Preakness Stats Guide
Get ready for the Preakness Stakes with our Preakness Stats Guide. Packed full of stats and analysis to help you include and exclude horses in the second leg of the Triple Crown.
5-17-2014 Preakness Day Races
Pre Scratches.
Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is
ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I
would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label
the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Note:
Because of the late hour I am only listing my reasoning for the winner and not each selection.
Multirace Bets-
Daily Double - Races 5,6
$2 - 2 / 12 = $2
$1 - 2,3 / 12 = $2
$1 - 2 / 12,7,6,4 = $4 - HIT $5.80
$1 - 2,3 / 12,7,6,4 = $8 - HIT $5.80
Daily Double - Races 6,7
$2 - 12 / 2 = $2
$1 - 12,7,6,4 / 2 = $4
$1 - 12 / 2,9,5 = $3
$1 - 12,7,6,4 / 2,9,5 = $12 - HIT $27.00
Race 2 - 1-1/16 Hcp - Play
A - #5 Lunar Rock (5/2) - should get a good trip, speed figures fit - WIN $7.80
B - #7 Regal Warrior (3-1) - 3RD
C - #10 No Brakes (6-1) - 2ND
D - #9 Who Dat Boy (10-1) - 5TH
E - #2 Tooth N Claw (9/2) - 7TH
Multi-Race Horses - 5,7,10
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,7 / 5,7 = $4
$1 - 5,7 / 10,9,2,6 = $8 - HIT $20.50
Race 3 - 1-1/16 OC TURF - Play OFF TURF
OFF Turf Selections -
#9 Tom Kitten - 3RD
#4 Romp City - WIN
#7 Prospero - 5TH
Race 4 - 5f OC TURF - Action OFF TURF
OFF Turf Selections -
#7 Majestic Hussar - WIN $4.40
#6 Mystical Terp - 8TH
#5 Peppermint Prince - 6TH
Race 5 - 6f Maryland Sprint Handicap G3 - Play
A - #2 Happy My Way (6/5) - lays over this field, has serious early speed - WIN $3.20
B - #3 Lemon Drop Dream (4-1) - 2ND
C - #4 Salutos Amigos (3-1) - SCRATCHED
D - #6 Action Andy (8-1) - 5TH
E - #1 Sneaking Uponyou (12-1) - 4TH
Multi-Race Horses - 2,3
Suggest Plays:
Scratch affected plays.
Race 6 - 5f The Very One Stakes TURF - Action+
A - #12 Sensible Lady (7/2) - closes well and has won on a turf course labeled good several times - 9TH
B - #7 Ageless (9/2) - WIN
C - #6 Quality Lass (12-1) - 3RD
D - #4 Tizgale (8-1) - 11TH
E - #1 Allwewantforxams (10-1) - 14TH
Multi-Race Horses - 12,7,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 12,7,6 / 12,7,6 = $6
Race 7 - 6f Chicklang Stakes - Play
A - #2 Extrasexyhippzster (3-1) - really like horses that come off the derby trail and go back to what they do best - 7TH
B - #9 Brewing (8/5) - 2ND
C - #5 Meadowood (5-1) - WIN
D - #4 Ground Control (5-1) - SCRATCHED
E - #3 Jessethemarine (15-1) - 5TH
Multi-Race Horses - 2,9
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 2,9 / 2,9 / 5,4,3 = $3
$0.50 - 2,9 / 5,4,3 / 2,9 = $3
$0.50 - 2,9 / 5,4,3 / 5,4,3 = $6
$0.50 - 2,9 / 2,9,5 / 2,9,5,4 = $4
Race 8 - 1mi James W. Murphy Stakes TURF - Action+
A - #6 Thunder Strike (8-1) - feels like he is coming into the race the right way for Motion, should get a good trip - 3RD
B - #2 Camden Street (7/2) - 6TH
C - #1 Special Envoy (3-1) - 5TH
D - #4 Wallyanna (8-1) - WIN
E - #5 Joint Custody (5-1) - SCRATCHED
Multi-Race Horses - 6,2,1
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 6,2,1 / 6,2,1 = $6
Race 9 - 1-1/16mi Gallorette G3 TURF - Action+
A - #7 Strathnaver (3-1) - lots of class, closes well - SCRATCHED
B - #3 Somali Lemonade (7/2) - maybe the best in here - WIN $4.80
C - #10 Watsdachances (4-1) - 2ND
D - #9 Starstruck (5-1) - 5TH
E - #6 Lady Ten (10-1) - 7TH
Multi-Race Horses - 7,3,10
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 3,10,9 / 3,10,9 = $6 - HIT $7.00
Race 10 - 1-1/16mi Sir Barton Stakes - Action+
A - #3 Life in Shambles (6-1) - like the early speed and Rosario picking up the mount - 2ND
B - #6 Starry Moon (8-1) - 5TH
C - #10 Class Leader (7/2) - WIN
D - #8 Ground Control (10-1) - is cross entered, may scratch here - SCRATCHED
E - #5 Master Lightning (6-1) - 6TH
Multi-Race Horses - 3,6,10
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 3,6,10 / 3,6,10 = $6 - HIT $11.40
Race 11 - 1-1/16mi Dixie G2 TURF - Action+
A - #3 Charming Kitten (9/2) - has the class and is 3 for 4 at this distance on turf - 4TH
B - #6 Hey Leroy (5/2) - 2ND
C - #7 Chamois (6-1) - 3RD
D - #8 Up With the Birds (5-1) - 6TH
E - #9 Utley (8-1) - WIN
Multi-Race Horses - 3,6,7,8
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 3,6 / 3,6 / 7,8,9 = $3
$0.50 - 3,6 / 7,8,9 / 3,6 = $3
$0.50 - 3,6 / 7,8,9 / 7,8,9 = $6
Race 12 - 1-3/16mi Preakness Stakes G1 - Play
A - #3 California Chrome (3/5) - if he breaks clean I still think he is the best horse in the field by a few lengths - WIN $3.00
B - #8 Social Inclusion (5-1) - may be the speed of the speed, time off for foot issue is concern - 3RD
C - #10 Ride On Curlin (10-1) - was closing well in the Ky Derby after a troubled trip, working well - 2ND
D - #5 Bayern (10-1) - gutsy win in Derby Trial, but was Dq'd. did it on bad part of race track - 9TH
E - #2 General a Rod (15-1) - should offer some value and ran some good races on the derby trail - 4TH
Exotics Use:
#7 Kid Cruz (20-1) - hard closer that offers value
#1 Dynamic Impact (12-1) - ran good race in the Illinois Derby
Multi-Race Horses - 3,8 (B - 10,5)
Suggest Plays:
Exacta - $36 play with heavy emphasis on the #3 and #8 in top 2 spots
$3 - 3 / 8 = $3
$2 - 3 / 8,10,5,2 = $8 - HIT $18.20
$1 - 3 / 8,7,1 = $3
$2 - 8 / 3 = $2
$1 - 3,8,10,5,2 / 3,8,10,5,2 = $20 - HIT $9.10
Trifecta - $30.50 play
$1 - 3 / 8,10,5 / 8,10,5 = $6 - HIT $38.00
$1 - 3 / 8,10,5,2 / 8,10,5,2 = $12 - HIT $38.00
$0.50 - 3 / 8,10,5,2 / 7,1 = $4
$0.50 - 3 / 1,7 / 8,10,5,2 = $4
$1 - 8 / 3 / 10,5,2 = $3
$0.50 - 8 / 10,5,2 / 3 = $1.50
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