Saturday, May 18, 2013

Pimlico 5-18-2013 - Preakness Day Races 8-12

Pre Scratches.  I will not have time to update for scratches since I will be at Pimlico on Saturday.

Card Notes-
I apologize I couldn't get the entire card up, but I'm in Baltimore and short on time.
 

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets 

 
Multirace Bets-

Pick 4 - Races 9,10,11,12
$0.50 - 4,5 / 7,4,1,8 / 2,4,1,5,9 / 1 = $40
- OR - 
$0.50 - 4,5 / 7,4,1,8 / 2,4,1,5,9 / 1,9,2  = $120


Race 8 - 1-1/16 miles Allaire Dupont Distaff - Play
A - #6 Summer Applause (6-1)
B - #7 Brushed by a Star (9/5)
C - #3 Moon Philly (7/2)
D - #2 Withgreatpleasure (10-1)
E - #5 Sea Island (6-1)


Alternate Horses- 
#4 Daydreamin Gracie (15-1) 

Multi-Race Horses-

6,7,3

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$1 - 6,7 / 6,7,3 / 3,2,5 = $5
$0.50 - 6,7 / 6,7,3,2,5 / 6,7,3,2,5 = $12
$1 - 4 / 6,7 = $2  



Race 9 - 1-1/16 miles TURF Gallorette - Play
A - #4 Samitar (5/2)
B - #5 Old Tune (4-1)
C - #1 Hard Not to Like (10-1)
D - #3 Pianist (4-1)
E - #10 Appealing Cat (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

4,5,1

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$2 - 4,5 / 4,5 = $4
$1 - 4,5 / 1,3,10 = $6
$1 - 1 / 4,5 = $2




Race 10 - 6f Maryland Sprint - Action
A - #7 Candyman E (6-1)
B - #4 Hardened Wildcat (4-1)
C - #1 Action Andy (6-1)
D - #8 Laurie's Rocket (6-1)
E - #10 Sage Valley (5/2)

Multi-Race Horses-

7,4,1,8,10

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

 $1 - 7,4 / 7,4,1,8 = $6



Race 11 - 1-1/8 miles TURF Dixie Stakes - Action
A - #2 Optimizer (7/2)
B - #4 Imaging (5-1)
C - #1 Willcox Inn (6-1)
D - #5 Doubles Partner (6-1)
E - #9 Swift Warrior (4-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

2,4,1,5,9

Race Notes-

If you're playing the Pick 4 this is a race you may need to go pretty deep to hit.

Suggested Plays: 

$1 - 2,4,1 / 2,4,1,3,9 = $12



Race 12 - 1-3/16 miles Preakness Stakes - Play
A - #1 Orb (Even) - probably the best in the race, will need to work a trip
B - #2 Goldencents (8-1) - not sure he wants to go this far, but I thought the same of Shackleford

C - #9 Itsmyluckyday (10-1) - good exotics horse for the price
D - #7 Will Take Charge (12-1) - he's is a monster size wise and will need to get in the clear
E - #4 Departing (6-1) - new face to triple crown races, but not without a shot 

Exotics Use-
#8 Govenor Charlie (12-1) - speed horse who may not fade much down the stretch
#5 Mylute (5-1) - improving with every start, a wet track moves him up
#6 Oxbow (15-1) - stayed on best of speed in Derby, not sure how much that took out of him

Multi-Race Horses-
A- 1,2,9
B - 4,8

Race Notes-

I don't see Orb finishing out of the exacta.  Also, I'm not sure there is any value in this race, but I always enjoy cashing a ticket on the Preakness.

Suggested Plays: 

$0.50 - 1 / 2,9,7 / 2,9,7,4 = $4.50
$0.50 - 1 / 2,9,7,4 / 2,9,7,4 = $6
$0.50 - 1 / 2,9,7,4 / 6,8,5 = $6
$0.50 - 1 / 6,8,5 / 2,9,7,4 = $6
$0.50 - 1 / 6,8,5 / 6,8,5 = $3
$1 - 2,9,7,4,8,5 / 1 = $6

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