Saturday, April 27, 2013

Pimlico 4-27-2013 - All Races

Updated 11:52am.

Card Notes- 
I didn't see a whole lot in this card I liked.  I'll post the one Pick 3 I liked and a Pick 4 ticket.  I don't always have time to write why I like or disliked each of my top 5, but always tried to give a reason for the winner.

My Race Rating System-  
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets 


Multirace Bets- 
Pick 3 - Races 3,4,5
$0.50 - 3,7 / 6,1,5,2 / 5,3 = $8
$0.50 - 3,7 / 6,1,5 / 4 = $3

Pick 3 - Races 8,9,10
$0.50 - 4,8 / 11,5 / 9,3 = $4
$0.50 - 4,8,2 / 11,5,6 / 9,3,7 = $13.50

Pick 4 - Races 7,8,9,10
$0.50 - 4,3,1 / 4,8,2 / 11,5,6 / 9,3,7 = $40.50



Race 1 - 6f Claiming - Action+ 
A - #3 Dear Rachel (5/2) - slight class drop, would like to see Russell go for lead
B - #1 Domestic Rose (3-1)
C - #7 Elena's Masters (9/2)
D - #2  Seeking Millie (8-1)
E - #6 Credit Risk (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

3,1,7

Race Notes-
 

This is a race of a bunch of horses for sale at the bottom of the barrel claiming game.  I wouldn't count on any of them.

Suggested Plays:




Race 2 - 1-1/16 mi Claiming - Action+
A - #6 Princess Beau K (9/2) - hoping can find early speed
B - #1 Ann Miller (7/2) - worried about style in this race
C - #8 My Name Is Ralphie (5-1)
D - #2 Sweet N Nutty
E - #7 Betrayed

Multi-Race Horses-

6,1,8

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:





Race 3 - 6f Claiming - Action+
 A - #3 Red Hot Jazz (10-1) - this old guy likely has the best gate speed, hoping he can hold on at a price
B - #7 Let's Get Lucky (3-1) - Ness 1st off claim, will be closing late, pace would help
C - #1 Blue Heir (7/2)
D - #2 Gagne (4-1)
E - #9 Sixty Acres(4-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

3,7

Race Notes-
At 10-1 I'd have to give the #3 a chance to win.

Suggested Plays:
 
$2 Win #3 = $2



Race 4 - 6f Claiming - Action 
A - #6 Hold That Broad (9/2) - has beat better, runs well at distance, best speed
B - #1 Rocky Gap (5-1)
C - #5 St John's Gospel (5/2)
D - #2 Drivebymedia (4-1)
E - #4 Love Talk (7/2)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

6,1,5,2

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
 



Race 5 - 1-1/16 mi TURF Claiming - Play
A - #5 Mister Pippit (6/5) - working well, 2nd out 2013, shipping from Gp (45% in money), trouble last out, class
B - #3 Virginia Colony (5-1) - could be lone speed and may not fade out of exotics
C - #4 Aridus (5/2)
D - #1 Mr. Handsome (5-1)
E - #2 Shootdeworx (20-1) - cross out dirt beyer's and this horse could hit the board

Multi-Race Horses-
 

A - 5,3
B - 4

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:




Race 6 - 6f Claiming - Action
A - #3 Sweet Maxine (6-1) - does best work on speed, hoping will go for lead
B - #7 Galavant (2-1)
C - #5 Honest Truth (5/2)
D - #2 Foursoutherbelles (6-1)
E - #4 Chief's Prize (20-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

3,7,5

Race Notes-
Not crazy about any of these.  Looks like a bunch of mid claimers for sale.

Suggested Plays:




Race 7 - 1-1/16 mi TURF Alw - Action+   Start of Pick 4
A - #4 Papa's Forest (4-1) - ships in from Gp, class drop, not sure speed will carry, but should be close at wire
B - #3 Waquoit's Dance (8/5) - ships in from Gp, closer is 50% at distance, pace would help
C - #1 Jazz (8-1) - lots of turf class, closer, but others entice a little more, exotics
D - #10 Misty in Malibu (6-1) - 1st out 2013, does best work on front end, interesting for exotics use
E - # Jane's Heir (8-1) - interesting placement for Motion, may hit board and boost exotics

Multi-Race Horses-
 

4,3,1

Race Notes-



Suggested Plays:



Race 8 - 1-1/16 mi Stakes - Play 
A - #4 Touch the Birds (2-1) - speed, 9 for 9 in money at distance, class drop
B - #8 Smart Tori (9/2) - should be a few lengths off pace, winner at Pim and likes distance
C - #2 Celtic Katie (5/2) - fits here, 3 for 3 in exacta at distance
D - #5 Franstein (10-1)
E - #6 Tinderbox (20-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

 4,8,2

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
 



Race 9 - 1-1/16 mi TURF Alw - Play
A - #11 War Relic (4-1) - good closing horse first against winners, working good, like Russell on turf
B - #5 Miss Tapit (5-1) - Gp shipper can really close, should be close to pace
C - #6 Stormy n' Sly (10-1) - class dropper from Gp, best fits here
D - #1 Explainable (7/2) - Tam shippers are 44% in money, good closer
E - #7 Thegalthatwasaboy (5-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

11,5,6

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
 



Race 10 - 1-1/16 mi Stakes - Action+ 
A - #9 Heat Press (8-1) - could very well get an easy lead
B - #3 Abstraction (7/5) - Fg shipper owns best beyer in field, first against winners, likely
C - #7 Dynamic Strike (4-1) - trouble last out, class
D - #5 Wry Me (12-1)
E - #4 Rienzi (8-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 

9,3,7

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
 



Race 11 - 5f TURF Claiming - Action+
A - #3 Thames Trader (3-1) - class drop, turf #'s are good from classier track
B - #2 Stormy Horizon (9/2) - 1st out 2013, speed, maybe good spot off layoff
C - #8 Senor Quickie (12-1) - has good turf #'s
D - #12 Available (5-1)
E - #
6 Focus (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
 
3,2

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

 


No comments:

Post a Comment