drop, should handle these
B - #5 Drunken Love (8/5) - nice class drop and records at distance and Cnl, potential to jump out to early lead
C - #6 R. Bee Ess (5-1) - class drop, beyer's fit and records at Cnl and distance are good, may sit a good trip if SP fails
D - #2 Book the Crook (15-1) - rates a huge upset at a nice price if a speed duel takes place
E - #3 Dont Blame the Cat (8-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#7 Hesagoldmine (15-1)
#1 Venture Capital (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4,5,6,2
Race Notes-
Another horse in here that could really upset if a speed duel takes place is the #7 Hesagoldmine. He's a cut below, but can really close late.
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF - Play
A - #3 Excessive Essence (7/2) - work suggest ready to fire, results 2 and 3 back say he can get the best of these, Russell will probably go for lead here
B - #9 D' Pepjo (3-1) - switching back to turf and 2nd off claim for 29% claiming trainer, class drop and has run to par previoulsy
C - #5 Gottalovethedrake (2-1) - slight class drop, but only 1 win in 14 starts at this distance on the turf leaves this horse very vulnerable, plus his style doesn't fit this inner turf
D - #6 Flyingtobechilders (8-1)
E - #8 Generation Speed (8-1)
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#1 Star Maneuver (15-1)
#4 Bulaga (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
3,9,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 3 / 9 / 5 = $3
$2 - 3 / 5 / 9 = $2
$2 - 9 / 3 / 5 = $2
$1 - 3,9 / 3,9 / 5,6,8 = $6
$0.50 - 3,9 / 5,6,8 / 5,6,8 = $6
$0.50 - 3,9 / 5,6,8 / 3,9 = $3
Race 7 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF - Action+
A - #8 Mosaicist (9/5) - class drop and has finished well against much better, early speed, like last work and unlike a lot of these has run in 2013
B - #1 Caribbean Lady (3-1) - if I was going to bet any of these off layoffs it would be this one, has run better than par in the past and the work tab looks very solid, big contender
C - #1a Thisdanseistaken (3-1) - the lesser of the coupled entry, but is 3-3 at Cnl with class, but is coming off layoff
D - #5 Miss Oil (8-1) - another coming off a layoff
E - #4 Uno's Wild Angel (4-1) - comes from a 13 month layoff with just a few published works, maybe, but big questions
Alternate Horses - to be used in case of scratches, listed in order of preference
#3 Lion Down by Me (12-1)
#7 Heaven Knows What (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
8,1-1a,5,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Friday, June 14, 2013
Colonial Downs 6-15-2013 - All Races Except 2,8
Updated 5:45pm.
Card Notes-
The card has the potential to be a little chalky, from a winner standpoint. However, there are some longer shots that could complete the exotics which would boost payouts.
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
None
Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #1a My Queen (8/5) - has beat better, but may get hung wide, coupled with #1 Bridge Night
B - #11 Phantasticus (3-1) - note turf beyers from 2012 are good enough vs these
C - #7 Arrestedforpassion (20-1) - runs some decent #'s on turf, class drop, value
D - #5 Cherry Wildcat (6-1) - drops from op 9k, can really close
E - #3 Darn Proud (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1-1a, 11, 7
Race Notes-
The 1 & 1a are my top 2 horses, if one scratches, just replace top spot with other one.
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 1-1a / 11 / 7 = $3
$2 - 1-1a / 7 / 11 = $2
$1 - 1-1a,11 / 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 = $6
$0.50 - 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 / 7,5,3 = $6
$2 - 11 / 1-1a / 7 = $2
$0.50 - 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 / 1-1a,11 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Play
A - #7 Ramsey Branch (9/5) - drops from MSW, may have best early SP
B - #3 Mott (7/2) - good early SP, pedigree, still may be a cut below
C - #6 Meant Every Tear (9/2) - trainer 28% 1st Start, 39% Debut Md Clm, solid work tab
D - #1 Get On Bob (12-1)
E - #4 Citizen Chris (4-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,3,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$5 - 7 / 3 / 6 = $5
$3 - 7 / 6 / 3 = $3
$5 - 3 / 7 / 6 = $5
$0.50 - 7 / 3,6,1,4 / 3,6,1,4 = $6
$0.50 - 3 / 7 / 1,4 = $1
$0.50 - 3 / 6,1,4 / 7 = $1.50
Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #1 Fixin the Books (8/5) - class drop, good early speed
B - #10 Let's Play Two (5/2) - not crazy about Ct shippers, but early speed, has run well on turf
C - #2 Highstar (7/2) - class drop, good closer, trouble last out, not sure she can get up in time
D - #4 Fancy Attitude (20-1) - class drop, plenty of trouble to forgive lone turf start, value
E - #7 Heirrogant One (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1,10,2
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$5 - 1 /10 / 2 = $5
$3 - 1 / 2 / 10 = $3
$5 - 10 / 1 / 2 = $5
$0.50 - 1 / 10,2,4,7 / 10,2,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 10 / 1 / 4,7 = $1
$0.50 - 10 / 2,4,7 / 1 = $1.50
Race 5 - 5f TURF MSW - Action
A - #1a Lemon Cookie (9/5) - flashed SP last out, trainer 30% with 1st Turf
B - #5 Country Sunshine (7/2) - Smith does well with 2yr olds and Russell doesn't hurt either
C - #4 One More Son (5-1)
D - #2 Offlee Worthy (5-1)
E - #8 O Reeley (15)
Multi-Race Horses-
1a,5,4,2,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f sAlw - Action
A - #6 Whatsnottolike (Even) - Speed horse with big beyer, but that was lone turf start, still seems like a giant here
B - #4 Dan's Last Stand (5-1) - will be closing from just off the pace, class drop, 4-6 in Exacta at distance
C - #9 April's Dixie Bell (6-1) - will close from off the pace, not sure he can get there, but presence of Russell helps
D - #5 So Serene (15-1) - class drop, runs well at Cnl and distance
E - #10 Queen of the Disco (15-1) - always closes late
Multi-Race Horses-
6,4,9,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1 mile INNER TURF OC - Action
A - #8 Art of the Hunt (4-1) - has paired up two nice beyers within a length of par
B - #9 Reel Victory (9/2) - comes form open claiming company with good beyers
C - #6 Alamanda Drive (12-1) - comes from open 14K claiming, early SP
D - #2 Kiss the Stars (8/5) - classic horse not to bet, more than 1 year layoff, only 3 published workouts and is in for a tag, extremely vulnerable favorite
E - #3 Moral High Ground (8-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
8,9,6,2
Race Notes-
If you have a good opinion, this is a great race to try to beat the 8/5 favorite, I just don't have a great clarity in this race.
Suggested Plays:
Card Notes-
The card has the potential to be a little chalky, from a winner standpoint. However, there are some longer shots that could complete the exotics which would boost payouts.
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
None
Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #1a My Queen (8/5) - has beat better, but may get hung wide, coupled with #1 Bridge Night
B - #11 Phantasticus (3-1) - note turf beyers from 2012 are good enough vs these
C - #7 Arrestedforpassion (20-1) - runs some decent #'s on turf, class drop, value
D - #5 Cherry Wildcat (6-1) - drops from op 9k, can really close
E - #3 Darn Proud (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1-1a, 11, 7
Race Notes-
The 1 & 1a are my top 2 horses, if one scratches, just replace top spot with other one.
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 1-1a / 11 / 7 = $3
$2 - 1-1a / 7 / 11 = $2
$1 - 1-1a,11 / 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 = $6
$0.50 - 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 / 7,5,3 = $6
$2 - 11 / 1-1a / 7 = $2
$0.50 - 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 / 1-1a,11 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Play
A - #7 Ramsey Branch (9/5) - drops from MSW, may have best early SP
B - #3 Mott (7/2) - good early SP, pedigree, still may be a cut below
C - #6 Meant Every Tear (9/2) - trainer 28% 1st Start, 39% Debut Md Clm, solid work tab
D - #1 Get On Bob (12-1)
E - #4 Citizen Chris (4-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,3,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$5 - 7 / 3 / 6 = $5
$3 - 7 / 6 / 3 = $3
$5 - 3 / 7 / 6 = $5
$0.50 - 7 / 3,6,1,4 / 3,6,1,4 = $6
$0.50 - 3 / 7 / 1,4 = $1
$0.50 - 3 / 6,1,4 / 7 = $1.50
Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #1 Fixin the Books (8/5) - class drop, good early speed
B - #10 Let's Play Two (5/2) - not crazy about Ct shippers, but early speed, has run well on turf
C - #2 Highstar (7/2) - class drop, good closer, trouble last out, not sure she can get up in time
D - #4 Fancy Attitude (20-1) - class drop, plenty of trouble to forgive lone turf start, value
E - #7 Heirrogant One (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
1,10,2
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$5 - 1 /10 / 2 = $5
$3 - 1 / 2 / 10 = $3
$5 - 10 / 1 / 2 = $5
$0.50 - 1 / 10,2,4,7 / 10,2,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 10 / 1 / 4,7 = $1
$0.50 - 10 / 2,4,7 / 1 = $1.50
Race 5 - 5f TURF MSW - Action
A - #1a Lemon Cookie (9/5) - flashed SP last out, trainer 30% with 1st Turf
B - #5 Country Sunshine (7/2) - Smith does well with 2yr olds and Russell doesn't hurt either
C - #4 One More Son (5-1)
D - #2 Offlee Worthy (5-1)
E - #8 O Reeley (15)
Multi-Race Horses-
1a,5,4,2,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 5-1/2f sAlw - Action
A - #6 Whatsnottolike (Even) - Speed horse with big beyer, but that was lone turf start, still seems like a giant here
B - #4 Dan's Last Stand (5-1) - will be closing from just off the pace, class drop, 4-6 in Exacta at distance
C - #9 April's Dixie Bell (6-1) - will close from off the pace, not sure he can get there, but presence of Russell helps
D - #5 So Serene (15-1) - class drop, runs well at Cnl and distance
E - #10 Queen of the Disco (15-1) - always closes late
Multi-Race Horses-
6,4,9,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1 mile INNER TURF OC - Action
A - #8 Art of the Hunt (4-1) - has paired up two nice beyers within a length of par
B - #9 Reel Victory (9/2) - comes form open claiming company with good beyers
C - #6 Alamanda Drive (12-1) - comes from open 14K claiming, early SP
D - #2 Kiss the Stars (8/5) - classic horse not to bet, more than 1 year layoff, only 3 published workouts and is in for a tag, extremely vulnerable favorite
E - #3 Moral High Ground (8-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
8,9,6,2
Race Notes-
If you have a good opinion, this is a great race to try to beat the 8/5 favorite, I just don't have a great clarity in this race.
Suggested Plays:
Wednesday, June 12, 2013
Colonial Downs 6-13-2013 - Full Card
CARD CANCELLED DUE TO POWER OUTAGE.
Card Notes-
Hopefully, we can dodge the thunderstorms and the track will stay firm.
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 2,3,4
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,14 / 7,4 = $4
$0.50 - 5 / 9,14,1 / 7,4,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,2,9 / 9 / 7,4,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,2,9 / 9,14,1 / 7 = $4.50
Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 9,14 / 7,4 / 5,2 = $4
$0.50 - 9 / 7,4,1 / 5,2,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 9,14,1 / 7 / 5,2,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 9,14,1 / 7,4,1 / 5 = $4.50
Daily Double - Races 4,5
$1 - 7,4,1 / 5,2,1 = $9
$1 - 7,4 / 5,2 = $4
$1 - 7 / 5 = $1
Race 1 - 5-1/2f TURF MSW - Action+
A - #7 Sunbaked (9/2) - class drop, comes off a due in last out with 2 good works, breeding suggest ok on turf
B - #8 Said in Silence (3-1) - class drop, is wheeling right back, beyers put in mix
C - #6 Lady Olivia (7/5) - is cutting back and 1st out in 2013, vulnerable favorite, good last work
D - #3 Reenie (15-1)
E - #2 Sherwood Outlaw (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,8,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 7,8 / 7,8,6= $8
$1 - 6 / 7,8 = $2
Race 2 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Summer in Giza (5-1) - best early speed, may be able to wire
B - #2 Call Me Frankie (9/2) - 1st in 2013, but good last work, has run well at Cnl and distance
C - #9 Valter (3-1) - class drop and class relief from runnings in 2012
D - #4 Quetzalito (8-1)
E - #7 Castle Victory (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,2,9
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 5 / 2 / 9 = $3
$2 - 5 / 9 / 2 = $2
$2 - 2 / 5 / 9 = $2
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 9,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,4,7 / 9,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,4,7 / 5,2 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Play
A - #9 Curly Sue (7/5) - class drop, can show good early speed cutting back to sprint
B - #14 Spunky Country Gal (12-1) - class drop, bad trouble last out had to check hard lost all chance
C - #1 Campbell Creek (12-1) - class drop, but Ct runners don't win well here
D - #13 English Arms (8-1)
E - #3 Jackadee (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
9,14,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 9,14 / 9,14 = $4
$1 - 9,14 / 1,13,3 = $8
Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Jewelian 'n Roses (2-1) - good post, class drop, good early speed
B - #4 Cousin Brucy (3-1) - good work tab (esp last work) and sire does well with turf runners, like Russell
C - #1 Irunalatte (8-1) - Class drop, seems a cut below top 2 in here
D - #8 Hannibal Barca (6-1)
E - #5 Later Tater (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,4,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 7 / 4 / 1 = $3
$2 - 7 / 1 / 4 = $2
$2 - 4 / 7 / 1 = $2
$1 - 7,4 / 7,4 / 1,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 1,8,5 / 1,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 1,8,5 / 7,4 = $3
Race 5 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Boatyard (7/5) - good post for style, dueled in last our, younger against older but very likely
B - #2 Available (7/2) - class drop, beyers a few lengths below par, will be running late
C - #1 Silent Tale (5-1) - can close, but is shipping from Ct, definitely a cut below
D - #4 Cap'n Raymond (12-1)
E - #3 Nighcut (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,2,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 5 / 2 / 1 = $3
$2 - 5 / 1 / 2 = $2
$2 - 2 / 5 / 1= $2
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 1,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4,3 / 1,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4,3 / 5,2 = $3
Race 6 - 1 mile INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #8 Page McKenney (8-1) - don't want the #2 on that layoff, Russell does his best work at Cnl with 1 mile Maidens
B - #5 Timeless Testament (6-1) - class drop, beyers ok but below par
C - #2 Last Hurrah (8/5) - would love if he wasn't coming off a 1-1/2 year layoff
D - #6 Marriage Fever (5/2)
E - #3 Calvary Raid (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-8,5,2,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1-1/16 miles INNER TURF OC - Action
A - #3 Too Clever by Half (7/5) - may very well be the best and has beat this level, but 7/5 is short in this spot
B - #4 Pagan Priestess (4-1) - beyers have been within a few lengths of par
C - #5 Another Smokey (10-1) - has 2 wins at Cnl, should be running late
D - #7 Misty in Malibu (7/2) - best beyer was earned on the lead
E - #2 Cobbley's Breeze (9/2) - good beyers, but 1st out in 2013 with one published work
Multi-Race Horses-
3,4,5,7,2 - or single #3 Too Clever by Half can run his best
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 8 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #4 Appealynn (5/2) - class drop, beyer within a length of par
B - #13 Brahms Bracelet (8-1) - class drop
C - #8 D' lady Is Wild (6-1)
D - #6 Asian Invasion (9/2)
E - #14 Let's Drink On It (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Card Notes-
Hopefully, we can dodge the thunderstorms and the track will stay firm.
My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 2,3,4
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,14 / 7,4 = $4
$0.50 - 5 / 9,14,1 / 7,4,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,2,9 / 9 / 7,4,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,2,9 / 9,14,1 / 7 = $4.50
Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 9,14 / 7,4 / 5,2 = $4
$0.50 - 9 / 7,4,1 / 5,2,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 9,14,1 / 7 / 5,2,1 = $4.50
$0.50 - 9,14,1 / 7,4,1 / 5 = $4.50
Daily Double - Races 4,5
$1 - 7,4,1 / 5,2,1 = $9
$1 - 7,4 / 5,2 = $4
$1 - 7 / 5 = $1
Race 1 - 5-1/2f TURF MSW - Action+
A - #7 Sunbaked (9/2) - class drop, comes off a due in last out with 2 good works, breeding suggest ok on turf
B - #8 Said in Silence (3-1) - class drop, is wheeling right back, beyers put in mix
C - #6 Lady Olivia (7/5) - is cutting back and 1st out in 2013, vulnerable favorite, good last work
D - #3 Reenie (15-1)
E - #2 Sherwood Outlaw (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,8,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 7,8 / 7,8,6= $8
$1 - 6 / 7,8 = $2
Race 2 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Summer in Giza (5-1) - best early speed, may be able to wire
B - #2 Call Me Frankie (9/2) - 1st in 2013, but good last work, has run well at Cnl and distance
C - #9 Valter (3-1) - class drop and class relief from runnings in 2012
D - #4 Quetzalito (8-1)
E - #7 Castle Victory (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,2,9
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 5 / 2 / 9 = $3
$2 - 5 / 9 / 2 = $2
$2 - 2 / 5 / 9 = $2
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 9,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,4,7 / 9,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 9,4,7 / 5,2 = $3
Race 3 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Play
A - #9 Curly Sue (7/5) - class drop, can show good early speed cutting back to sprint
B - #14 Spunky Country Gal (12-1) - class drop, bad trouble last out had to check hard lost all chance
C - #1 Campbell Creek (12-1) - class drop, but Ct runners don't win well here
D - #13 English Arms (8-1)
E - #3 Jackadee (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
9,14,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 9,14 / 9,14 = $4
$1 - 9,14 / 1,13,3 = $8
Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #7 Jewelian 'n Roses (2-1) - good post, class drop, good early speed
B - #4 Cousin Brucy (3-1) - good work tab (esp last work) and sire does well with turf runners, like Russell
C - #1 Irunalatte (8-1) - Class drop, seems a cut below top 2 in here
D - #8 Hannibal Barca (6-1)
E - #5 Later Tater (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,4,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 7 / 4 / 1 = $3
$2 - 7 / 1 / 4 = $2
$2 - 4 / 7 / 1 = $2
$1 - 7,4 / 7,4 / 1,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 1,8,5 / 1,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 7,4 / 1,8,5 / 7,4 = $3
Race 5 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #5 Boatyard (7/5) - good post for style, dueled in last our, younger against older but very likely
B - #2 Available (7/2) - class drop, beyers a few lengths below par, will be running late
C - #1 Silent Tale (5-1) - can close, but is shipping from Ct, definitely a cut below
D - #4 Cap'n Raymond (12-1)
E - #3 Nighcut (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,2,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$3 - 5 / 2 / 1 = $3
$2 - 5 / 1 / 2 = $2
$2 - 2 / 5 / 1= $2
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 1,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4,3 / 1,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4,3 / 5,2 = $3
Race 6 - 1 mile INNER TURF Md Clm - Action
A - #8 Page McKenney (8-1) - don't want the #2 on that layoff, Russell does his best work at Cnl with 1 mile Maidens
B - #5 Timeless Testament (6-1) - class drop, beyers ok but below par
C - #2 Last Hurrah (8/5) - would love if he wasn't coming off a 1-1/2 year layoff
D - #6 Marriage Fever (5/2)
E - #3 Calvary Raid (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses-8,5,2,6
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1-1/16 miles INNER TURF OC - Action
A - #3 Too Clever by Half (7/5) - may very well be the best and has beat this level, but 7/5 is short in this spot
B - #4 Pagan Priestess (4-1) - beyers have been within a few lengths of par
C - #5 Another Smokey (10-1) - has 2 wins at Cnl, should be running late
D - #7 Misty in Malibu (7/2) - best beyer was earned on the lead
E - #2 Cobbley's Breeze (9/2) - good beyers, but 1st out in 2013 with one published work
Multi-Race Horses-
3,4,5,7,2 - or single #3 Too Clever by Half can run his best
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 8 - 5-1/2f TURF Md Clm - Action+
A - #4 Appealynn (5/2) - class drop, beyer within a length of par
B - #13 Brahms Bracelet (8-1) - class drop
C - #8 D' lady Is Wild (6-1)
D - #6 Asian Invasion (9/2)
E - #14 Let's Drink On It (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Monday, June 10, 2013
Belmont Day Trip Notes
I thought the track dried out fairly well. Sometimes when there has been a lot of rain and the track has been sealed it doesn't play as you think when it returns to fast as it did later in the day, but it seemed fair enough. I had a flop of a day at Belmont, I tried to catch a few prices in the sprints, but those didn't come through and my Belmont selections were way off. Below are my trip notes and thoughts from each of the major stakes race.
Race 7 - 6f True North - Grade 2
#1 Justin Phillip - was on rail, couldn't get to leader in stretch, no excuses
#1a Fast Bullet - jumped out to a quick lead, wired field
#5 Caixa Eletronica - trailed and was never a factor, seemed flat
#6 Sage Valley - broke slow, never a factor. lost much need positioning b/c of slow break
Race 8 - 1 mile TURF Just A Game - Grade 1
#2 Stephanie's Kitten - stalked, came thru on rail, battled in stretch for win, game effort but had dream trip on rail
#6 Mizdirection - set pace, faded off turn, track conditions may not have been to liking
#7 Better Lucky - 3w on turn, took lead, ran well thru stretch, edged just before wire
Race 9 - 7f Woody Stephens - Grade 2
Race Notes - Fast early pace
#1 Declan's Warrior - shifted in late stretch to find room between horses, lost by a head, having to shift cost some momentum and ground loss
#6 Zee Bro's - was up close to fast pace, faded in final furlong backing up hard. 6f may be best distance unless against softer competition
#11 Let Em Shine - was on lead for fast pace, faded
Race 10 - 1-1/4 miles TURF Manhattan Handicap - Grade 1
#1 Point of Entry - had to fight down stretch to get by Optimizer and hold off closer, very game effort for win
#4 Real Solution - good run, but couldn't get by top 2
#5 Optimizer - stalked 2L off pace, moved on 2 Turn, got lead, was game in stretch but edged by Point of Entry. held very well for 2nd, gave Point of Entry all he wanted
Race 11 - 1-1/2 miles Belmont Stakes - Grade 1
Race Notes - solid to fast early pace for 1-1/2 mile race, all horses tired in stretch
#1 Frac Daddy - battled for lead, faded badly
#2 Freedom Child - battled for lead, faded badly
#4 Giant Finish - backed up very early in race
#5 Orb - was too far back early, made a huge run beginning mid backstretch. he circled 10 horses, but flattened in stretch. in most races the move he made would have been a winning one, but at 1-1/2 miles it is a difficult run to sustain.
#7 Oxbow - was close to fast early pace, held on well for 2nd
#9 Revolutionary - looked a contender on 2nd turn, but flattened
#12 Palace Malice - stalked, took lead turning for home, tired but ran hard for wire
#14 Golden Soul - was far back, made up some ground
One note on the Belmont Stakes, a lot of critics have said that Palace Malice came home in :27 and change, and that Orb couldn't close into that 1/4 mile fraction. That is true but, Orb had already been running hard since mid backstretch and had circled 10 horse by the time they came off the 2nd turn. I think a better way to analyze Orb's performance is to look at the fractions of Orb and Oxbow from the 4f mark to the 10f mark. Using the slightly rudimentary scale of 1/5 of a second equals 1 length here are the fractional times from 4f to 10f:
Pace 1:06.56
Oxbow 1:06.54
Orb 1:04.66 (that's only a fifth of a second slower than he ran his final 6f in the Kentucky Derby)
Orb made up a considerable amount of ground during that time, running almost a full 2 seconds faster than Oxbow. That move will win a lot of races in North America, not to mention that he passed a lot of decent horses like they were standing still. But, unfortunately because of the energy expended, this is not a move that wins a lot of races at 1-1/2 miles races on the dirt...unless of course, your name is Calidoscopio!
It should be an interesting summer of racing, Oxbow is the little engine that could and he'll win his fair share of races when he is on or close to the lead and in top form. Orb should not be discounted off his Preakness and Belmont efforts, while the Preakness effort seemed dull his Belmont race may have been better than it looked. But, it will however help his odds next time out!
And for now, I'm really interested to turn my attention to the handicap division and my home track of Colonial Downs.
Race 7 - 6f True North - Grade 2
#1 Justin Phillip - was on rail, couldn't get to leader in stretch, no excuses
#1a Fast Bullet - jumped out to a quick lead, wired field
#5 Caixa Eletronica - trailed and was never a factor, seemed flat
#6 Sage Valley - broke slow, never a factor. lost much need positioning b/c of slow break
Race 8 - 1 mile TURF Just A Game - Grade 1
#2 Stephanie's Kitten - stalked, came thru on rail, battled in stretch for win, game effort but had dream trip on rail
#6 Mizdirection - set pace, faded off turn, track conditions may not have been to liking
#7 Better Lucky - 3w on turn, took lead, ran well thru stretch, edged just before wire
Race 9 - 7f Woody Stephens - Grade 2
Race Notes - Fast early pace
#1 Declan's Warrior - shifted in late stretch to find room between horses, lost by a head, having to shift cost some momentum and ground loss
#6 Zee Bro's - was up close to fast pace, faded in final furlong backing up hard. 6f may be best distance unless against softer competition
#11 Let Em Shine - was on lead for fast pace, faded
Race 10 - 1-1/4 miles TURF Manhattan Handicap - Grade 1
#1 Point of Entry - had to fight down stretch to get by Optimizer and hold off closer, very game effort for win
#4 Real Solution - good run, but couldn't get by top 2
#5 Optimizer - stalked 2L off pace, moved on 2 Turn, got lead, was game in stretch but edged by Point of Entry. held very well for 2nd, gave Point of Entry all he wanted
Race 11 - 1-1/2 miles Belmont Stakes - Grade 1
Race Notes - solid to fast early pace for 1-1/2 mile race, all horses tired in stretch
#1 Frac Daddy - battled for lead, faded badly
#2 Freedom Child - battled for lead, faded badly
#4 Giant Finish - backed up very early in race
#5 Orb - was too far back early, made a huge run beginning mid backstretch. he circled 10 horses, but flattened in stretch. in most races the move he made would have been a winning one, but at 1-1/2 miles it is a difficult run to sustain.
#7 Oxbow - was close to fast early pace, held on well for 2nd
#9 Revolutionary - looked a contender on 2nd turn, but flattened
#12 Palace Malice - stalked, took lead turning for home, tired but ran hard for wire
#14 Golden Soul - was far back, made up some ground
One note on the Belmont Stakes, a lot of critics have said that Palace Malice came home in :27 and change, and that Orb couldn't close into that 1/4 mile fraction. That is true but, Orb had already been running hard since mid backstretch and had circled 10 horse by the time they came off the 2nd turn. I think a better way to analyze Orb's performance is to look at the fractions of Orb and Oxbow from the 4f mark to the 10f mark. Using the slightly rudimentary scale of 1/5 of a second equals 1 length here are the fractional times from 4f to 10f:
Pace 1:06.56
Oxbow 1:06.54
Orb 1:04.66 (that's only a fifth of a second slower than he ran his final 6f in the Kentucky Derby)
Orb made up a considerable amount of ground during that time, running almost a full 2 seconds faster than Oxbow. That move will win a lot of races in North America, not to mention that he passed a lot of decent horses like they were standing still. But, unfortunately because of the energy expended, this is not a move that wins a lot of races at 1-1/2 miles races on the dirt...unless of course, your name is Calidoscopio!
It should be an interesting summer of racing, Oxbow is the little engine that could and he'll win his fair share of races when he is on or close to the lead and in top form. Orb should not be discounted off his Preakness and Belmont efforts, while the Preakness effort seemed dull his Belmont race may have been better than it looked. But, it will however help his odds next time out!
And for now, I'm really interested to turn my attention to the handicap division and my home track of Colonial Downs.
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