Updated 3:40pm EST.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Race 5 - 1 mile Del Mar Mile Handicap G2 TURF - Prime
A - #1 Obviously (7/5) - by far the most accomplished horse in the field, could easily find himself alone on the lead, which is how he as won 8 out of 11 starts at this distance on the turf.
B - #2 Tom's Tribute (2-1) - should sit a stalking trip, but I'm not sure he'll get the pace setup he'll need. Still he is a G1 winner and looks like the only possibility to upset Obviously.
C - #4 Handsome Mike (15-1) - don't see him winning this, but definite exotics use
D - #8 He Be Fire N Ice (10-1) - has run well on the turf before, but the pace setup may not help his off the pace style. Exotics.
E - #6 Rock Me Baby (6-1) - bottom end exotics use.
Multi-Race Horses: 1
Suggest Plays:
$3 - 1 / 2 / 4,8 = $6
$1 - 1 / 2 / 4,8,6 = $3
$1 - 1 / 4,8,6 / 2 = $3
Race 9 - 7f Pat O'Brien Stakes G2 - Action+
A - #5 Goldencents (5/2) - didn't get off to the best start last out, but is always game and 7f to 1 mile is his best distance, though I do think he prefers the dirt a little better that artificial.
B - #2 Fed Biz (2-1) - can be a monster when he shows up and he's won 3 out of 4 synthetic starts all will 100+ Beyer speed figures.
C - #3 Silentio (8-1) - switches from turf to synthetic, if he takes to the surface he should be in the mix, esp. in the exotics, probably the best value in the race
D - #7 Big Macher (3-1) - should be up close and got the best of Goldencents last out, though the latter did have trouble. Exotics.
E - #6 Color of Courage (15-1) - an exotics booster that has 4 wins and some good beyers on synthetic.
Multi-Race Horses: 5,2,3
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,2 / 5,2 = $4 - HIT $13.00
$1 - 5,2 / 5,2,3,7,6 = $8 - HIT $6.50
Race 10 - 1-1/4 miles Pacific Classic G1 - Play
A - #5 Game On Dude (3-1) - with his proven ability over synthetic and at this distance I think it is crazy not to take 3-1 on him. Certainly, Shared Belief poses a big threat and Game On Dude hasn't run as well this year, but when he decides to show up 3-1 is a lot of value on this horse.
B - #11 Shared Belief (5/2) - he's 4 for 4 on synthetic, but this talented 3 year old is really stepping into the deep end of the pool for the first time. Definite win contender.
C - #9 Clubhouse Ride (8-1) - seems to hang around a lot in the exotics, but Del Mar doesn't seem to be his preferred surface, still his value could help out a trifecta or superfecta
D - #7 Majestic Harbor (9/2) - got the best of Clubhouse Ride, Imperative and Game On Dude last out. He doesn't have much synthetic form to look at, but his most recent workout over the surfaces looks good.
E - #3 Imperative (20-1) - with the right trip he could really boost the exotics. Exotic value.
Multi-Race Horses: 5,11
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,11 / 5,11 / 9,7,3 = $6
$1 - 5,11 / 9,7,3 / 5,11 = $3
$1 - 5,11 / 9,7,3 / 9,7,3 = $12
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