Saturday, April 13, 2013

Pimlico 4-13-2013 - Races 4-10

Updated for Scratches 12:47pm.

Card Notes- There maybe a couple of decent Pick 3 plays where we can catch some value.  Also, I didn't have time to write why I like or disliked each of my top 5.

My Race Rating System-  I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets 


Multirace Bets-
Pick 4 - Races 7,8,9,10
$0.50 = 13,15,4 / 2,6,5 / 6,5,2 / 1 = $13.50

Pick 3 - Races 4,5,6
$0.50 - 1,3 / 6,7 / 2,4 = $4
$0.50 - 1,3,5 / 6,7,2,4 / 2,4 = $12

Pick 3 - Races 5,6,7
$0.50 - 6,7 / 2,4 / 13,15 = $4
$0.50 - 6,7,2,4 / 2,4 / 13,15,4 = $12

Pick 3 - Races 8,9,10
$0.50 - 2,6 / 6,5 / 1 = $2
$0.50 - 2,6,5 / 6,5,2 / 1 = $4.50   


Race 4 - 1-1/16 miles MSW - Action
A - #1 Deb's Trip (5/2) - is a Gp shipper, may go for lead, trnr 17% 1st claim
B - #3 Arann (3-1) - nice recent Prx work
C - #5 Urania (3-1) - maybe over bet, 42% first with trnr
D - #2 Sheppard's Pie (7/2)
E - #4 Tapit Ten (8-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

1,3,5

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

 $1 - 1,3,5/1,3,5 = $6 


Race 5 - 5f Moved to Dirt Alw - Action
A - #6 Feisty Angelina - hoping can wire small field
B - #7
Seeyouinthetown
C - #2 Jazz - dirt races have not been as good
D - #4 Great Motion

E - #10 Midsummer's Eve

Multi-Race Horses-

6,7,2,4

Race Notes-

May still pick up some value in the Pick 3's.

Suggested Plays:
 



Race 6 - 6f Claimng - Play
A - #2 Western Tease - race sets up for
B - #
4 Starforaday (2-1) - class drop, will need some pace, but could take advantage of a duel, running late
C - #6 Spellit (12-1)
D - #5 Tennis Racket (8-1) 
E - #7 Silver Slugger (15-1) - by default

Multi-Race Horses-

2,4

Race Notes-



Suggested Plays: 

$0.50 - 2,4 / 2,4 / 6,5,7 = $3
$0.50 - 2,4 / 6,5,7 / 2,4 = $3
$0.50 - 2,4 / 2,4,6 / 2,4,6,5,7 = $6



Race 7 - 1-1/16 miles Moved to Dirt MSW - Action+
A - #13 Moon Legacy - maybe lone speed
B - #15 With Sprinkles
C - #4 Queen Jezebel
D - #9 Chanterelle
E - #10 South Andros

Multi-Race Horses-

13,15,4

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:




Race 8 - 6f Claiming - Action+
A - #2 Glib (Even) - class drop, speed, but can sit as well, some chinks in armor
B - #6 Big Brother Joe (5-1) - early speed, class drop, trnr 28% off layoff
C - #5 Peter's Creek (9/2) - will need some pace, a speed duel would be advantageous, class drop
D - #1 Disco Indy (6-1)
E - #4 Star Zapper (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

2,6,5

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays: 



Race 9 - 5-1/2f OC - Play
A - #6 Manito (9/5) - speed, like post for style
B - #5 Pass You Bye Bye (2-1) - works suggest ready, good gate speed
C - #2 Peb Hughes (9/2) - could pick up pieces if 6 and 5 duel, has run and trks that ship in good here
D - #1 Mass Destruction (5-1)
E - #4 Final Forest (8-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

6,5,2

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$0.50 - 6,5,2 / 6,5,2 / 6,5,2 = $3
$0.50 - 6,5,2 / 6,5,2,1 / 6,5,2,1 = $9



Race 10 - 6f OC - Prime
A - #1 I'm Mom's Favorite (4/5) - seems easily the best, class drop from good effort, plenty of speed
B - #
3 Dress Up (12-1) - plenty of value if moves fwd
C - #4 She's a Gold Mine (12-1) 
D - #2 Ek Haseena (10-1)
E - #7 Hailey's Star

Multi-Race Horses-

1

Race Notes-
Not much value on winner, but a great race for a single in your multirace bets.

Suggested Plays:

$1 - 1 / 3,4,2 / 3,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 1 / 5,3,4,2 / 7 = $2 - may need in case #7 sneaks in 3rd

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