Thursday, September 20, 2012

Laurel Park - Thursday 9-20-2012 Selections (Pick 4 Races 6-9)

Updated for scratches.  Start of Pick 4 race 6 post time 3:37pm.  

This pick 4 sequence is tough.  I've listed a couple of different ticket options depending on how deep you want to go.

I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets


Race 6 - 1mi Claiming - Weak
A - #8 Voce Del Leone (5-1) - Winner $9.40
B - #3  Trappist Monk (6-1)
C - #13 Caldo Cat (9/2)
D - #9 Anzio Adam (12-1) - Second
E - #4 Quatorze Royalty (4-1)
Suggested Plays:

Pick 4 - Races 6,7,8,9

Winning Ticket - 8 / 5 / 4 / 6
$0.50 - 8,3,13 / 4,5 / 2,9 / 6,10,14 = $18
- OR -
$0.50 - 8,3,13 / 4,5 / 2,9,4 / 6,10,14 = $27 - Hit $245.35
- OR -
$0.50 - 8,3,13 / 4,5,3 / 2,9,4 / 6,10,14,11 = $54 - Hit $245.35

- OR -
$0.50 - 8,3,13 / 4,5,3 / 2,9,4 / 6,10,14,11,4 = $67.5 - Hit $245.35


I'd play the $18 or $27 bet.  As wide open as a few of these races are, I'm not sure it is worth the risk by putting more money into it.

Race 7 - 5-1/2f OC - Action
A - #4 Private Tour (3-1) - Has early speed, like post for running style, good speed #'s
B - #5 Hamp (4-1) - Woodbine shipper, good speed #'s, back to preferred surface - Winner
C - #3 Gas Tank (7/2) - Back to best surface, Cnl maiden break was very impressive, early speed - Second
D - #2 Video Store (5/2) - No turf experience, but has proven can run and nice work pattern, coming off layoff
E - #6 Over and Back (10-1) - No turf experience, good 1st claim %, shipping from good track, early speed - Third
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 4,5/4,5,3,2 = $6 - Hit $23.90

Race 8 - 1mi Claiming - Play
A - #2 Forever Tango (7/2) - Like the speed, may get uncontested lead, good wins at distance, class drop
B - #9 Sweet N Nutty (3-1) - Nice post for running style, ships from classier tracks, 6-7 in money at distance, class drop - Second
C - #4 Carrietta (4-1) - Will need some pace help, class drop, good speed #'s, likes Lrl - Winner
D - #5 Italian Nany (5/2) - 33% at distance, but maybe a cut below
E - #1 Cambria Queen (8-1) - 3-6 in money at distance, but maybe a cut below as well
Suggested Plays:
$1 -  2,9/2,9,4/2,9,4,5,1 = $12
$1 - 4/2,9 = $2 - Hit $14.10

Race 9 - 5-1/2 Claiming - Action
A - #6 Emma's Kiss (5-1) - Ness goes to great turf rider, jockey/trainer 35%, nice class drop - Winner $8.60
B - #10 Just Christina (4-1) - always runs well, good speed #'s, like the early speed - Second
C - #14 Shanana (15-1) - good class drop and speed #'s, wide is a concern
D - #11 Grazezing (8-1) - class drop, good speed #'s, should sit close, good post for style
E - #4 Trixie Minor (9/2) - good turf 3's, but the 81 was earned while on the lead, 1stw/trn 27%, chance if speed fails
Suggested Plays:
$2 - Win #6 - Hit $8.60

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