Our guide for the Gotham Stakes & the Kentucky Derby
Future Wager Pool 3 is now available. The link below will take you to my website where
you can download the .pdf guide. It's free, enjoy!
The guide is offered for Free. Know the Stats before you Bet!
Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Gotham Stakes & Ky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Stats Guide
What's included in our Guide?
Stat Example from one of our Guides:
In the last 20 years, 83% of the Trifecta finishers in the Risen Star finished either 1st
or 2nd in their previous start.
Our guides provide detailed stats over the last 20 years for:
- Post Position
- Superfecta Finishers by Running Style
- Par Time (Average Running Time) Comparison Analysis
- Post Time Favorite Stats
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Finish
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Track
- Average, Low and High Payouts Stats
- Average Running Times
- Past Winners List that includes Fractional Times
- Our Analysis of the Stats
- Positive ROI Stats
Make informed decision when it comes to handicapping. Know the Stats before you Bet!
Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Gotham Stakes & Ky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 Stats Guide
Our Stat Guide Packages for the Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby Prep Races are now available! These guides contain detailed stats for all the
races in Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races
including Positive ROI Stats and our analysis. To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
Updated 11:00am EST.
Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Fair Grounds Race 11 - Risen Star G2 - Action
A - #2 Rise Up (4-1) - like the post and win at this distance, 60% Risen Star winners won their previous start and he ran a 105 par rating in the Ded Jackpot which makes him a good Trifecta Key.
B - #8 Intense Holiday (8-1) - ran 107 par rating in the Holy Bull which makes him a good Trifecta prospect based on the stats, but that surface must have been really fast, still Smith & Pletcher are 27%. Could be threat if speed collapses.
C - #9 Hoppertunity (8-1) - won last out with a good beyer, will need to stretch it out. had trouble 2 back, but work times look good for Baffert and drawn outside he may avoid some traffic. Garcia & Baffert are 26%.
D - #Vicar's in Trouble (5/2) - may get hung really wide and outside post do not have good finishes here. still you have to respect the beyer #'s, the 104 par rating in the LeComte makes him a good Trifecta prospect. He is 2 for 2 at Fg.
E - #11 Quick Indian (20-1) - is definitely a horse for course with 2 out of 2 wins at Fg and 2 for 3 at this distance. like that he was still a maiden when he beat more experience OC 50KN1X. Value.
Other Horses to Use in Exotics:
#1 Albano (12-1) - horse for course 2 for 3 at Fg, faded last out, but has a bullet since.
#6 Gold Hawk (8-1) - some trouble in recent starts, would need a step forward, but definitely has exotics possibility.
Important Stats:
12 times a horse that has run a par rating of 102 or higher in any previous Kentucky Derby prep race has finished in the Trifecta. This may not seem significant until you consider that in only 15 of the last 20 years has the Risen Star field contained horses that fit this criteria. That means 80% of the time when the Risen Star field had a horse or horses that met this criteria they occupied at least on spot in the Trifecta. And, from those 15 years, there was only an average of 1.5 horses that fit this criteria in each race. This makes them great key horses. The average $2 Trifecta payout from the 12 years where one of these horses ran in the Trifecta is $886.45. 4 times there have been 2 or more horses that fit this criteria in the Risen Star. 3 of those 4 years at least 2 of these horses finished in the Trifecta.
Horses that fit this criteria are:
#2 Rise Up - ran a 105 in the Delta Downs Jackpot
#9 Intense Holiday - ran a 107 in the Holy Bull
#14 Vicar's in Trouble - ran a 104 in the LeComte
Multi-Race Horses - 2,8,9,14
Suggest Plays:
I think the Trifecta will pay decently well so I'm looking at several $0.50 plays to try to take advantage of the above stat. I think #2 is the best key horse.
$0.50 - 2 / 8,9,14,11 / 8,9,14,11 = $6
$0.50 - 8,9,14,11 / 2 / 8,9,14,11 = $6
$0.50 - 8,9,14,11 / 8,9,14,11 / 2 = $6
$0.50 - 2 / 8,9,14,11 / 1,6 = $4
$0.50 - 2 / 1,6 / 8,9,14,11 = $4
$0.50 - 8,9,14,11 / 2 / 1,6 = $4
Total - $30 play
Gulfstream Race 11 - Fountain of Youth G2 - Action
A - #4 Wildcat Red(6-1) - horse for course with 3 wins and 2 seconds out of 5 starts. 80% of the last 20 winners ran 1st or 2nd in their previous start. Like the inside post in this configuration.
B - #1 Commissioner (3-1) - post 1 has the most top 4 finishes. has won at Gp and it appears this is Pletcher's "A" horse in this race. showed last out he can run.
C - #9 Best Plan Yet (20-1) - is one of two horses that ran above a 102 par rating in a previous Ky Derby prep race. 81% of the time those horses occupy at least one spot int the Trifecta. He ran a 106 in the Holy Bull.
D - #8 Almost Famous (10-1) - ran a 106 par rating in the Holy Bull. But wins have come only on the lead.
E - #12 Top Billing (7/2) - good horse, but is really up against it having to start from this post position. will get hung wide into first turn. exotics.
Other Horses to Use in Exotics:
#5 General Rod (5-1) - has run well in past, esp. at Gp
#7 C. Zee (12-1) - has always been in the exacta at GP
Important Stats:
13 times a horse that has run a par rating of 102 or higher in any previous Kentucky Derby prep race has finished in the Trifecta. This may not seem significant until you consider that in only 16 of the last 20 years has the Fountain of Youth field contained horses that fit this criteria. That means 81% of the time when the Fountain of Youth field had a horse or horses that met this criteria they occupied at least on spot in the Trifecta. And, from those 16 years, the field contained an average of only 1.9 horses that fit this criteria. This makes them great key horses. The average $2 Trifecta payout from the 13 years where one of these horses ran in the Trifecta
was $679.13.
Horses that fit this criteria are:
#9 Best Plan Yet - ran a 106 in the Holy Bull
#8 Almost Famous - ran a 106 in the Holy Bull
Multi-Race Horses - 4,1,9,8
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 4,1 / 4,1 / 9,8,12 = $3
$0.50 - 4,1 / 9,8,12 / 4,1 = $3
$0.50 - 4,1 / 9,8,12 / 9,8,12 = $6
$0.50 - 4,1 / 4,1,8,9,12 / 7,5 = $8
Total - $20 Play
Our Stats Guide for the Fountain of Youth & Risen Star Stats Guid is now available.
The guide is offered for Free. Know the Stats before you Bet!
Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Fountain of Youth & Risen Star Stats Guide
What's included in our Guide?
Stat Example from the Guide:
In the last 20 years, 83% of the Trifecta finishers in the Risen Star finished either 1st
or 2nd in their previous start.
Our guides provide detailed stats over the last 20 years for:
- Post Position
- Superfecta Finishers by Running Style
- Par Time (Average Running Time) Comparison Analysis
- Post Time Favorite Stats
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Finish
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Track
- Average, Low and High Payouts Stats
- Average Running Times
- Past Winners List that includes Fractional Times
- Our Analysis of the Stats
- Positive ROI Stats
Make informed decision when it comes to handicapping. Know the Stats before you Bet!
Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Fountain of Youth & Risen Star Stats Guide
I've watched the video a bunch while making my notes. Here are my thoughts, which are pretty much the same as everyone else:
Tapiture
got a great trip and did what a horse should do with that kind of trip
by pulling away in the stretch. I think Santana won that race going
into the first turn when he held his spot on the rail. Tapiture was a
little green in the stretch and will have some distance questions to
answer going forward, but he looked good today.
Strong Mandate
drifted out and bumped another right out of the gate, then altered course on
the 1st turn to be even wider, he was 4 wide on the 2nd turn and chased
hard down the stretch. I do like the determination he showed to keep
running considering the trip.
Unfortunately, the only other
time the Southwest was run at 1-1/16 miles in the last 20 years was on
a Sloppy track. So, I don't have a final time to compare it to from a
historical standpoint. But, the average time for the 1-1/16 miles Rebel
on a fast track is 1:43.99 out of 18. That is roughly a second faster than
Tapiture ran today (1:44.95). However, one thing is for sure Tapiture and Strong
Mandate were by far the best of these.
Our Stat Guide Packages for the Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby Prep Races are now available! These guides contain detailed stats for all the
races in Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races
including Positive ROI Stats and our analysis. To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
Updated for Scratches 12:25pm.
Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Race 9 - 1-1/16mi Southwest Stakes Grade 3 - Action
A - #2 Tapiture (3-1) - fits a some of the stats criteria well - ran above average in last out and won last out, needs to fire fresh here. Asmussen can have them ready and I expect they would like to see a good race for him to move on.
B - #8 Ride On Curlin (6-1) - win last out and has run decently well in the past, needs to step up from last out
C - #5 Kendall's Boy (12-1) - nice win on the lead last out, but is really taking a jump in distance, exotics
D - #7 Strong Mandate (2-1) - is vulnerable favorite, past races are below par, needs a step forward to win, but never count out Lukas
E - #1 Tanzanite Cat (8-1) - distance test after last out win at a mile
Important Stats:
In the last 20 years the post time favorite has won 50% of the time, that is well above the average. Also, horses that won their previous starts have an 80% win rate. That eliminates 5 horses out of this race from the win category. Horses that won their previous starts have finished in the Trifecta %57 of the time.
Multi-Race Horses - 2,8,5
Suggest Plays:
Our Stat Guide Packages for the Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby Prep Races are now available! These guides contain detailed stats for all the
races in Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races
including Positive ROI Stats and our analysis. To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
Update for Scratches & Plays 11:26am.
Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 4,5,8
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1,4 / 3,1,8 = $6
$0.50 = 5 / 1,4 / 3,1,8 = $3
$0.50 - 5,2 / 1 / 3,1,8 = $3
Race 1 - 1-1/16mi Clm - Action
A - #2 Ausable River (2-1) - shippers from Aqu have a high WPS % at Lrl, but high beyer last out was earned on the lead
B - #5 Big Apple Brit (6-1) - goes from AlwN1X to Clm, should be around at finish
C - #4 Red October (3-1) - consistent beyers, interesting claim move for Leatherbury who is 21% on 1st claim
D - #3 Neveradullmoment (5/2)
Multi-Race Horses - 2,5,4 (I hate to use 3 horses in a 5 horse field, but it is the only way to be safe)
Suggest Plays:
None.
Race 2 - 6f Clm - Action
A - #3 Changingoftheguard (Even) - takes a drop in class and has some solid records at Lrl and this distance, but lots of speed in this sprint
B - #7 Scipion's Girl (7/2)
- most wins have come on lead and that doesn't seem like it will happen
here, but is drawn outside with good #'s and a top jockey
C - #6 Princess Appeal (8-1) - 33% at this distance, improved last out, looking for another improvement
D - #5 Gold on Gold (9/2)
E - #4 Bouquet (8-1) - another speed horse, but can sit too, may help exotics
Multi-Race Horses - 3,7,6
Suggest Plays:
None.
Race 4 - 5-1/2f Clm - Play
A - #5 Giant's Fantasy (5-1) - appears to be lone speed, looking for him to hold on at a decent price
B - #2 Excess Liquidity (8/5) - Aqu shipper, class drop, best beyers, should be winner if Giant's Fantasy doesn't hold on
C - #4 New Tecnology (9/2) - exotics
D - #3 Bee Rapid (4-1) - exotics
E - #8 Evil Lad (15-1) - exotics
Notes:
This
should be a decent exotics race, esp. if Giant's Fantasy can hold on
over Excess Liquidity with Bee Rapid or Evil Lad underneath.
Multi-Race Horses - 5,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,2 / 5,2 = $4
$0.50 - 5,2 / 5,2 / 4,3,8 = $3
$0.50 - 5,2 / 4,3 / 5,2,4,3,8 = $6
Race 5 - 1mi MSW - Play
A - #1 Cosmic Karma (9/2) - Trnr is 22% on surface switch, looking for this one to wake up on dirt
B - #4 Everyday (2-1) - Big trouble last out, takes first swing in 2014, good shot
C - #6 Freelander (7/2) - seems to be a career maiden, but is dropping in class for first 2014 try
D - #3 Kennesaw Mountain (3-1) - has run good enough to be in exotics here
E - #5 Whisky Rock (15-1) - first timer, use for exotics boost
Multi-Race Horses - 1,4
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 1 / 4,6 / 4,6 = $1
$0.50 - 1 / 4,6 / 4,6,3,5 = $3
$0.50 - 4,6 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,6,3 = $4
Race 6 - 5-1/2f OC - Play
A - #3 Dancing Feather (3-1) - after last out win jumps up to N2X, runs well at Lrl and distance, does best running late
B - #1 Dorothy's Aurora (4-1)
C - #8 Dixie Shea (15-1)
D - #7 Hot Fun (6-1)
E - #5 Perfect Measure (15-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 3,1,8
Suggest Plays:
None.
Race 7 - 1-1/16mi OC - Play
A - #1 Steady N Love (8/5) - class drop with trouble 2 races back, should like inside post
B - #7 Silver Bolt (8-1) - looks to be the main speed, first dirt route, but won at Lrl at 7f last out
C - #5 Fibber and Molly (8-1) - exotics
D - #6 From Tiz Moment On (12-1)
E - #2 Home Spun Gal (20-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 1,7
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 1 / 7,5 / 7,5 = $1
$0.50 - 1,7 / 1,7 / 5,6,2 = $3
$0.50 - 1 / 7,5 / 7,5,6,2 = $3
Race 8 - 1-1/8mi Maryland Racing Media Stakes - Action
A - #1 Ilikecandy (9/5) - 2 for 3 at Lrl, but first time going 1-1/8 distance, Aqu shipper with several things to like except the price
B - #3 Celtic Kate (10-1) - 2nd out in 2014 and is 6 for 8 in exotics, value
C - #6 Lunar Surge (2-1) - another Aqu shipper that figures a short price, has a shot
D - #2 Malibu Red (3-1) - exotics
Multi-Race Horses - 1,3,6,2 ( I hate to use 4 here, but feel it is the safe play)
Suggest Plays:
None.
Race 9 - 7f General George Handicap G3 - Action
A - #4 Service for Ten (9/2) - may have needed the last start, 50% win and 92% in the money at Lrl, lands a top jockey too
B - #9 Tenango (7/2) - has never won at this distance, but has been 2nd 3 times with some good beyers, ships from Aqu
C - #6 Palace (8/5) - solid favorite with plenty of class, ships from Aqu, has a good win chance
D - #1 Warrioroftheroses (12-1) - speed, but always seems to fade, exotics value
E - #7 Bandbox (15-1) - always in the money at Lrl and at this distance
Multi-Race Horses - 4,9,6
Suggest Plays:
None.
Our Stats Guide for the Southwest Stakes & El Camino Real Derby is now available. Know the Stats before you Bet!
Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Southwest Stakes & El Camino Real Derby Stats Guide
What's included in our Guide?
Our guides provide detailed stats over the last 20 years for:
- Post Position
- Superfecta Finishers by Running Style
- Par Time Comparison Analysis
- Post Time Favorite Stats
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Finish
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Track
- Average, Low and High Payouts Stats
- Average Running Times
- Past Winners List that includes Fractional Times
- Our Analysis of the Stats
- Positive ROI Stats
Make informed decision when it comes to handicapping. Know the Stats before you Bet!
Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Southwest Stakes & El Camino Real Derby Stats Guide
Our Stat Guide Packages for the Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby Prep Races are now available! These guides contain detailed stats for all the
races in Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races
including Positive ROI Stats and our analysis. To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
Last updated 1:44pm EST.
Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Multirace Bets-
Race 4 - 6-1/2f Hurricane Bertie G3 - Play
A - #1 Groupie Doll (6/5) - 3 for 3 at distance, hard to go against this gal in her last start
B - #6 Heart Stealer (3-1) - runs well at GP and at this distance, can sit or go
C - #7 Wildcat Lily (5-1) - a pair of 2nd's in Grade 1 company last year
D - #2 Jamaican Smoke (6-1) - speed and is Grade 1 placed
E - #4 Distortion (10-1)
Multi-Race Horses: 1,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 1 / 6,7 / 6,7 = $2
$0.50 - 1 / 6,7 / 6,7,2,4,5 = $4
$0.50 - 1 / 2,4 / 6,7 = $2
$0.50 - 6,7 / 1 / 6,7,2 = $2
Race 11 - 1-1/8mi Gulfstream Park Turf Handicap G1 - Action
A - #5 Summer Front (5/2) - is 2 for 3 on GP Turf, race may set up to liking.
B - #6 Amira's Prince (5-1) - is 3 for 3 at GP, 1 for 1 at this distance, can sit or go
C - #8 Boisterous (6-1) - good post for style, Grade 1 winner, 50% at this distance
D - #2 Tetradrachm (3-1)
E - #7 Imagining (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses: 5,6,8
Suggest Plays:
Race 12 - 1-1/8mi Donn Handicap G1 - Action
A - #6 Romansh (6-1) - first out in 2014, but is 3 for 2 at this distance and can run big
B - #2 Will Take Charge (9/5) - I like this horse, 3 for 2 at this distance, has the right to win
C - #9 Bourbon Courage (10-1) - is working well for first out in 2014, could boost exotics
D - #3 Revolutionary (5-1) - gutsy horse, needs a move fwd here, but willing to give exotics spot
E - #5 River Seven (4-1)
Multi-Race Horses: 6,2
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 6 / 2 / 9,3,5,8 = $2
$0.50 - 6,2 / 6,2 / 9,3,5,8 = $4
$0.50 - 6,2 / 9,3,5,8 / 6,2 = $4
$0.10 - 6,2 / 9,3,5 / 9,3,5,8 / 6,2,9,3,5,8 = $5.40
Our Stat Guide Packages for the Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby Prep Races are now available! These guides contain detailed stats for all the races in Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races including Positive ROI Stats and our analysis.
In our analysis we list stats that show a positive Return on
Investment (ROI) and the ones that you need know to make
informed decisions on racing's biggest days. We break down stats
on horses that ran above average in their previous prep races and
how they finished in the Superfecta in the Triple Crown races
and the Kentucky Derby 100 Point Prep races. Plus winners by running style, post time favorite stats and much more!
With the Kentucky Derby Future wager this weekend, it's important to know the stats before you play!
To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
Updated 2:20pm EST.
Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Multirace Bets-
Pick 3 - Races 5,6,7
$1 - 5 / 7,2,5 / 1,13,2,14 = $12
Race 1 - 6-1/2f sAlw Downhill Turf - Play
A - #4 Yankee Rebel (8/5) - like the cut back coming down the hill, but is obvious favorite
B - #2 Cinco de Mario (3-1) - has posted some good #'s on the turf, speed canidate
C - #1 Hello Frankie (5-1) - should in the exotics
D - #6 Fighting On (8-1) - a big question mark, here but I like the odds in the exotics
E - #5 Crimson Giant (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 4,2
Suggested Plays:
$0.10 - 4 / 2,1 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1,6,5,3 = $1.80
$0.10 - 4 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1 / 2,1,6,5,3 = $1.80
$0.10 - 4 / 2,1 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1,6,5,3,7 = $2.40
$0.10 - 2,1 / 4 / 2,1,6,5 / 2,1,6,5,3 = $1.80
Race 3 - 6-1/2f Clm - Action
A
- #4 Big Wags (4-1) - likes SA, dropping in class and cutting back
B
- #7 Muchos Besos (7/2) - has some good dirt form
C - #6 Runaway Wildcat (8-1) - class dropper that could boost exotics
D - #3 Magic Beam (4-1) - class drop, but is 0 for 10 at SA & 0 for 7 at this distance
E - #5 Sammy's a Runnin' (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 4,7,6
Suggested Plays:
Race 5 - 1-1/8mi San Antonio G2 - Play
A
- #5 Game on Dude (3/5) - is much the best here from several angles, no reason to go against, single/key
B
- #4 Majestic Harbor (6-1) - hoping he can catch a tired Blueskiesnrainbows
C
- #3 Blueskiesnrainbows (3-1) - can't run with Game on Dude, how far will he fade is the question
D - #6 Blingo (6-1) - could help the exotics if he can get past Blueskiesnrainbows as well
E
- #2 American Blend (10-1) - definite exotics boost
Multi-Race Horses - 5
Suggested Plays:
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3 / 4,3 / 6,2,1,7 = $0.80
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3,6,2 = $1.80
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3 / 4,3,6,2,1 = $1.80
$0.10 - 5 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3,6,2 / 4,3,6,2,1 = $3.60
Race 6 - 6f Clm - Action
A
- #7 Beautiful Spirit (5/2) - class dropper that can show speed, drawn outside other speed
B
- #2 Secret Memo (7/2) - speed, but is sandwiched between two other speed horse
C
- #5 Citizen Jane (6-1)
D - #6 Lil Cheyenne (6-1)
E - #8 Miracle Merger (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 7,2,5
Suggested Plays:
Race 7 - 1-1/4mi San Marcos G2 Turf - Action
A - #1 Slim Shadey (6-1) - with his early speed, I'm looking for him to get a good position
B
- #13 Temeraine (6-1) - will get the distance, should mix it up
C
- #2 Vagabond Shoes (9/2) - coming off a layoff this 7yr olds has posted some nice works
D - #14 Dubai You X Y Z (6-1) - was beaten just 3 lengths in G1 Shoemaker, likes SA
E - #6 Jeranimo (7/2) - this old guy is still running well
Multi-Race Horses - 1,13,2,14
Suggested Plays:
Race 8 - 1-1/16mi Robert B. Lewis G2 - Play
A
- #7 Chitu (7/2) - really like the works. should run big here.
B
- #3 Midnight Hawk (9/5) - Baffert could likely run 1,2. huge win chance, esp. with Smith in the irons.
C
- #6 El Nino Terrible (12-1) - has speed that may allow him to hold on in exotics at a price
D - #1 Candy Boy (2-1) - drawn inside and will need to work a trip with running style
E - #5 Cool Samurai (6-1)
Multi-Race Horses - 7,3
Suggested Plays:
$0.10 - 7,3 / 7,3 / 6,1,5 / 6,1,5 = $1.20
$0.10 - 7,3 / 7,3,6,1 / 7,3,6,1,5 / 7,3,6,1,5 = $3.60
$0.10 - 7,3 / 7,3,6,1 / 7,3,6,1,5 / 4 = $1.80
$0.10 - 7,3 / 5 / 7,3,6,1 / 7,3,6,1 = $1.20
$0.10 - 1,5 / 7,3 / 7,3,6,5,1 / 7,3,6,5,1 = $2.40
Our Stat Guide Packages for the Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races are now available! These guides contain detailed stats for all the races in Triple Crown and 100 Point Kentucky Derby qualifying races.
With the Kentucky Derby Future Wager this weekend there is no better time to know the stats!
To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
Races included in our guides are:
- Arkansas Derby
- Blue Grass Stakes
- Florida Derby
- Louisiana Derby
- Santa Anita Derby
- Wood Memorial
- Kentucky Derby
- Preakness Stakes
- Belmont Stakes
Our guides provide detailed stats over the last 20 years for:
- Post Position
- Winners by Running Style
- Par Time Comparison Analysis
- Post Time Favorite Stats
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Track
- Average, Low and High Payouts Stats
- Average Running Times
- Past Winners List that includes Fractional Times
- Our Analysis of the Stats
- Positive ROI Stats
In our analysis we list stats that show a positive Return on
Investment (ROI) and the ones that you need know to make
informed decisions on racing's biggest days. We break down stats
on horses that ran above average in their previous prep races and
how they finished in the Superfecta in the Triple Crown races
and the Kentucky Derby 100 Point Prep races.
Our guide also includes a list of the major 2 year old and 3
year old Kentucky Derby qualifying prep races. It shows their average
running times for each track condition and the records
for each prep race in all of the Triple Crown and 100 Point Prep
races.
To Buy or for more information and pricing, visit our website BigDayStats.com
I've put some of the basic stats together for
the smaller prep races. This one is for the Withers and Robert B. Lewis.
It is very similar in format to the basic one I put out for the
Breeders' Cup. The link below will take you to the Big Day Stats where you can enter your
email address to download the guide. It is free and I hope it helps!
Enjoy!
Look for our Kentucky Derby 100 point prep races and Triple Crown packages coming February 2014!
Stats Guide Link:
Withers and Robert B. Lewis Stats Guide
