Updated for scratches 12:09pm.
My Race Rating System-
I
always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic
bets. In
some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my
selected
winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider
betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race. Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet. Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race. Good Exacta or Trifecta play. Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single. Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets
Race 4 - 1-1/8 miles Rampart Stakes G3 - Play
A - #1 Ciao Bella (8/5) - her last out beyer puts her over the top of these, will have to go from post 1
B - #3 Successful Song (9/5) - seems to be in good form, recent outs puts her in the mix here
C - #5 Authenticity (6-1) - should be laying pretty close to pace, close enough to catch a piece of the exotics
D - #4 Go Unbridled (3-1)
E - #6 One Last Dance (15)
Multi-Race Horses-
1,3
Race Notes-
Top 2 are likely the best in here. Getting the #5 into the exotics would help the value.
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 1,3 / 1,3 / 4,5,6 = $6
$1 - 1,3 / 1,3 / 4,5 = $4
$1 - 1,3 / 4,5 / 1,3 = 4
Race 7 - 1-1/16 miles TURF MSW - Action
A - #2 Forever Thing (5/2) - just missed last out while have a slow start, hoping he can repeat effort
B - #8 Balthazar (3-1) - another one who closed well last out, likely
C - #7 Urban Talk (5-1) - like the work pattern
D - #9 Luck Seeker (8-1) - beyers put him in the mix, but hasn't gotten the job done yet
E - #12 Mighty Quinn (12-1) - barn does decent with firsters and works suggest maybe ready
Multi-Race Horses-
2,8,7
Race Notes-
Wide open MSW, but I do like horses who have started before and #2 and #8 have proven they can close.
Suggested Plays:
Race 8 - 1-1/8 miles Gulfstream Park Oaks G2 - Play
A - #5 Dreaming of Julia (2-1) - needs to move fwd a little, but hoping she can turn the tables this time
B - #3 Live Lively (3-1) - both 90+ beyers have come while on the lead and there is some other speed in here
C - #6 Emollient (3-1) - deserving to move fwd, but will need big jump to catch top 2, working well
D - #4 Kimberly Jean (10-1) - moving fwd, would help trifecta value
E - #1 Cue the Moon (4-1)
Multi-Race Horses-
5,3
Race Notes-
Most likely the winner will come from the top 2 horses, but #6 rates an upset chance.
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 5,3 / 5,3 / 6,4,1 = $6
$1 - 5,3 / 6 / 5,3 = $2
$0.50 - 5,3 / 6 / 4,1 = $2
Race 9 - 1-1/2 miles TURF Orchid G3 - Action
A - #7 Aigue Marine (3-1) - should handle this group, but getting a class test over last out
B - #5 Starformer (5/2) - other speed in here may hurt, but has plenty of class, definite contender
C - #8 Angegreen (10-1) - I like this move by Motion, horse maybe sitting on a big one and pace will help
D - #1 Regalio Mia (5-1) - should move fwd, pace will help
E - #6 Irish Mission (6-1) - fits with this group and should get a good trip, exotics
Multi-Race Horses-
7,5,8,1
Race Notes-
Race is a little more wide open than I would like when making a play, though I think the top 2 are the most likely...but it is a turf race.
Suggested Plays:
Race 10 - 1-3/16 miles Skip Away G3 - Action
A - #9 Cigar Street (5/2) - big last out beyer was earned while on lead, but he stands to wire this field too
B - #8 Take Charge Indy (3-1) - should move fwd off the Donn and that makes him a definite contender
C - #3 Golden Ticket (5-1) - 2 for 2 at Gp and 1 for 1 at distance, nice beyers make him a possibility
D - #10 Pants on Fire (5-1) - runs well at Gp, possibility
E - #7 O'Prado Again (8-1) - another one who could mix it up here
Multi-Race Horses-
9,8,3,10
Race Notes-
Wide open amongst top selections.
Suggested Plays:
Race 11 - 1 mile TURF Appleton G3 - Action
A - #3 Za Approval (7/2) - the race sets up for him, post should help too
B - #4 Joes Blazing Aaron (5-1) - could handle these, but there is a lot of other speed in here
C - #7 Silver Max (6-1) - has been working great, loves the turf (7-12), should be overlooked at the windows some
D - #9 Beau Choix (6-1) - beyers put him in the mix and speed in here should help
E - #5 Cool Blue Red Hot (12-1) - would offer some value in exotics
Multi-Race Horses-
3,4,7,9
Race Notes-
I think this one is going to be a calvary charge to the wire, speed horses trying to hold on and closers coming hard. Should be interesting to watch.
Suggested Plays:
Race 12 - 1-1/8 miles Florida Derby G2 - Action
A - #3 Itsmyluckyday (2-1) - looks the best on paper and should get a favorable trip
B - #1 Shanghai Bobby (5/2) - lots to prove, but Gp fits his style
C - #2 Pick of the Litter (6-1) - moving fwd and offers some value
D - #6 Orb (3-1) - will need some pace and not sure he'll get it
E - #7 Indy's Illusion (20-1) - this maybe the best exotics overlay on the card, moved fwd last out, another one puts him in the mix here
Multi-Race Horses-
3,1,2
Race Notes-
Hoping the race will be formful, but most of the other preps have not been.
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 3,1 / 3,1 = $4
$1 - 3,1 / 2,6,7 = $6
$0.50 - 3,1 / 3,1,2,6,7 / 3,1,2,6,7 = $12
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