Saturday, February 8, 2014

Santa Anita 2-8-2014 - Races 1,3,5-8

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Updated 2:20pm EST.
 
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Multirace Bets- 

Pick 3 - Races 5,6,7
$1 - 5 / 7,2,5 / 1,13,2,14 = $12


Race 1 - 6-1/2f sAlw Downhill Turf - Play
A - #4 Yankee Rebel (8/5) - like the cut back coming down the hill, but is obvious favorite
B - #2 Cinco de Mario (3-1) - has posted some good #'s on the turf, speed canidate
C - #1 Hello Frankie (5-1) - should in the exotics
D - #6 Fighting On (8-1) - a big question mark, here but I like the odds in the exotics
E - #5 Crimson Giant (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 4,2
Suggested Plays:

$0.10 - 4 / 2,1 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1,6,5,3 = $1.80
$0.10 - 4 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1 / 2,1,6,5,3 = $1.80
$0.10 - 4 / 2,1 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1,6,5,3,7 = $2.40
$0.10 - 2,1 / 4 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1,6,5,3 = $1.80    


Race 3 - 6-1/2f Clm - Action
A - #4 Big Wags (4-1) - likes SA, dropping in class and cutting back
B - #7 Muchos Besos (7/2) - has some good dirt form  
C - #6 Runaway Wildcat (8-1) - class dropper that could boost exotics
D - #3 Magic Beam (4-1) - class drop, but is 0 for 10 at SA & 0 for 7 at this distance
E - #5 Sammy's a Runnin' (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 4,7,6
Suggested Plays: 


Race 5 - 1-1/8mi San Antonio G2 - Play  
A - #5 Game on Dude (3/5) - is much the best here from several angles, no reason to go against, single/key
B - #4 Majestic Harbor (6-1) - hoping he can catch a tired Blueskiesnrainbows
C - #3 Blueskiesnrainbows (3-1) - can't run with Game on Dude, how far will he fade is the question
D - #6 Blingo (6-1) - could help the exotics if he can get past Blueskiesnrainbows as well  
E - #2 American Blend (10-1) - definite exotics boost

Multi-Race Horses - 5
Suggested Plays:
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3 / 4,3 / 6,2,1,7 = $0.80
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3,6,2 = $1.80
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3 / 4,3,6,2,1 = $1.80
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3,6,2,1 = $3.60


Race 6 - 6f Clm - Action  
A - #7 Beautiful Spirit (5/2) - class dropper that can show speed, drawn outside other speed
B - #2 Secret Memo (7/2) - speed, but is sandwiched between two other speed horse
C - #5 Citizen Jane (6-1)
D - #6 Lil Cheyenne (6-1)
E - #8 Miracle Merger (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 7,2,5
Suggested Plays:



Race 7 - 1-1/4mi San Marcos G2 Turf - Action  
A - #1 Slim Shadey (6-1) - with his early speed, I'm looking for him to get a good position
B - #13 Temeraine (6-1) - will get the distance, should mix it up
C - #2 Vagabond Shoes (9/2) - coming off a layoff this 7yr olds has posted some nice works
D - #14 Dubai You X Y Z (6-1) - was beaten just 3 lengths in G1 Shoemaker, likes SA
E - #6 Jeranimo (7/2) - this old guy is still running well

Multi-Race Horses - 1,13,2,14
Suggested Plays: 



Race 8 - 1-1/16mi Robert B. Lewis G2 - Play
A - #7 Chitu (7/2) - really like the works.  should run big here.
B - #3 Midnight Hawk (9/5) - Baffert could likely run 1,2.  huge win chance, esp. with Smith in the irons.
C - #6 El Nino Terrible (12-1) - has speed that may allow him to hold on in exotics at a price
D - #1 Candy Boy (2-1) - drawn inside and will need to work a trip with running style
E - #5 Cool Samurai (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 7,3
Suggested Plays:  

$0.10 - 7,3 / 7,3 / 6,1,5 / 6,1,5 = $1.20
$0.10 - 7,3 / 7,3,6,1 / 7,3,6,1,5 / 7,3,6,1,5 = $3.60
$0.10 - 7,3 / 7,3,6,1 / 7,3,6,1,5 / 4 = $1.80
$0.10 - 7,3 / 5 / 7,3,6,1 / 7,3,6,1 = $1.20
$0.10 - 1,5 / 7,3 / 7,3,6,5,1 / 7,3,6,5,1 = $2.40

 

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