Laurel Park - Wed 9-26-2012 Selections Pick 4 (Races 6-9)

Updated for scratches.

Pick 4 Races 6,7,8,9 - Post Time 3:37pm
Pick 3 Races 7,8,9 - Post Time 4:07pm

I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Race 6 - 7f Claiming - Action  Post Time 3:37pm
A - #1 Roman's Touch - like the early speed - Second
B - #3 St John's Gospel - My handicapping instinct tells me this is a poor play, I don't like the notes from the last start.  But if he runs back to past starts he is easily best. - Winner
C - #7 Patrol Leader - can close - Third
D - #5  Risky Red
E - #4 Evening Concerto
Suggest Plays:

Pick 4 - Races 6,7,8,9
$0.50 - 1,3,7,5 / 3,8,9 / 6,7 / 9,4,1-1a = $36
- OR -
$0.50 - 1,3,7,5 / 3,8,9 / 6,7,4 / 9,4,1-1a = $54

Also, you may want to play $0.50 - 1,3 / 3,8 / 6,7 / 9,4 = $8.  This will add some value if some of the favorites win.


Race 7 - 5-1/2f OC TURF - Action
A - #3 Greek Warrior - 2nd off layoff, should move forward, good early speed - Winner $5.40
B - #8 Count Catamount - ships in from much classier tracks, has early speed, bad break last out - Second
C - #9 Jake Rattle N Roll - closes well, 15 of 23 in money atdistance, chance if speed collapses
D - #2 True to Tradition - 2 for 2 at Lrl, 18-25 in money at distance - Third
E - #1 Royal HIll - drops in class, has won at Lrl on the turf, shortening up
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 3,8/3,8 = $4 Hit $14.00
$1 - 3,8/9 = $2
$1 - 9/3,8 = $2
- OR -
$1 - 3,8/3,8,9/3,8,9,2,1 = $12 Hit $22.50

Pick 3 - Races 7,8,9
$0.50 - 3,8,9 / 6,7,4 / 9,4,1-1a = $13.50


Race 8 - 6f OC - Play
A - #6 Speeding Spike - really good early speed, class drop, 4 of 9 wins at distance - Second
B - #7 More Than a Reason - Mth shippers 30% win at Lrl, 63% in money, should get a good trip
C - #4 Regal Revenge - class drop, good speed
D - #3 Escort - really fits here, but seems to be regressing and in for tag for Ness, class drop - Third
E - #1 Wolfcamp - class drop, runs well at distance, but maybe a cut below best - Winner
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 6/7,4 = $4
$1 - 6/3,1 = $2
$2 - 7/6 = $2
$1 - 7/4,3 = $2
- OR - 
$1 - 6,7/6,7,4/6,7,4,3,1 = $12
$1 - 6,7/3 = $2


Race 9 - 1-1/16mi Md Sp Wght TURF - Action
A - #9 Why Not More - horse has run well at distances, closes well, should get a good trip
B - #4 Golden Rock - interesting that A. Dutrow ships here and secures Russell.  Dutrow .38% 2nd off over 180 days
C - #1a Smart Cash - closes well - Winner
D - #8 Passionate Gold - ships in from classier tracks and solid trainer, but still maybe a cut below - Third
E - #1 La Flamme - Cnl shippers win a smaller % here, but I like the speed flashed last out and not much speed in here
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 9/4,1-1a, 8 = $3
$1 - 4/9,1-1a = $2