Laurel Park 2-17-2014 - Races 1,2,4-9

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Update for Scratches & Plays 11:26am.
 
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.

Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 4,5,8
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4 / 3,1,8 = $6
$0.50 = 5 / 1,4 / 3,1,8 = $3
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1 / 3,1,8 = $3


Race 1 - 1-1/16mi Clm - Action
A - #2 Ausable River (2-1) - shippers from Aqu have a high WPS % at Lrl, but high beyer last out was earned on the lead
B - #5 Big Apple Brit (6-1) - goes from AlwN1X to Clm, should be around at finish
C - #4 Red October (3-1) - consistent beyers, interesting claim move for Leatherbury who is 21% on 1st claim
D - #3 Neveradullmoment (5/2)

Multi-Race Horses - 2,5,4 (I hate to use 3 horses in a 5 horse field, but it is the only way to be safe)
Suggest Plays:
None.



Race 2 - 6f Clm - Action
A - #3 Changingoftheguard (Even) - takes a drop in class and has some solid records at Lrl and this distance, but lots of speed in this sprint
B - #7 Scipion's Girl (7/2) - most wins have come on lead and that doesn't seem like it will happen here, but is drawn outside with good #'s and a top jockey
C - #6 Princess Appeal (8-1) - 33% at this distance, improved last out, looking for another improvement
D - #5 Gold on Gold (9/2)
E - #4 Bouquet (8-1) - another speed horse, but can sit too, may help exotics

Multi-Race Horses - 3,7,6
Suggest Plays:
None.



Race 4 - 5-1/2f Clm - Play
A - #5 Giant's Fantasy (5-1) - appears to be lone speed, looking for him to hold on at a decent price
B - #2 Excess Liquidity (8/5) - Aqu shipper, class drop, best beyers, should be winner if Giant's Fantasy doesn't hold on
C - #4 New Tecnology (9/2) - exotics
D - #3 Bee Rapid (4-1) - exotics
E - #8 Evil Lad (15-1) - exotics

Notes: This should be a decent exotics race, esp. if Giant's Fantasy can hold on over Excess Liquidity with Bee Rapid or Evil Lad underneath.

Multi-Race Horses - 5,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,2 / 5,2 = $4
$0.50 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 4,3,8 = $3
$0.50 - 5,2 / 4,3 / 5,2,4,3,8 = $6
 


Race 5 - 1mi MSW - Play
A - #1 Cosmic Karma (9/2) - Trnr is 22% on surface switch, looking for this one to wake up on dirt
B - #4 Everyday (2-1) - Big trouble last out, takes first swing in 2014, good shot
C - #6 Freelander (7/2) - seems to be a career  maiden, but is dropping in class for first 2014 try
D - #3 Kennesaw Mountain (3-1) - has run good enough to be in exotics here
E - #5 Whisky Rock (15-1) - first timer, use for exotics boost

Multi-Race Horses - 1,4
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 1 / 4,6 / 4,6 = $1
$0.50 - 1 / 4,6 / 4,6,3,5 = $3
$0.50 - 4,6 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,6,3 = $4
 


Race 6 - 5-1/2f OC - Play
A - #3 Dancing Feather (3-1) - after last out win jumps up to N2X, runs well at Lrl and distance, does best running late
B - #1 Dorothy's Aurora (4-1)
C - #8 Dixie Shea (15-1)
D - #7 Hot Fun (6-1)
E - #5 Perfect Measure (15-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 3,1,8
Suggest Plays:
None.
 


Race 7 - 1-1/16mi OC - Play
A - #1 Steady N Love (8/5) - class drop with trouble 2 races back, should like inside post
B - #7 Silver Bolt (8-1) - looks to be the main speed, first dirt route, but won at Lrl at 7f last out
C - #5 Fibber and Molly (8-1) - exotics
D - #6 From Tiz Moment On (12-1)
E - #2 Home Spun Gal (20-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 1,7
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 1 / 7,5 / 7,5 = $1
$0.50 - 1,7 / 1,7 / 5,6,2 = $3
$0.50 - 1 / 7,5 / 7,5,6,2 = $3
 


Race 8 - 1-1/8mi Maryland Racing Media Stakes - Action
A - #1 Ilikecandy (9/5) - 2 for 3 at Lrl, but first time going 1-1/8 distance, Aqu shipper with several things to like except the price
B - #3 Celtic Kate (10-1) - 2nd out in 2014 and is 6 for 8 in exotics, value
C - #6 Lunar Surge (2-1) - another Aqu shipper that figures a short price, has a shot
D - #2 Malibu Red (3-1) - exotics


Multi-Race Horses - 1,3,6,2 ( I hate to use 4 here, but feel it is the safe play)
Suggest Plays:
None.
 


Race 9 - 7f General George Handicap  G3 - Action
A - #4 Service for Ten (9/2) - may have needed the last start, 50% win and 92% in the money at Lrl, lands a top jockey too
B - #9 Tenango (7/2) - has never won at this distance, but has been 2nd 3 times with some good beyers, ships from Aqu
C - #6 Palace (8/5) - solid favorite with plenty of class, ships from Aqu, has a good win chance
D - #1 Warrioroftheroses (12-1) - speed, but always seems to fade, exotics value
E - #7 Bandbox (15-1) - always in the money at Lrl and at this distance

Multi-Race Horses - 4,9,6
Suggest Plays:
None.