Card Totals
Winners - 2 out of 4 - $8 / $12 ($2 win bet) +50% ROI
List Plays - $139.50 / $184.20 +32% ROI
Good day, but was very chalky, needed some bigger prices underneath.
Breeders' Cup Stats Guide
Did you know that the post time favorite has never finished in the exacta in the Breeders'
Cup Dirt Mile. In the last 21 years, just 1 horse has won the
Breeders' Cup Turf while racing on the lead. Ever wonder which Breeders' Cup race has the highest average
payouts? Or, which track has prepped the most Breeders' Cup Classic
top 4 finishers? How about how the post time favorite has finished in each Breeders' Cup Race
Our Breeders' Cup Stats Guide contains detailed stats for
both days of Breeders' Cup races. Stats in the guide include our
analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, course
stats for Santa Anita's new dirt surface and much more! Find out more on our website www.bigdaystats.com.
Let our Breeders' Cup Stats Guide help you handicap the races by showing
you stats, trends and positive ROI plays over the last 20 years of
Breeders' Cup races.
Click Here for more information or to Purchase the Guide
Updated 3:52pm EST.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Multirace Bets:
Daily Double - Races 7,8
$2 - 9,1 / 4,6 = $8 - HIT $9.80
$2 - 9,1,8 / 4,6,2 = $18 - HIT $9.80
Daily Double - Races 8,9
$2 - 4,6 / 10,2 = $4 - HIT $19.80
$2 - 4 / 10,2,7,9 = $8 - HIT $19.80
$2 - 4,6,2 / 10,2 = $12 - HIT $19.80
Pick 3 - Races 7,8,9
$.50 - 9,1 / 4,6 / 10,2,11 = $6 - HIT $11.20
$.50 - 9,1,8 / 4,6,2 / 10,2,9,7,11 = $22.50 - HIT $11.20
Distaff / Classic Double
$1 - 10,7,2 / 13,6,11 = $9
$1 - 10,7,2,9,3,11 / 13,6 = $12
$1 - 10,7,2 / 13,6,11,9 = $12
Race 6 - 1 Mile - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf G1 - Action
A - #7 War Envoy (9/2) - should run a solid race and was only beaten 1-1/4 lengths last out in a G1 at Lch.
B - #11 Imperia (6-1) - he can really close in the stretch, but will need to work out a trip not to get hung wide at this distance.
C - #5 Hootenanny (3-1) - this will be the first time he has run 2 turns, beaten just 1/2 length in a G1 last out. - Winner
D - #4 Commemorative (8-1) - if he can put it together going around the turns he could be a likely winner and at a good price too!
E - #10 Startup Nation (12-1) - moved up with scratch of Aktabantay
Multi-Race Horses: 7,11,5,4,9
Race Notes: No one absolutely jumps off the page at me, anyone of several horses could win it. Exacta should pay nicely with so many options.
Suggest Plays:
None.
Race 7 - 1 Mile - Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile G1 - Play
A - #9 Tapiture (6-1) - Though just one horse has won the BC Dirt Mile from outside of post #8, I think Tapiture might sit a good trip on the outside, though he could be wide into the first turn. I really like the way Asmussen pulled back after the Ky Derby and Tapiture has steadily moved forward since then. He ran a really good second to Bayern when the latter ran out of his skin in the Pennsylvania Derby. Looking for a big effort - Top selection if things don't go perfect for Goldencents. - Second
B - #1 Goldencents (6/5) - Will take a lot of money at the windows. I don't mind the inside post position for his style and configuration of this 2 turn mile. His par ratings put him on top. No doubt, he loves this distance and the SA course, plus I've heard is 10/24 workout looked good. However, the post time favorite for the BC Dirt Mile has never finished in the Exacta. Plus there is some other speed in this race that he'll have to deal with early. Expecting him to run very well and he is a strong win contender. But, with such strong stats against him and the presence of other speed I may try to beat him in the win category. - Winner
C - #8 Fed Biz (7/2) - Should be forwardly placed, but his best numbers lately have come on an artificial surface. Still, he's 50% at this distance and should be forwardly placed. He ran a very strong second just getting edged by Shared Belief in the 1-1/8 mile Awesome Again. Looking for a big effort - top contender.
D - #3 Vicar's In Trouble (12-1) - 3 year old who has some early speed. This is the shortest distance he has raced this year and I'm expecting him to run well and hang around late for the exotics. Exotics value.
E - #4 Pants On Fire (6-1) - He's 50% at this distance and 6 out of 8 in the money. His last 3 races have been pretty good, but he seems a cut below the big 3 in here. Exotics use. - Third
Multi-Race Horses: 9,1,8
Race Notes: It is very possible that Goldencents could be the most likely winner all weekend. He's drawn well for his style and people are buzzing about the way he looks on the track. Still, the stats in the BC Dirt Mile have been strongly against the post time favorite and Tapiture is a nice horse if things don't go according to plan for Goldencents. Feb Biz's 2nd in the Awesome Again to Shared Belief has to count for something, so I wouldn't leave him out. Also, remember that at Santa Anita a 1 mile dirt race is run around 2 turns, so I prefer horses with proven 2 turn ability.
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 9,1,8 / 9,1,8 = $6 - HIT $7.10
$1 - 9,8,1 / 9,1,8,3,4 = $12 - HIT $7.10
Race 8 - 1 Mile - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf G1 - Action+
A - #4 Lady Eli (6-1) - good post for this turf course configuration, have heard great things about the way she has looked on the track while training, closes well, 2 for 2 on the turf - Winner $6.80
B - #6 Sivoliere (12-1) - should really like the distance and has look well on the track in the mornings, good chance
C - #2 Osaila (5-1) - beaten just 1-1/4 lengths in a G1 two back and has run well all year - Third
D - #5 Isabella Sings (12-1) - exotics value
E - #3 Sunset Glow (7/2) - exotics use - Second
Multi-Race Horses: 4,6,2
Race Notes: I feel like the winner is likely amongst the top 3, once you get past them the race seems wide open. Good Exacta race.
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 4,6,2 / 4,6,2 = $6
$1 - 4,6 / 2,5,3,9,11 = $10 - HIT $17.50
Race 9 - 1-1/8 Miles - Breeders' Cup Distaff G1 - Play
A - #10 Untapable (5/2) - If she runs her A race she'll be tough to beat. She was dominate this spring, but couldn't beat the boys in the Haskell. The she came back with a nice win the Cotillion at Parx. I've heard great things from the clockers. Again, her best form would make her tough to beat and the post position keeps her outside and in the clear. Top Selection. - Winner $5.20
B - #2 Tiz Midnight (10-1) - Re-rallied last out to run a very nice second to Beholder in the Zenyatta. Seems to be moving forward and a Baffert runner with speed is always dangerous. Win contender.
C - #7 Don't Tell Sophia (5-1) - She gobbled up ground in the stretch to win last out in the Spinster. Pace will help her, but if the course plays to speed it could hurt. She's 2 for 3 at this distance. Looking for a big effort. Win chance, definite exotics use. - Second
D - #9 Ria Antonia (15-1) - The move to run her in the Preakness was a bad move, so draw a line through that race. She won the Juvenile Fillies last year through a DQ. In her last out she seems to have gotten back on track having put in a pace pressing effort that saw her take the lead in the stretch only to be caught by Don't Tell Sophia. Lots of value if she steps forward. Exotics use.
E - #3 Iotapa (6-1) - Has won 2 grade 1 races this year. Had some trouble in her last out when she missed the break and was behind horses before getting bumped in the stretch. Still, she didn't make up a lot of ground after the trouble and Tiz Midnight still got the best of her. Exotics use. - Third
Exotics Use:
#11 Close Hatches (3-1) - Based on her last out and some clocker notes, getting her out of the exotics will definitely boost prices, but if she returns to her form she'll be tough here and will very likely end up in the exotics if not win.
Multi-Race Horses: 10,7,2,9
Race Notes: With Close Hatches running such a poor race last out, I don't want to lean heavily on her and in fact would like to get her out of the exotics. She may rebound to win this race, but after what appears to be a form reversal I want a horse to prove it again, especially a female horse. If Untapable is in top form she'll be hard to deny, espescially with outside post position which will give her clear sailing.
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 10,2,7 / 10,2,7 = $6 - HIT $13.50
$1 - 10,2,7 / 9,3,11 = $9
$.50 - 10,2,7 / 10,2,7 / 10,2,7,9,3,11 = $12 - HIT $37.60
Good Luck! As always, it should be two fantastic days of racing!
Thursday, October 30, 2014
Saturday, October 25, 2014
10/25 Santa Anita - Races 1,3,6-8
Breeders' Cup Stats Guide - Now Available!
Did you know that the post time favorite has never finished in the exacta in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. In the last 21 years, just 1 horse has won the Breeders' Cup Turf while racing on the lead. Ever wonder which Breeders' Cup race has the highest average payouts? Or, which track has prepped the most Breeders' Cup Classic top 4 finishers? How about how the post time favorite has finished in each Breeders' Cup Race
Our Breeders' Cup Stats Guide contains detailed stats for both days of Breeders' Cup races. Stats in the guide include our analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, course stats for Santa Anita's new dirt surface and much more! Find out more on our website www.bigdaystats.com.
Click Here for more information or to Purchase the Guide
Pre Scratches.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Multirace Plays
Pick 3 - Races 6,7,8
$1 - 7,5,4,6 / 5 / 8,6,7,4 = $16
$1 - 7,5,4 / 5,6 / 8,6,4 = $18
Race 1 - 5f sAlw - Play
A - #2 Lindz Winz (2-1) - should sit just behind the speed, hoping she can take over in the stretch
B - #1 Mahalo Princess (7/5) - the obvious horse on speed figures and record, not crazy about jockey
C - #4 Miss American Pie (8-1) - should be forwardly placed and comes out of claiming 8k open company
D - #3 Lust of Life (6-1) - comes from 20K open company, like the stalking style in this race, but doesn't need to be too far back.
Multi-Race Horses: 2,1
Suggest Plays:
$3 - 2,1 / 2,1 = $6
$1 - 2,1 / 2,1,4,3 = $6
Race 3 - 1 mile sAlw - Action+
A - #5 Awe Gee (6-1) - broke md over this course with a big step forward, hoping she can build off that
B - #3 Southern Echo (5-1) - may find herself on the lead, like the recent workout, additions of blinkers and Talamo
C - #2 Midnight Candy (5/2) - recent works look good and she has wins over this course and distance, could easily handle this field if she runs her best
D - #7 Shezapiranha (3-1) - exotics use
Multi-Race Horses: 5,3,2
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 5,3,2 / 5,3,2 = $6
$1 - 5,3 / 5,3,2,7 = $6
Race 6 - 6-1/2f OC Downhill TURF - Action
A - #7 Royal F J (4-1) - the ML odds are good for a horse that has beaten better class horses on this turf course, like the outside post
B - #5 Conquest Two Step (7/2) - takes a drop in class and we know Talamo rides this course well
C - #4 Maxx the Giant (9/2) - should sit just behind the pace, but will need to find a little more to win here
D - #6 Heat Flash (12-1) - exotic value
E - #9 U S Citizen (12-1) - exotic use
Multi-Race Horses: 7,5,4,6
Suggest Plays:
Race 7 - 6-1/2f OC - Play
A - #5 Kill Shot (5/2) - Seems primed here, two good long workouts, but this is his first out in 2014. The presence of Smith doesn't hurt. Looking for a big effort.
B - #6 True Ten (4-1) - like the worktab, gets some class relief from last SA race in Apr
C - #1 Night Badger (8-1) - has improving speed figures, but will need another improvement to gain the top spot here, exotics
D - #8 Justification (10-1) - off pace style may hurt, but may end up in the exotics
E - #3 Eddie's First (3-1) - exotic use
Multi-Race Horses: 5,6
Suggest Plays:
$3 = 5 / 6,1 = $6
$1 = 5 / 6,1,8,3 = $4
$1 - 6 / 5 = $1
Race 8 - 1 mile Autumn Miss G3 TURF - Action
A - #8 Zindaya (6-1) - is the speed of the race, would like to see her wire here
B - #6 Diversy Harbor (9/2) - class drops from G1, running style is my only concern, excellent chance
C - #7 Alexis Tangier (7/2) - like the style with figures to sit just off the pace an she has run well at Sa, is stretching out here
D - #5 Lexie Lou (5/2) - is a deserving favorite if she can regain/transfer the form that saw her dominate at Woodbine in the summer, trying to beat here *I'll always have a rooting interest her, this was the name of my first retriever
E - #4 Famous Alice (12-1) - exotic value
Multi-Race Horses: 8,6,7,5
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 8,7,6 / 8,7,6 = $6
$1 - 8,6,5 / 8,6,5 = $6
$1 - 6,7,5 / 6,7,5 = $6
Good Luck!
Did you know that the post time favorite has never finished in the exacta in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. In the last 21 years, just 1 horse has won the Breeders' Cup Turf while racing on the lead. Ever wonder which Breeders' Cup race has the highest average payouts? Or, which track has prepped the most Breeders' Cup Classic top 4 finishers? How about how the post time favorite has finished in each Breeders' Cup Race
Our Breeders' Cup Stats Guide contains detailed stats for both days of Breeders' Cup races. Stats in the guide include our analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, course stats for Santa Anita's new dirt surface and much more! Find out more on our website www.bigdaystats.com.
Click Here for more information or to Purchase the Guide
Pre Scratches.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Multirace Plays
Pick 3 - Races 6,7,8
$1 - 7,5,4,6 / 5 / 8,6,7,4 = $16
$1 - 7,5,4 / 5,6 / 8,6,4 = $18
Race 1 - 5f sAlw - Play
A - #2 Lindz Winz (2-1) - should sit just behind the speed, hoping she can take over in the stretch
B - #1 Mahalo Princess (7/5) - the obvious horse on speed figures and record, not crazy about jockey
C - #4 Miss American Pie (8-1) - should be forwardly placed and comes out of claiming 8k open company
D - #3 Lust of Life (6-1) - comes from 20K open company, like the stalking style in this race, but doesn't need to be too far back.
Multi-Race Horses: 2,1
Suggest Plays:
$3 - 2,1 / 2,1 = $6
$1 - 2,1 / 2,1,4,3 = $6
Race 3 - 1 mile sAlw - Action+
A - #5 Awe Gee (6-1) - broke md over this course with a big step forward, hoping she can build off that
B - #3 Southern Echo (5-1) - may find herself on the lead, like the recent workout, additions of blinkers and Talamo
C - #2 Midnight Candy (5/2) - recent works look good and she has wins over this course and distance, could easily handle this field if she runs her best
D - #7 Shezapiranha (3-1) - exotics use
Multi-Race Horses: 5,3,2
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 5,3,2 / 5,3,2 = $6
$1 - 5,3 / 5,3,2,7 = $6
Race 6 - 6-1/2f OC Downhill TURF - Action
A - #7 Royal F J (4-1) - the ML odds are good for a horse that has beaten better class horses on this turf course, like the outside post
B - #5 Conquest Two Step (7/2) - takes a drop in class and we know Talamo rides this course well
C - #4 Maxx the Giant (9/2) - should sit just behind the pace, but will need to find a little more to win here
D - #6 Heat Flash (12-1) - exotic value
E - #9 U S Citizen (12-1) - exotic use
Multi-Race Horses: 7,5,4,6
Suggest Plays:
Race 7 - 6-1/2f OC - Play
A - #5 Kill Shot (5/2) - Seems primed here, two good long workouts, but this is his first out in 2014. The presence of Smith doesn't hurt. Looking for a big effort.
B - #6 True Ten (4-1) - like the worktab, gets some class relief from last SA race in Apr
C - #1 Night Badger (8-1) - has improving speed figures, but will need another improvement to gain the top spot here, exotics
D - #8 Justification (10-1) - off pace style may hurt, but may end up in the exotics
E - #3 Eddie's First (3-1) - exotic use
Multi-Race Horses: 5,6
Suggest Plays:
$3 = 5 / 6,1 = $6
$1 = 5 / 6,1,8,3 = $4
$1 - 6 / 5 = $1
Race 8 - 1 mile Autumn Miss G3 TURF - Action
A - #8 Zindaya (6-1) - is the speed of the race, would like to see her wire here
B - #6 Diversy Harbor (9/2) - class drops from G1, running style is my only concern, excellent chance
C - #7 Alexis Tangier (7/2) - like the style with figures to sit just off the pace an she has run well at Sa, is stretching out here
D - #5 Lexie Lou (5/2) - is a deserving favorite if she can regain/transfer the form that saw her dominate at Woodbine in the summer, trying to beat here *I'll always have a rooting interest her, this was the name of my first retriever
E - #4 Famous Alice (12-1) - exotic value
Multi-Race Horses: 8,6,7,5
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 8,7,6 / 8,7,6 = $6
$1 - 8,6,5 / 8,6,5 = $6
$1 - 6,7,5 / 6,7,5 = $6
Good Luck!
Tuesday, October 21, 2014
2014 Breeders' Cup Stats Guide - Now Available!
Click Here to Buy the Breeders' Cup Online or by Phone
Did you know...
The post time favorite has never finished in the exacta in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. In the last 21 years, just 1 horse has won the Breeders' Cup Turf while racing on the lead.
Ever wonder which Breeders' Cup race has the highest average payouts? Or, which track has prepped the most Breeders' Cup Classic top 4 finishers?
Our Breeders' Cup Stats Guide contains detailed stats for both days of Breeders' Cup races. Stats in the guide include our analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, course stats for Santa Anita's new dirt surface and much more!
Our Stat Guides provide detailed stats for all the major Breeders' Cup over the last 21 years for:
In our analysis we list stats that show a positive Return on Investment (ROI) and the ones that you need know to make informed decisions on racing's biggest days. We break down stats on horses that ran above average in their previous prep races and how they finished in the Top 4 in each of the Breeders' Cup races. We also help you identify key horses for your exotics by showing you horses that fit a certain criteria that have high percentage finishes in the Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta.
Our Breeders' Cup Guide includes the following races:
Did you know...
The post time favorite has never finished in the exacta in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. In the last 21 years, just 1 horse has won the Breeders' Cup Turf while racing on the lead.
Ever wonder which Breeders' Cup race has the highest average payouts? Or, which track has prepped the most Breeders' Cup Classic top 4 finishers?
Our Breeders' Cup Stats Guide contains detailed stats for both days of Breeders' Cup races. Stats in the guide include our analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, course stats for Santa Anita's new dirt surface and much more!
Our Stat Guides provide detailed stats for all the major Breeders' Cup over the last 21 years for:
- Post Position
- Winners by Running Style
- Par Time Comparison Analysis
- Post Time Favorite Stats
- Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Track
- Average, Low and High Payouts Stats
- Average Running Times
- Past Winners List that includes Fractional Times
- Our Analysis of the Stats
- Positive ROI Stats
- Jockey and Trainer Stats
- Course Stats for Santa Anita's new Dirt Surface
- Our Par Ratings
In our analysis we list stats that show a positive Return on Investment (ROI) and the ones that you need know to make informed decisions on racing's biggest days. We break down stats on horses that ran above average in their previous prep races and how they finished in the Top 4 in each of the Breeders' Cup races. We also help you identify key horses for your exotics by showing you horses that fit a certain criteria that have high percentage finishes in the Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta.
Our Breeders' Cup Guide includes the following races:
Breeders' Cup ClassicClick Here to Buy the Breeders' Cup Online or by Phone
Breeders' Cup Distaff
Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile
Breeders' Cup Turf Mile
Breeders' Cup Sprint
Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint
Breeders' Cup Turf
Saturday, October 4, 2014
10/4 Belmont Park - Champagne Stakes Day
Champagne Stakes Stats Guide - Free!
Our Champagne Stakes Stats Guide is available for Free on our website. The link below will take you to the Big Day Stats website where you can download the guide. Again, it's Free - Enjoy!
Guide Download Link:
Champagne Stakes Stats Guide
Example Stat from the Guide:
In the past 21 years, 15 winners (71%) of the Champagne Stakes finished 1st in their previous start.
Updated 1:40pm EST.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Race 4 - 1-5/8 miles Temperence Hill Stakes - Action
A - #5 Ever Rider (2-1) - like the post to tip the scale on the inside foe that beat him last out.
B - #1 Cary Street (5/2) - won the Greenwood Cup last out against #5 Ever Rider, not crazy that he is drawn inside
C - #2 Awesome Vision (7/2) - is really stretching out in distance, I think he is interesting, but it should be noted that he has never finished in the exacta in 4 starts at Belmont
D - #3 Slim Shadey (10-1) - has mainly run on turf in his career, but I think he could hit the board here for an exotics boost.
Multi-Race Horses: 5,1,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,1 / 5,1 = $4
$1 - 5,1 / 5,1,2,3 = $6
Race 6 - 1 mile Frizette Stakes G1 - Action+
A - #4 Feathered (7/2) - ran a decent race on a slow Saratoga track last out. The recent work suggest she's ready, but she may need to stalk the pace in this bunch. No doubt she'll take money with the Pletcher/Castellano combo.
B - #1 Cavorting (5/2) - nice recent workouts and is on the improve. I expect a big effort today.
C - #3 Ring Knocker (15-1) - I like the way she has improved in her two starts. Nice exotics boost.
D - #6 Condo Commando (2-1) - note that the big figure last out was earned while she race on a easy lead, those horses rarely repeat. Will let her beat me in the win category, exotics use.
E - #7 By The Moon (8-1) - I wouldn't leave this one out of my Superfecta, exotics boost.
Multi-Race Horses: 4,1,3
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 4,1 / 4,1 = $4
$1 - 4,1 / 4,1,3,6,7 = $8
Race 8 - 1 mile Champagne Stakes G1 - Action+
A - #3 I Spent It (6-1) - like the value on a horse that has run well in past and has a win over this course. I like his running style considering the speed in the race. Good value.
B - #1 El Kabeir (5/2) - has post two solid workouts back to back. Nice speed figure last out, but it was early will racing with an easy lead.
C - #2 Upstart (7/2) - nice speed figure last out while racing on a slow Saratoga surface, may get a good stalking trip considered the speed in here.
D - #6 Daredevil (2-1) - Pletcher/Castellano horse figures to take money, esp. with the recent workouts. Still he caught and easy lead last out and only ran a figure that is not going to compete with these. Will need some improvement and will be challenged up front.
Multi-Race Horses: 3,1,2
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 3,1,2 / 3,1,2,6 = $9
$1 - 3,1 / 3,1,2 = $4
Race 9 - 1-1/8 miles Hill Prince Stakes G3 - Action
A - #1 Ring Weekend (4-1) - decent price on a horse that closed extremely well in his 2014 turf debut last out.
B - #5 Tourist (3-1) - drops from G1 company and cuts back in distance. Is 4 for 3 on the turf and 4 for 4 in the exacta. Excellent win chance.
C - #6 Sheldon (15-1) - another G1 dropper. Finished 3 lengths behind #5 Tourist last out. Exotics.
D - #9 Mr Speaker (5/2) - will likely go off as the favorite, but he needs to prove his turf form is as good as his dirt
E - #4 Smooth Daddy (12-1) - ran a good race when finished 2-3/4 lengths behine #1 Ring Weekend last out. Maybe a cut below the best in here, but is a good exotics horse.
Multi-Race Horses: 1,5,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 1,5 / 1,5 = $2
$1 - 1,5 / 1,5,6,9,4 = $8
Our Champagne Stakes Stats Guide is available for Free on our website. The link below will take you to the Big Day Stats website where you can download the guide. Again, it's Free - Enjoy!
Guide Download Link:
Champagne Stakes Stats Guide
Example Stat from the Guide:
In the past 21 years, 15 winners (71%) of the Champagne Stakes finished 1st in their previous start.
Updated 1:40pm EST.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Race 4 - 1-5/8 miles Temperence Hill Stakes - Action
A - #5 Ever Rider (2-1) - like the post to tip the scale on the inside foe that beat him last out.
B - #1 Cary Street (5/2) - won the Greenwood Cup last out against #5 Ever Rider, not crazy that he is drawn inside
C - #2 Awesome Vision (7/2) - is really stretching out in distance, I think he is interesting, but it should be noted that he has never finished in the exacta in 4 starts at Belmont
D - #3 Slim Shadey (10-1) - has mainly run on turf in his career, but I think he could hit the board here for an exotics boost.
Multi-Race Horses: 5,1,2
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 5,1 / 5,1 = $4
$1 - 5,1 / 5,1,2,3 = $6
Race 6 - 1 mile Frizette Stakes G1 - Action+
A - #4 Feathered (7/2) - ran a decent race on a slow Saratoga track last out. The recent work suggest she's ready, but she may need to stalk the pace in this bunch. No doubt she'll take money with the Pletcher/Castellano combo.
B - #1 Cavorting (5/2) - nice recent workouts and is on the improve. I expect a big effort today.
C - #3 Ring Knocker (15-1) - I like the way she has improved in her two starts. Nice exotics boost.
D - #6 Condo Commando (2-1) - note that the big figure last out was earned while she race on a easy lead, those horses rarely repeat. Will let her beat me in the win category, exotics use.
E - #7 By The Moon (8-1) - I wouldn't leave this one out of my Superfecta, exotics boost.
Multi-Race Horses: 4,1,3
Suggest Plays:
$2 - 4,1 / 4,1 = $4
$1 - 4,1 / 4,1,3,6,7 = $8
Race 8 - 1 mile Champagne Stakes G1 - Action+
A - #3 I Spent It (6-1) - like the value on a horse that has run well in past and has a win over this course. I like his running style considering the speed in the race. Good value.
B - #1 El Kabeir (5/2) - has post two solid workouts back to back. Nice speed figure last out, but it was early will racing with an easy lead.
C - #2 Upstart (7/2) - nice speed figure last out while racing on a slow Saratoga surface, may get a good stalking trip considered the speed in here.
D - #6 Daredevil (2-1) - Pletcher/Castellano horse figures to take money, esp. with the recent workouts. Still he caught and easy lead last out and only ran a figure that is not going to compete with these. Will need some improvement and will be challenged up front.
Multi-Race Horses: 3,1,2
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 3,1,2 / 3,1,2,6 = $9
$1 - 3,1 / 3,1,2 = $4
Race 9 - 1-1/8 miles Hill Prince Stakes G3 - Action
A - #1 Ring Weekend (4-1) - decent price on a horse that closed extremely well in his 2014 turf debut last out.
B - #5 Tourist (3-1) - drops from G1 company and cuts back in distance. Is 4 for 3 on the turf and 4 for 4 in the exacta. Excellent win chance.
C - #6 Sheldon (15-1) - another G1 dropper. Finished 3 lengths behind #5 Tourist last out. Exotics.
D - #9 Mr Speaker (5/2) - will likely go off as the favorite, but he needs to prove his turf form is as good as his dirt
E - #4 Smooth Daddy (12-1) - ran a good race when finished 2-3/4 lengths behine #1 Ring Weekend last out. Maybe a cut below the best in here, but is a good exotics horse.
Multi-Race Horses: 1,5,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 1,5 / 1,5 = $2
$1 - 1,5 / 1,5,6,9,4 = $8
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)