Preakness Stats Guide
Get ready for the Preakness Stakes with our Preakness Stats Guide. Packed full of stats and analysis to help you include and exclude horses in the second leg of the Triple Crown.
5-11-2014 Belmont Park Selections
Pre Scratches - Assuming Turf stays on.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Race 3 - 1mi Westchester G3 - Play
A - #3 Palace Malice (1/9) - They'd have to load him backwards in the gate and then he'd have to stop and graze on the in field to lose here. Towers over these. - WIN $2.10
B - #2 I'm Steppin' It Up (20-1) - like the early speed, may be the underneath to the Exacta with Palace Malice
C - #4 Red Rifle (8-1) - pretty sure Pletcher entered this one just so the race would fill, but has a shot to run second with the early speed
Multi-Race Horses - 3
Suggest Plays:
$5 - 3 / 2 = $5
Race 4 - 1mi Alw - Play
A - #7 Beeliner (10-1) - appears to be the lone speed, like the price
B - #2 King of Broadway (3-1) - cutting back in distance, will need to workout a trip
C - #3 Celebrator (6/5) - Pletcher horse will be way over bet. Has yet to be tested beyond 6-1/2f. Not willing to take a short price in the win spot on this one, but definitely part of the exotics equation
D - #6 Woelf Den (8-1) - like that he should be forwardly placed and the price, exotics
E - #5 Indy's Illusion (5-1) - may not get the pace setup he'll need to close, exotics maybe
Multi-Race Horses - 7,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 7 / 2,3 = $4
$1 - 7 / 6 = $1
$1 - 2,3 / 7 = $2
Race 6 - 6f Clm - Action
A - #6 Mononoke (7/2) - should be forwardly placed and has a good post for style
B - #4 Golden Annie (3-1) - may show some early speed
C - #3 Vinhdication Spot (6-1)
D - #5 Brown Mellisa (5/2)
E - #7 Miss Silver Birch (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 6,4,3,5
Suggest Plays:
Race 7 - 6f License Fee 100K TURF - Action+
A - #9 Free as a Bird (3-1) - like the early speed against the rest in here - WIN $5.00
B - #10 Madame Giry (5/2) - closes very well, is 2 of 4 at Belmont and 3 for 3 at this distance, very likely
C - #3 Believe in Charlie (5-1) - has good records at Belmont and this distance, will need to work a trip
D - #5 Coarsegold (9/2) - exotics use
E - #7 Bridgehampton (6-1) - has no turf experience, but that is what intrigues me, she has some pedigree that suggest she'll like it. Not sure what to make of her, so I'll say exotics use
Multi-Race Horses - 9,10,3
Suggest Plays:
Race 8 - 1mi Ruffian G2 - Play
A - #6 Fiftyshadesofhay (2-1) - I like the way she is coming into this race off the pace duel last out and shortening up. She won the Black Eyed Susan while stalking, so she doesn't need the lead to win - WIN $5.40
B - #2 My Wandy's Girl (7/2) - numbers fit, should sit close to pace, but will need to work a trip
C - #5 Grace Hall (5/2) - 1st out in 2014, she's a big question mark, but I'm going to wait on her and just consider her for exotics use
D - #1 Six Queens (4-1) - exotics use
E - #4 Toasting (8-1) - exotics use
Multi-Race Horses - 5,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 6 / 2 / 5,1,4 = $6
$1 - 2 / 6 / 5,1,4 = $3
$0.50 - 6,2 / 5,1,4 / 6,2 = $3 - HIT $13.25
$0.50 - 6,2 / 5,1,4 / 5,1,4 = $6
Race 9 - 1-3/8mi Man O' War G1 TURF - Play
A - #5 Amira's Prince (5/2) - seems like he maybe sitting on top of a good race, is 2 for 2 at this distance, like the post and running style and always mixes it up at the end
B - #2 Imaging (5-1) - is 4 of 7 on the Belmont turf, numbers fit here, but he'll need some pace ahead of him
C - #6 Real Solution (3-1) - another one that a little bit of pace would help, don't see him winning, but exotics possible
D - #1 Grandeur (4-1) - always like the "across the pond" angle, has sported several turf wins, but not sure how he fits amongst this group, still I would not leave him out of my exotic plays
E - #4 Frac Daddy (15-1) - may be a couple steps below these, but he does figure to sit close in a race with very little pace and his price would boost the exotics for sure
Multi-Race Horses - 5,2
Suggest Plays:
Exacta
$2 - 5,2 / 5,2 = $4
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2,6,1,4 = $8 - HIT $17.80
-OR-
Trifecta
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 6,1,4 = $6
$0.50 - 5,2 / 6,1,4 / 5,2 = $3
$0.50 - 5,2 / 6,1,4 / 6,1,4 = $6 - HIT $33.50
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