Pre Scratches. I will not have time to update for scratches since I will be at Pimlico on Friday.
Card Notes-
The card came up pretty good. I will not have a chance to put up many of the races on Saturday, but I will type up the main stakes on Saturday.
My Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 8,9,10
$0.50 - 5,8,2 / 2,7 / 7,3 = $6
$0.50 - 5,8 / 2,7 / 7,3 = $4
$0.50 - 11,9 / 2,7 / 7,3 = $4
$0.50 - 5,8,2 / 5 / 7,3 = $3
$0.50 - 5,8,2 / 2,7 / 6 = $3
Pick 4 - Races 9,10,11,12
$0.50 - 2,7 / 7,3 / 13,4,10,8,1 / 4,7 = $20
$0.50 - 2,7 / 7,3 / 13,4,10 / 3,5 = $12
$0.50 - 5 / 7,3 / 13,4,10 / 4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 2,7 / 6 / 13,4,10 / 4,7 = $6
Pimlico Special / Preakness Double
$2 - 4,7 / 1 = $4
$1 - 4,7 / 2 = $2
$1 - 4,7 / 1,9,2,7,4 = $10
$1 - 3,5 / 1 = $2
Race 1 - 1-1/16 miles Stakes - Action
A - #4 Side by Side (9/2) - very interesting move with move up in class after claim
B - #2 Franstein (5/2) - always tough at this distance
C - #1 Tinderbox (8-1)
D - #8 Bayonne (2-1)
E - #3 Garden State (8-1)
Multi-Race Horses-4,2,1,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$0.50 - 4,2,1 / 4,2,1 / 4,2,1,8 = $6
$0.50 - 4,2,1 / 8 / 4,2,1 = $3
$0.50 - 4,2,1 / 4,2,1,8 / 3 = $4.50
Race 2 - 1-1/16 miles TURF MSW - Action
A - #9 Vicky Ticky Tavie (6-1) - just missed last out, good spot for a Smith winner
B - #14 Killington (6-1) - sire does well with turf horses, like Stevens with the mount
C - #4 Hit Squad (8-1)
D - #7 More Than Sweet (7/2)
E - #3 Yuzuru (5-1)
Multi-Race Horses-A - 9,14,4
B - 4,7,3
C - 2,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 3 - 6f OC - Play
A - #7 Talent N Passion (8/5) - nice draw with speed, may easily best these
B - #5 Heart of Rome (7/2) - loves to run second at this distance, pace would help
C - #3 Orlyana Queen (9/2)
D - #8 Curlamorous (6-1)
E - #6 Dixiluna (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
7,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 7,5 / 7,5,3 = $8
$1 - 7,5 / 8,6,9,1 = $8
Race 4 - 6f Alw "Lady Legends" - Action
Didn't handicap, just pick some multi race horses.
Multi-Race Horses-
6,7,1,8
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 5 - 1-1/16 miles TURF Alw - Action
A - #14 Beatnik (9/2) - like the pedigree for turf, maybe close enough in race that lacks speed
B - #3 Hear the Word (5-1) - closes very well
C - #12 Readyshakego (4-1)
D - #8 Fly'n Bayou (9/2)
E - #6 Righteouse Place (12-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
A - 14,3,12
B - 8,6
C - 5,13
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 6 - 6f Skipat Stakes - Play
A - #3 Winning Image (3-1) - 1st out 2013, but works suggest ready, good early speed
B - #6 Strike the Moon (4-1) - has a lot of early speed, may sit a good trip
C - #5 Dance to Bristol (7/5) - may hammer these, but will be over bet, vulnerable
D - #2 Funny's Approval (9/2)
E - #1 Orange's Lil Sis (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
3,6,5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$0.50 - 3,6,5 / 3,6,5 / 3,6,5 = $3
$0.50 - 3,6,5,2 / 3,6,5 / 3,6,5,2 = $9
$0.50 - 3,6 / 3,6,5,2 / 3,6,5,2,1,7 = $12
Race 7 - 1-1/16 miles TURF OC - Action
A - #7 Livingston Street (9/2) - trainer is 29% on 1st claim, good horse, but in a tough spot
B - #5 Humble and Hungry (7/2) - could scratch out of here for Dixie, should move forward
C - #8 Followmyfootsteps (8-1) - can close, has raced against better
D - #11 Volcano Run (4-1)
E - #15 Silver Tie Affair (30-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
A - 7,5
B - 8,11,15
C - 4,2,3
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 8 - 6f Miss Preakness Stakes - Action+
A - #5 Blueeyesintherein (3-1) - good early speed, will need to hold on late, 2 for 2 at 6f
B - #8 I'm Mom's Favorite (8/5) - good post to handle other speed, good shot
C - #2 Tread (9/2) - good early speed, always in exacta at 6f
D - #11 Livin Peace (10-1)
E - #9 Lighthouse Bay (8-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,8,2
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
Race 9 - 5f TURF Turf Sprint - Play
A - #2 Bridgetown (8/5) - lots of class and probably the best early speed
B - #7 Ben's Cat (9/5) - 10 of 14 at this distance on the turf, big chance
C - #5 Sneaking Uponyou (20-1) - good early speed
D - #3 Night Officer (5-1)
E - #1 Spring to the Sky (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
A - 2,7
B - 5
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$0.50 - 2,7 / 2,7 / 5,3,1,8,6 = $5
$0.50 - 2,7 / 2,7 / 5,3,1 = $3
$0.50 - 2,7 / 1,3,5 / 2,7,1,3,5 = $9
$0.50 - 5 / 2,7 / 2,7,1,3 = $3
Race 10 - 1-1/8 miles Black Eyed Susan Stakes - Play
A - #7 Emollient (9/5) - posted a 98 beyer in her second out on dirt, hoping she can repeat that
B - #3 Fiftyshadesofhay (2-1) - Beholder running well in the Ky Oaks, gives her some clout
C - #6 Maracuya (8-1) - probably the only other one in the race with a chance to win
D - #9 Marathon Lady (12-1)
E - #8 Toasting (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
A - 7,3
B - 6
Race Notes-
Read an article on drf.com that #5 Walkwithapurpose and #1 Manuka Honey will scratch. To me it leaves it a 3 horse race.
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 7,3 / 7,3,6 / 6,9,8 = $10
$0.50 - 7,3,6 / 7,3,6 / 7,3,6 = $3
$0.50 - 7,3 / 7,3,6 / 4,2 = $4
$0.50 - 6 / 7,3 / 7,3,9,8 = $3
$0.50 - 7,3 / 6,9,8 / 7,3,6 = $5
Race 11 - 5f TURF The Very One Stakes - Action
A - #13 Sweet Cassiopeia (5/2) - will need to work trip, but may be better than rest
B - #4 Nechez Dawn (10-1) - likes this distance, good early speed, should move fwd on 2nd out
C - #10 Spun Cap (5-1)
D - #8 Mosaicist (15-1)
E - #1 Donna Getyourgun (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
A - 13,4,10
B - 8,1
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 13,4 / 13,4,10,8,1 = $8
Race 12 - 1-3/16 miles Pimlico Special Stakes - Play
A - #4 Eighttofasttocatch (9/5) - should be on the lead, hoping he can hold on late, could wire
B - #7 Last Gunfighter (7/5) - could very well take over the lead in the stretch, main danger to #4
C - #3 Brimstone Island (12-1) - should be close to pace, but maybe a cut below best here
D - #5 Richard's Kid (7/2) - old knocker way outclasses these, but recent form gives questions
E - #6 Concealed Identity (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
A- 4,7
B- 3,5
Race Notes-
Hard to see much past the first two. Tried to stack some value on them in Trifecta and still give it the ability to pay should Eighttofasttocatch fade out of Trifecta or Richard's Kid find his former youthfulness.
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 4,7 / 4,7 /3,5,6,2 = $8
$0.50 - 4,7 / 4,7,3,5,6 / 4,7,3,5,6 = $12
$0.50 - 4,7 / 3,5,6 / 4,7 = $3
$0.50 - 3,5 / 4,7 / 3,5,4,7 = $4
Race 13 - 1-1/16 miles TURF Hilltop Stakes - Action+
A - #10 Summer of Fun (4-1) - should get a good trip, can close, runs well at distance
B - #5 Premier Steps (5-1) - class drop, some trouble in recent outs, good closer
C - #1 Kitten's Point (5/2) - like the blood line, class drop, has beat G3 company
D - #4 Birdlover (5-1) - maybe the main speed in the race
E - #6 Emotional Kitten (8-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
10,5,1,4
Race Notes-
Suggested Plays:
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