I was a little late getting this put together, but it includes a table with past winners and exacta finishers, odds, payouts and the number of horses to make to the Derby each year. Also, I write about my strategy for the exacta in the future wager and how that has played out each year since they added the exacta in 2009. The link below will take you to my website where you can download the guide in .pdf format. It's free, enjoy!
Pool 3 Stats Guide Link:
www.bigdaystats.com/free_guide_download.php
Friday, February 27, 2015
Saturday, February 21, 2015
2/21 - Fountain of Youth & Risen Star Stakes
Pre-Order the Triple Crown and 100 point Kentucky Derby Prep Race Guides!
These two guides will contain detailed stats for Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Belmont Stakes and the 100 point Prep Races, plus the Kentucky Oaks. Stats in the guide will include our analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, our Strike System, Par Ratings and much more! For more information or to Pre-Order go to www.bigdaystats.com.
Pre Scratches.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
GP - Race 11 - Fountain of Youth Stakes 1-1/16mi - Play
A - #7 Upstart (8/5) - He is the most likely winner in here. His Holy Bull win was nice and almost all of these will have to move forward to challenge him. Regardless, his 100 par rating last out makes him a great key horse. Those horses run in the Superfecta 84% in this race.
B - #5 Itsaknockout (4-1) - He's 2 for 2 at GP, but is stepping up into stakes company. He fits some high percentage stats, but he still has something to prove. Upset shot.
C - #6 Frosted (5/2) - Was well beaten by Upstart last out and he'll need a major improvement to turn the tables. He fits a few high percentage stats, but I think he is strictly an exotics horse without a major improvement.
D - #4 Gorgeous Bird (6-1) - Like Itsaknockout, he's moving in the right direction. Question is, can he move forward enough. Some questions, but I wouldn't leave him off my tickets.
E - #2 Bluegrass Singer (8-1) - Will likely be the speed of the race, but he folded last out after having things his own way. Maybe he holds on, but I just don't see it versus a lot of the competition he folded to in his last race. Exotics use.
Multi-Race Horses: 7,5,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 7 / 5,6,4 / 5,6,4 = $6
$0.50 - 7 / 5,6,4,2 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,6,4 / 7 / 5,6,4,2 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,6,4 / 5,6,4,2 / 7 = $4.50
FG - Race 11 - Risen Star Stakes 1-1/16 miles - Action+
A - #10 International Star (9/2) - Has to wait behind horses well into the stretch last out, but was full of run once clear. Horses that have run a par rating of 100 or greater in any previous Ky Derby Prep have won 50% and occupied at least one spot in the Superfecta 83%. This makes him an excellent key horses. He's 1 for 1 at GP and 2 for 3 at this distance. Win selection.
B - #5 Imperia (7/2) - This loose favorite is looking to win off the bench, like the connections but not sure I want him in the top spot off the layoff. Win chance and exotics use.
C - #6 War Story (5-1) - Couldn't hold off International Star last out and he had every chance. Win chance with a good move forward, definite exotics use.
D - #4 J S Bach (5-1) - Look for him to challenge for the lead, but there is some other speed in here. Want to see him prove it. Exotics.
E - #2 Tiznow R J (5-1) - Exotics use.
Multi-Race Horses: 10,5,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 10 / 5,6,4,2 = $4
$1 - 10 / 5,6 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 10 / 5,6,4,2 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,6,4,2 / 10 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,6,4,2 / 5,6,4,2 / 10 = $6
Good Luck!
These two guides will contain detailed stats for Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Belmont Stakes and the 100 point Prep Races, plus the Kentucky Oaks. Stats in the guide will include our analysis, postive ROI stats, high percentage key horse stats, our Strike System, Par Ratings and much more! For more information or to Pre-Order go to www.bigdaystats.com.
Pre Scratches.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
GP - Race 11 - Fountain of Youth Stakes 1-1/16mi - Play
A - #7 Upstart (8/5) - He is the most likely winner in here. His Holy Bull win was nice and almost all of these will have to move forward to challenge him. Regardless, his 100 par rating last out makes him a great key horse. Those horses run in the Superfecta 84% in this race.
B - #5 Itsaknockout (4-1) - He's 2 for 2 at GP, but is stepping up into stakes company. He fits some high percentage stats, but he still has something to prove. Upset shot.
C - #6 Frosted (5/2) - Was well beaten by Upstart last out and he'll need a major improvement to turn the tables. He fits a few high percentage stats, but I think he is strictly an exotics horse without a major improvement.
D - #4 Gorgeous Bird (6-1) - Like Itsaknockout, he's moving in the right direction. Question is, can he move forward enough. Some questions, but I wouldn't leave him off my tickets.
E - #2 Bluegrass Singer (8-1) - Will likely be the speed of the race, but he folded last out after having things his own way. Maybe he holds on, but I just don't see it versus a lot of the competition he folded to in his last race. Exotics use.
Multi-Race Horses: 7,5,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 7 / 5,6,4 / 5,6,4 = $6
$0.50 - 7 / 5,6,4,2 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,6,4 / 7 / 5,6,4,2 = $4.50
$0.50 - 5,6,4 / 5,6,4,2 / 7 = $4.50
FG - Race 11 - Risen Star Stakes 1-1/16 miles - Action+
A - #10 International Star (9/2) - Has to wait behind horses well into the stretch last out, but was full of run once clear. Horses that have run a par rating of 100 or greater in any previous Ky Derby Prep have won 50% and occupied at least one spot in the Superfecta 83%. This makes him an excellent key horses. He's 1 for 1 at GP and 2 for 3 at this distance. Win selection.
B - #5 Imperia (7/2) - This loose favorite is looking to win off the bench, like the connections but not sure I want him in the top spot off the layoff. Win chance and exotics use.
C - #6 War Story (5-1) - Couldn't hold off International Star last out and he had every chance. Win chance with a good move forward, definite exotics use.
D - #4 J S Bach (5-1) - Look for him to challenge for the lead, but there is some other speed in here. Want to see him prove it. Exotics.
E - #2 Tiznow R J (5-1) - Exotics use.
Multi-Race Horses: 10,5,6
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 10 / 5,6,4,2 = $4
$1 - 10 / 5,6 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 10 / 5,6,4,2 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,6,4,2 / 10 / 5,6,4,2 = $6
$0.50 - 5,6,4,2 / 5,6,4,2 / 10 = $6
Good Luck!
Friday, February 20, 2015
FREE Fountain of Youth & Risen Star Stats Guide
A FREE stats guide for the Fountain of Youth and Risen Star Stakes is now available. To download the guide click on the link below.
Example stat from the Guide:
In the past 22 running's, the post time favorite has won the Risen Star just 6 times or 27%.
Fountain of Youth and Risen Star Stakes Guide Link:
http://www.bigdaystats.com/free_guide_download.php
Also, I've posted stats for the Southwest Stakes on my blog. You can view them at the link below.
Southwest Stakes Stats Link:
http://moneyonthenose.blogspot.com/2015/02/216-southwest-stakes-statistics.html
Example stat from the Guide:
In the past 22 running's, the post time favorite has won the Risen Star just 6 times or 27%.
Fountain of Youth and Risen Star Stakes Guide Link:
http://www.bigdaystats.com/free_guide_download.php
Also, I've posted stats for the Southwest Stakes on my blog. You can view them at the link below.
Southwest Stakes Stats Link:
http://moneyonthenose.blogspot.com/2015/02/216-southwest-stakes-statistics.html
Monday, February 16, 2015
2/22 - Southwest Stakes Statistics & Selections
Below are statistics and my selections for the Southwest Stakes run on Monday 2/16 at Oaklawn Park. I will continue to post Free statistics for the remaining Kentucky Derby Future Wagers and the 50 point qualifying races. The Statistic Guides for the 100 point qualifying races and the Triple Crown races may be purchased on my website at www.bigdaystats.com
Key Stats
*Note - The Southwest Stakes was spit into two divisions in 2012 and 2002. This means in 21 years the race has actually been contested 23 times.
The stat that really jumps off the page at me is that 17 out of the last 23 winners (74%) won their previous start. There are 4 horses entered this year that match this criteria, they are Hillbilly Royalty, Far Right, Kantune and Bold Animaux. Also, add in the 3 years where the winner of the Southwest finished 2nd in their previous start and that percentage covers 87% of the last 23 winners.
In 10 of the last 21 years the Southwest Stakes field has contained at least one horse that ran the average running time (referred to as par or 100 on our scale) or greater in their previous race. These horses won the Southwest in 6 out of those 10 years (60%) and produced a positive ROI of 83%. In those 10 years, there have been 12 horses total run in the Southwest that ran par or greater in their previous race. They have a Superfecta record of 6-0-2-1. The horses that fit this criteria in this years race are Far Right (102), Bayerd (100) and Mr. Z (100). These horses are excellent key horses to use in exotic bets.
Horses that run either on the lead or within 2 lengths of the leader seem to do well. They have won 15 out of 23 Southwest Stakes.
Selections & Analysis
OP Race 8 - Southwest Stakes G3 - Action+
A - #6 Far Right (5/2) - Horses that have run a 102 or higher in their last race have won the Southwest 56% of the time, been in the Trifecta 89% and the Superfecta 100%. Also, horses that won their last start are 17 for 23. He seems the best and having Mike Smith doesn't hurt, but he'll need some pace. Win choice and I think the stats make him the best key horses.
B - #1 Bayerd (5-1) - Horses that ran above par in the previous race are 60% with a positive ROI. If he goes off at 5-1 I think he offers good value.
C - #11 Mr. Z (3-1) - He's run some good numbers, but he needs to prove he can win. Though two of those races were decided by a head or less. Probably going to let him beat me in the win category, exotics use.
D - #3 Hillbilly Royalty (7/2) - Newcomer to the race once it was rescheduled. Big speed figure last out was earned while racing solely on the lead. Lots to prove. Exotics.
E - #4 Private Prospect (12-1) - I don't see him winning, but I think he could land in the exotics at a price.
Multi-Race Horses: 6,1,11
Suggest Plays:
$1 - 6 / 1,11,3 / 1,11,3 = $6
$0.50 - 6 / 1,11,3,4 / 1,11,3,4 = $6
$0.50 - 1,11,3 / 6 / 1,11,3,4 = $4.50
$0.50 - 1,11,3 / 1,11,3,4 / = $4.50
Southwest Stakes Stats
Superfecta Finishers by Post Position | ||||||
Post | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Total Top 4 | Total Races |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 23 |
3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 23 |
4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 23 |
6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 23 |
7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 |
9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 |
10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Totals | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Superfecta Finishes by Running Style | ||||||
On Lead | 1-2L | 2-5L | 5-10L | 10-15L | 15+L | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
2nd | 7 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
3rd | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
4th | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Total | 18 | 13 | 27 | 16 | 14 | 4 |
Post Time Favorite Stats | |
Post Time Favorite Winners | 10 |
Post Time Favorite Second | 2 |
Post Time Favorite Third | 2 |
Post Time Favorite Fourth | 2 |
Average Running Times | |||||
Surface - Track Condition | Avg Opening 1/4 | Avg Opening 1/2 | Avg Opening 3/4 | Closing Fraction | Avg Final Time (Total Races) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dirt - 1-1/16 Miles - Sloppy Track | 23.33 | 47.49 | 1:12.29 | 32.55 | 1:44.84 (1) |
Dirt - 1-1/16 Miles - Fast Track | 23.45 | 47.92 | 1:13.06 | 31.89 | 1:44.95 (1) |
Dirt - 1 Mile - Fast Track | 22.97 | 46.56 | 1:11.59 | 26.29 | 1:37.88 (15) |
Dirt - 1 Mile - Wet Fast Track | 23.48 | 47.20 | 1:12.76 | 26.33 | 1:39.09 (1) |
Dirt - 1 Mile - Good Track | 23.73 | 47.80 | 1:13.49 | 25.47 | 1:38.96 (1) |
Dirt - 1 Mile - Muddy Track | 22.97 | 47.13 | 1:13.31 | 27.69 | 1:41.00 (2) |
Dirt - 1 Mile - Sloppy Track | 23.02 | 47.01 | 1:12.36 | 26.18 | 1:38.54 (2) |
Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Race Finish | |||||||
Southwest Stakes Finish | |||||||
Finish Last Start | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Total | Total Payout | Avg Payout |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st Last Start | 17 | 7 (24) | 12 (36) | 14 (50) | 98 | $131.00 | $7.71 |
2nd Last Start | 3 | 4 (7) | 6 (13) | 3 (16) | 37 | $117.20 | $39.07 |
3rd Last Start | 1 | 5 (6) | 3 (9) | 1 (10) | 26 | $48.80 | $48.80 |
4th Last Start | 2 | 6 (8) | 2 (10) | 2 (12) | 24 | $49.80 | $24.90 |
Worse than 4th Last Start | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 (1) | 3 (4) | 23 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
() reflects the running total within the top 4. A (5) in the 2nd column means 5 horses matching this criteria have finished within the exacta. |
Superfecta Finishers by Last Prep Track | ||||
Southwest Stakes Finish | ||||
Last Prep Track | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aqu | 2 | 0 (2) | 0 (2) | 0 (2) |
Bhp | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 (1) | 0 (1) |
Cd | 3 | 2 (5) | 1 (6) | 1 (7) |
Ded | 0 | 1 (1) | 2 (3) | 0 (3) |
Fg | 4 | 4 (8) | 4 (12) | 3 (15) |
Gp | 0 | 1 (1) | 1 (2) | 2 (4) |
Haw | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 (1) | 0 (1) |
Kee | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 1 (1) |
Lad | 1 | 0 (1) | 0 (1) | 0 (1) |
Op | 8 | 12 (20) | 12 (32) | 16 (48) |
Sa | 4 | 2 (6) | 0 (6) | 0 (6) |
Sun | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 (1) | 0 (1) |
Tam | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 (1) | 0 (1) |
Tp | 1 | 0 (1) | 0 (1) | 0 (1) |
() reflects the running total within the top 4. A (5) in the 2nd column means 5 horses matching this criteria have finished within the exacta. |
Payout Stats - based on $2 bet | ||||||
Win | Place | Show | Exacta | Trifecta | Superfecta | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High | $106.00 | $33.20 | $24.20 | $978.40 | $6,147.60 | $20,481.20 |
Avg | $15.08 | $7.63 | $3.73 | $140.88 | $1,105.81 | $7,382.57 |
Low | $2.80 | $2.20 | $2.20 | $7.80 | $29.20 | $674.80 |
Past Winners | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Southwest Stakes | Previous Race | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Year | Dist | PP | Name | Jockey | Trainer | Odds | Surface & Cond |
Running Style |
Win Lgths |
Par Time Rating |
Field Size |
Final Time |
Race Date | Race Track | Race | Par Time Rating |
Fin | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 1-1/16 Miles | 1 | Tapiture | Santana | Asmussen | 6-1 | Dirt - Fast | On Lead | 4 | 97 | 12 | 1:44.95 | 30Nov13 | Cd | Ky Jky Clb Stks | 106 | 14 | ||||||||
2013 | 1-1/16 Miles | 6 | Super Ninety Nine | Bejarano | Baffert | Even* | Dirt - Sloppy | On Lead | 11 | 102 | 10 | 1:44.84 | 31Jan13 | Sa | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2012 | 1 Mile | 11 | Castaway | Bejarano | Baffert | 7-1 | Dirt - Fast | 1-2L | 3-1/2 | 99 | 11 | 1:38.09 | 21Jan12 | Sa | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2012 | 1 Mile | 9 | Secret Circle | Bejarano | Baffert | 3/5* | Dirt - Fast | 1-2L | 1/2 | 104 | 10 | 1:37.08 | 7Jan12 | Sa | Sham Stks | 104 | 21/2 | ||||||||
2011 | 1 Mile | 6 | Archarcharch | Court | Fires | 15-1 | Dirt - Fast | 5-10L | 1 | 98 | 11 | 1:38.23 | 17Jan11 | Op | 74 | 413 | |||||||||
2010 | 1 Mile | 9 | Conveyance | Garcia | Baffert | 9/5* | Dirt - Fast | On Lead | 1/2 | 105 | 10 | 1:36.94 | 16Jan10 | Sa | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2009 | 1 Mile | 5 | Old Fashioned | Dominguez | Jones | 2/5* | Dirt - Fast | 1-2L | 3 | 102 | 11 | 1:37.41 | 29Nov08 | Aqu | Remsen Stks | 104 | 17 | ||||||||
2008 | 1 Mile | 8 | Denis of Cork | Albarado | Carroll | 5-1 | Dirt - Fast | 15+L | 2 | 100 | 11 | 1:37.89 | 19Jan08 | Fg | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2007 | 1 Mile | 4 | Teuflesberg | Elliott | Sanders | 23-1 | Dirt - Fast | On Lead | 1-1/2 | 98 | 9 | 1:38.20 | 13Jan07 | Fg | Lecomte Stks | 94 | 38-1/2 | ||||||||
2006 | 1 Mile | 3 | Lawyer Ron | McKee | Holthus | 2/5* | Dirt - Fast | On Lead | 1/2 | 89 | 10 | 1:40.00 | 14Jan06 | Lad | Risen Star Stks | 105 | 18 | ||||||||
2005 | 1 Mile | 3 | Greater Good | McKee | Holthus | 2/5* | Dirt - Wet Fast | 10-15L | 1/2 | 100 | 7 | 1:39.09 | 27Nov04 | Cd | Ky Jky Clb Stks | 98 | 11-1/2 | ||||||||
2004 | 1 Mile | 6 | Smarty Jones | Elliott | Servis | 2/5* | Dirt - Fast | 1-2L | 1/2 | 102 | 9 | 1:37.57 | 3Jan04 | Aqu | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2003 | 1 Mile | 3 | Great Notion | Thompson | Miller | 3-1 | Dirt - Good | On Lead | 9 | 107 | 7 | 1:38.96 | 4Jan03 | Tp | N/A | --- | 2 | ||||||||
2002 | 1 Mile | 7 | Paloma Parilla | Lopez | Robideaux | 8-1 | Dirt - Muddy | 1-2L | 0 | 97 | 8 | 1:41.70 | 2Feb02 | Op | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2002 | 1 Mile | 7 | Private Emblem | Meche | Asmussen | 4-1 | Dirt - Muddy | 5-10L | 1/2 | 104 | 8 | 1:40.29 | 4Jan02 | Fg | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2001 | 1 Mile | 1 | Son of Rocket | Thompson | Holthus | 4-1 | Dirt - Sloppy | On Lead | 2 | 101 | 8 | 1:38.34 | 10Feb01 | Op | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
2000 | 1 Mile | 8 | Afternoon Affair | Judice | Holthus | 4-1 | Dirt - Fast | 2-5L | 0 | 104 | 8 | 1:37.18 | 18Feb00 | Op | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
1999 | 1 Mile | 8 | Jim'smrtee | Hightower | Milliron | 52-1 | Dirt - Fast | 1-2L | 1/2 | 92 | 9 | 1:39.52 | 6Feb99 | Op | N/A | --- | 2 | ||||||||
1998 | 1 Mile | 10 | Hot Wells | Borel | Amoss | 8-1 | Dirt - Fast | 10-15L | 0 | 96 | 11 | 1:38.69 | 31Jan98 | Fg | Lecomte Stks | 101 | 42 | ||||||||
1997 | 1 Mile | 6 | Smoke Glacken | Perret | Carroll | 3/5* | Dirt - Sloppy | On Lead | 8 | 99 | 8 | 1:38.73 | 8Feb97 | Op | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
1996 | 1 Mile | 9 | Ide | Perret | Vestal | 2/5* | Dirt - Fast | 5-10L | 0 | 100 | 9 | 1:37.81 | 25Nov95 | Cd | Ky Jky Clb Stks | 102 | 11/2 | ||||||||
1995 | 1 Mile | 3 | Mystery Storm | Gonzalez | Robideaux | 3/5* | Dirt - Fast | On Lead | 1 | 106 | 6 | 1:36.63 | 19Feb95 | Op | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
1994 | 1 Mile | 4 | Southern Rhythm | Gomez | Keefer | 5-1 | Dirt - Fast | 10-15L | 2-1/2 | 105 | 6 | 1:36.95 | 19Feb94 | Op | N/A | --- | 1 | ||||||||
- An * in the odds column denotes post time favorite. - N/A - Not Available. Meaning that race was not a major Triple Crown prep race and data from that race is not in our system. - For more information about our par time rating please see the last page. - A 0 for Win or Beaten Lengths means the margin was less than 1/2 of a length. |
Thursday, February 5, 2015
2015 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 Statistics
Below is a list of Pool 2 (formerly Pool 1) entries since 2002 and a look at the Exacta Future Wager. The entries list includes any major prep races they ran prior to the Furture Wager Pool, how they finished in the Kentucky Derby and payouts (listed at the bottom of each Pool). Also, the first table shown simplifies each year by showing the number of horses from the Pool that ran in the Kentucky Derby, Payouts and the top 2 finishers based on the payouts. I will continue to post Free statistics for the remaining Kentucky Derby Future Wagers and the 50 point qualifying races. The Statistic Guides for the 100 point qualifying races and the Triple Crown races may be purchased on my website at www.bigdaystats.com
The Exacta Future Wager
It is very important to note that in recent years when the Exacta has been offered as a future wager, a finish in the Kentucky Derby of THE FIELD / THE FIELD defaults to the next closest horse from the Pool in the finish order of the race to complete the Exacta. For instance, in 2013 the first two finishers in the Kentucky Derby were Orb and Golden Soul. Neither of these horses were offered in this Pool, so the actual finish was THE FIELD / THE FIELD. However, because of this rule the Exacta looked to the next closest finish from a horse in the pool, which was the 3rd place finisher Revolutionary. So, the future wager Exacta from this Pool paid to THE FIELD / REVOLUTIONARY. This rule allows you to cover a lot of combinations on Derby Day for a fraction of the cost.
By creating a part-wheel using 'The Field' in future wager exacta you cover lots of combinations for a fraction of the cost that it would take to part-wheel them on Kentucky Derby day. Pick 10 horses and wheel them over and under 'The Field' in the Exacta future wager. This will cost you $20 and you'll be surprised at the hundreds of combinations you already have covered on Kentucky Derby day. Even if you just use it as a saver to you main Derby day bets. On Kentucky Derby day these combinations would literally cost you hundreds of dollars instead of the bargain basement price of $20.
I use my Par Ratings to select horses that will create the part-wheel and add in a few horses that I like if needed. I use horses that have run par or better (100 or greater) on my par rating scale in a major Kentucky Derby Prep Race. This means these horses have run above the average running time in at least one race. Looking back to 2010 (the first year they offered the future wager Exacta in this pool) these above par horses have produced a 251% ROI in the Exacta Future Wager. Here's how it breaks down by year:
2014
$1 - 10 Horses / The Field = $10
$1 - The Field / 10 Horses = $10
Total Cost $20 / Total Payout $0
Though California Chrome was in pool, he had not yet run in a major Ky Derby Prep.
2013
$1 - 12 Horses / The Field = $12
$1 - The Field / 12 Horses = $12
Total Cost $24 / Total Payout $51.10
Actual finish was The Field / The Field, but with the rule that looks to the next closest finisher from the pool to complete the Exacta the payout was awarded to The Field / Revolutionary, which means The Field / 12 Horses hit. Revolutionary had run a 103 in the Withers.
2012
$1 - 14 Horses / The Field = $14
$1 - The Field / 14 Horses = $14
Total Cost $28 / Total Payout $128.90
The payout was awarded to I'll Have Another / The Field. I'll Have Another had run a 107 in the Robert B. Lewis.
2011
$1 - 10 Horses / The Field = $10
$1 - The Field / 10 Horses = $10
Total Cost $20 / Total Payout $115.00
Actual finish was The Field / The Field, but with the rule that looks to the next closest finisher from the pool to complete the Exacta the payout was awarded to The Field / Mucho Macho Man, which means The Field / 12 Horses hit. Mucho Macho Man had run a 104 when he finished 2nd in the Remsen.
2010
$1 - 10 Horses / The Field = $10
$1 - The Field / 10 Horses = $10
Total Cost $20 / Total Payout $88.20
Just 7 horses from this pool had previously run par or greater in a major Kentucky Derby Prep Race. To complete the 10 horses used in my part-wheel I picked 3 additional horses that had run well and won a previous prep even though it was below par. They were Lookin at Lucky, Rule and Value of York. The payout was awarded to Super Saver / The Field. Super Saver had run a 101 in the Champagne and a 109 in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes.
Total Cost: $112 / Total Payout: $383.20 - Profit: $271.20 - 251% ROI
The Exacta Future Wager was not offered prior to 2010. But, let's look at how these above par horses from this pool finished in the Kentucky Derby between 2002 and 2009. During these years it would have hit 2 more times and lost 6 times. If you consider the average payout from 2010 - 2013 it would still have shown roughly a 106% ROI when combined with the 2010 - 2013 winning payouts.
Whatever system you use, identify a group of horses that have finished well in the Kentucky Derby from this pool and wheel them over and under 'The Field'. It will serve you well on Kentucky Derby day. In this years pool there are 11 horses that have previously run par or above in a major Kentucky Derby Prep Race. These horses are:
American Pharoah (104)
Carpe Diem (103)
Dortmund (113)
Far Right (102)
Firing Line (113) - I'm a little suspicious about this number, but regardless it is still well above par
Frosted (100)
Mr. Z (100, 113, 100)
Ocho Ocho Ocho (100)
Texas Red (103)
International Star (100)
Upstart (100)
Though El Kabeir has yet to run above par, he has still won 2 major prep races. Therefore, I would use him in my part-wheel bringing the total to 12 horses to use along with 'The Field'.
Previous Stats from Pool 2 (formerly Pool 1)
AR - Also Ran, did not place
The Exacta Future Wager
It is very important to note that in recent years when the Exacta has been offered as a future wager, a finish in the Kentucky Derby of THE FIELD / THE FIELD defaults to the next closest horse from the Pool in the finish order of the race to complete the Exacta. For instance, in 2013 the first two finishers in the Kentucky Derby were Orb and Golden Soul. Neither of these horses were offered in this Pool, so the actual finish was THE FIELD / THE FIELD. However, because of this rule the Exacta looked to the next closest finish from a horse in the pool, which was the 3rd place finisher Revolutionary. So, the future wager Exacta from this Pool paid to THE FIELD / REVOLUTIONARY. This rule allows you to cover a lot of combinations on Derby Day for a fraction of the cost.
By creating a part-wheel using 'The Field' in future wager exacta you cover lots of combinations for a fraction of the cost that it would take to part-wheel them on Kentucky Derby day. Pick 10 horses and wheel them over and under 'The Field' in the Exacta future wager. This will cost you $20 and you'll be surprised at the hundreds of combinations you already have covered on Kentucky Derby day. Even if you just use it as a saver to you main Derby day bets. On Kentucky Derby day these combinations would literally cost you hundreds of dollars instead of the bargain basement price of $20.
I use my Par Ratings to select horses that will create the part-wheel and add in a few horses that I like if needed. I use horses that have run par or better (100 or greater) on my par rating scale in a major Kentucky Derby Prep Race. This means these horses have run above the average running time in at least one race. Looking back to 2010 (the first year they offered the future wager Exacta in this pool) these above par horses have produced a 251% ROI in the Exacta Future Wager. Here's how it breaks down by year:
2014
$1 - 10 Horses / The Field = $10
$1 - The Field / 10 Horses = $10
Total Cost $20 / Total Payout $0
Though California Chrome was in pool, he had not yet run in a major Ky Derby Prep.
2013
$1 - 12 Horses / The Field = $12
$1 - The Field / 12 Horses = $12
Total Cost $24 / Total Payout $51.10
Actual finish was The Field / The Field, but with the rule that looks to the next closest finisher from the pool to complete the Exacta the payout was awarded to The Field / Revolutionary, which means The Field / 12 Horses hit. Revolutionary had run a 103 in the Withers.
2012
$1 - 14 Horses / The Field = $14
$1 - The Field / 14 Horses = $14
Total Cost $28 / Total Payout $128.90
The payout was awarded to I'll Have Another / The Field. I'll Have Another had run a 107 in the Robert B. Lewis.
2011
$1 - 10 Horses / The Field = $10
$1 - The Field / 10 Horses = $10
Total Cost $20 / Total Payout $115.00
Actual finish was The Field / The Field, but with the rule that looks to the next closest finisher from the pool to complete the Exacta the payout was awarded to The Field / Mucho Macho Man, which means The Field / 12 Horses hit. Mucho Macho Man had run a 104 when he finished 2nd in the Remsen.
2010
$1 - 10 Horses / The Field = $10
$1 - The Field / 10 Horses = $10
Total Cost $20 / Total Payout $88.20
Just 7 horses from this pool had previously run par or greater in a major Kentucky Derby Prep Race. To complete the 10 horses used in my part-wheel I picked 3 additional horses that had run well and won a previous prep even though it was below par. They were Lookin at Lucky, Rule and Value of York. The payout was awarded to Super Saver / The Field. Super Saver had run a 101 in the Champagne and a 109 in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes.
Total Cost: $112 / Total Payout: $383.20 - Profit: $271.20 - 251% ROI
The Exacta Future Wager was not offered prior to 2010. But, let's look at how these above par horses from this pool finished in the Kentucky Derby between 2002 and 2009. During these years it would have hit 2 more times and lost 6 times. If you consider the average payout from 2010 - 2013 it would still have shown roughly a 106% ROI when combined with the 2010 - 2013 winning payouts.
Whatever system you use, identify a group of horses that have finished well in the Kentucky Derby from this pool and wheel them over and under 'The Field'. It will serve you well on Kentucky Derby day. In this years pool there are 11 horses that have previously run par or above in a major Kentucky Derby Prep Race. These horses are:
American Pharoah (104)
Carpe Diem (103)
Dortmund (113)
Far Right (102)
Firing Line (113) - I'm a little suspicious about this number, but regardless it is still well above par
Frosted (100)
Mr. Z (100, 113, 100)
Ocho Ocho Ocho (100)
Texas Red (103)
International Star (100)
Upstart (100)
Though El Kabeir has yet to run above par, he has still won 2 major prep races. Therefore, I would use him in my part-wheel bringing the total to 12 horses to use along with 'The Field'.
Previous Stats from Pool 2 (formerly Pool 1)
Kentucky Derby Finishes from Pool 2 | ||||||
Year | # of Horses from Pool to run in Ky Derby |
Kentucky Derby 1st | Kentucky Derby 2nd | Win Odds | $2 Win Payout | $2 Exacta Payout |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 7 | #3 California Chrome | #24 The Field | 30.7 | $63.40 | $358.60 |
2013 | 12 | #24 The Field | #16 Revolutionary* | 1.6 | $5.20 | $102.20 |
2012 | 12 | #13 I'll Have Another | #24 The Field | 29.1 | $60.20 | $257.80 |
2011 | 7 | #24 The Field | #13 Mucho Macho Man* | 2.1 | $6.20 | $230.00 |
2010 | 8 | #19 Super Saver | #24 The Field | 20.6 | $43.20 | $176.40 |
2009 | 5 | #24 The Field | #16 Pioneerof the Nile | 1.9 | $5.80 | Not Offered |
2008 | 12 | #24 The Field | #24 The Field** | 3.3 | $8.60 | Not Offered |
2007 | 10 | #22 Street Sense | #13 Hard Spun | 10.4 | $22.80 | Not Offered |
2006 | 11 | #3 Barbaro | #6 Bluegrass Cat | 19.1 | $40.20 | Not Offered |
2005 | 11 | #7 Giacomo | #3 Closing Argument | 25.0 | $52.00 | Not Offered |
2004 | 9 | #24 The Field | #10 Lion Heart | 1.8 | $5.60 | Not Offered |
2003 | 7 | #6 Funny Cide | #5 Empire Maker | 93.0 | $188.00 | Not Offered |
2002 | 5 | #24 The Field | #24 The Field** | 2.8 | $7.60 | Not Offered |
- Numbers listed are from Futures Pool, not Kentucky Derby Post Position * The actual finish for both 1st and 2nd were horses contained in #24 The Field (ie. The Field / The Field). Finisher shown is based on the numbers listed in the payouts, which is closest horse in the finisher order that was listed in the Pool. ** No horse from the pool finished 2nd. The Exacta was not offered this year so the second place finisher just shows The Field. |
AR - Also Ran, did not place
2014 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bobby's Kitten | 46.0 | N/A | |
2 | Cairo Prince | 13.0 | Remsen Stakes - 2 (91) Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (107) | N/A |
3 | California Chrome | 30.7 | 1 | |
4 | Candy Boy | 32.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (103) | 13 |
5 | Commissioner | 22.0 | N/A | |
6 | Conquest Titan | 29.0 | Breeders' Futurity - AR (79) Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (68) Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (101) | N/A |
7 | Havana | 28.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (94) Champagne Stakes - 1 (100) | N/A |
8 | Honor Code | 12.0 | Champagne Stakes - 2 (100) Remsen Stakes - 1 (91) | N/A |
9 | Indianapolis | 25.0 | N/A | |
10 | Intense Holiday | 69.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (91) Remsen Stakes - 4 (89) Holy Bull Stakes - 3 (101) | 12 |
11 | Kristo | 76.0 | Sham Stakes - 2 (93) | N/A |
12 | Matterhorn | 63.0 | N/A | |
13 | Midnight Hawk | 19.0 | Sham Stakes - 1 (95) Robert B. Lewis - 3 (101) | N/A |
14 | Noble Moon | 47.0 | Jerome Stakes - 1 (89) | N/A |
15 | Rise Up | 47.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (104) Iroquois Stakes - AR (94) | N/A |
16 | Samraat | 30.0 | Withers Stakes - 1 (93) | 5 |
17 | Shared Belief | 14.0 | N/A | |
18 | Strong Mandate | 17.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (93) Champagne Stakes - AR (90) | N/A |
19 | Tapiture | 38.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (106) Iroquois Stakes - 3 (100) | 15 |
20 | Tonalist | 48.0 | N/A | |
21 | Top Billing | 13.0 | N/A | |
22 | Uncle Sigh | 73.0 | Withers Stakes - 2 (92) | 14 |
23 | Vicar's in Trouble | 42.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (104) | 19 |
24 | The Field | 1.5 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $63.40 $2 Exacta Payout: $358.60 |
2013 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Capo Bastone | 58.0 | FrontRunner Stakes - 3 (85) | N/A |
2 | Code West | 56.0 | N/A | |
3 | Delhomme | 55.0 | Remsen Stakes - 3 (105) | N/A |
4 | Den's Legacy | 77.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 2 (91) Sham Stakes - 2 (93) FrontRunner Stakes - AR (80) | N/A |
5 | Dynamic Sky | 54.0 | Breeders' Futurity - 2 (98) | N/A |
6 | Falling Sky | 114.0 | 19 | |
7 | Flashback | 12.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (97) | N/A |
8 | Frac Daddy | 68.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - AR (92) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (99) | 16 |
9 | Goldencents | 20.0 | Champagne Stakes - 2 (96) Sham Stakes - 1 (94) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (103) | 17 |
10 | He's Had Enough | 50.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 3 (90) Breeders' Futurity - AR (94) | N/A |
11 | Itsmyluckyday | 13.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (109) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - AR (96) | 15 |
12 | Mylute | 123.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 3 (100) | 5 |
13 | Normandy Invasion | 15.0 | Remsen Stakes - 2 (105) | 4 |
14 | Overanalyze | 33.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (105) Iroquois Stakes - 3 (87) | 11 |
15 | Oxbow | 26.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (100) | 6 |
16 | Revolutionary | 13.0 | Withers Stakes - 1 (103) | 3 |
17 | Shanghai Bobby | 13.0 | Champagne Stakes - 1 (101) Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (107) | N/A |
18 | Super Ninety Nine | 47.0 | N/A | |
19 | Uncaptured | 40.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 1 (95) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (99) Grey Stakes - AR (102) | N/A |
20 | Verrazano | 11.0 | 14 | |
21 | Violence | 13.0 | N/A | |
22 | Vyjack | 49.0 | Jerome Stakes - 1 (111) | 18 |
23 | Will Take Charge | 61.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - AR (74) Smarty Jones Stakes - 1 (101) | 8 |
24 | The Field | 1.6 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $5.20 $2 Exacta Payout: $102.20 |
2012 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Algorithms | 12.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (104) | N/A |
2 | Alpha | 19.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (71) Champagne Stakes - 2 (96) Withers Stakes - 1 (104) | 12 |
3 | Battle Hardened | 46.0 | N/A | |
4 | Creative Cause | 17.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (89) FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (100) | 5 |
5 | Discreet Dancer | 30.0 | N/A | |
6 | Dullahan | 40.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 4 (84) Breeders' Futurity - 1 (106) | 3 |
7 | El Padrino | 16.0 | Remsen Stakes - 3 (95) | 13 |
8 | Empire Way | 33.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 2 (105) | N/A |
9 | Ever So Lucky | 55.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (100) | N/A |
10 | Fed Biz | 21.0 | N/A | |
11 | Gemologist | 22.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (101) | 16 |
12 | Hansen | 26.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (90) Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (99) | 9 |
13 | I'll Have Another | 29.1 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (107) | 1 |
14 | Junebugred | 58.0 | Smarty Jones Stakes - 1 (102) | N/A |
15 | Liaison | 56.0 | Robert B. Lewis - AR (0) | 6 |
16 | Longview Drive | 141.0 | Sham Stakes - 3 (103) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 3 (88) | N/A |
17 | Midnight Transfer | 67.0 | N/A | |
18 | Mr. Bowling | 85.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 3 (92) Lecomte Stakes - 1 (99) | N/A |
19 | Out of Bounds | 23.0 | Sham Stakes - 1 (104) | N/A |
20 | Rousing Sermon | 71.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 3 (101) | 8 |
21 | Sabercat | 34.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (95) | 15 |
22 | Take Charge Indy | 42.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (84) Breeders' Futurity - 4 (102) | 19 |
23 | Union Rags | 7.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (90) Champagne Stakes - 1 (101) | 7 |
24 | The Field | 1.5 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $60.20 $2 Exacta Payout: $257.80 |
2011 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Anthony's Cross | 45.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (97) Sham Stakes - 3 (101) | N/A |
2 | Astrology | 48.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 1 (91) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (96) | N/A |
3 | Brethren | 15.0 | N/A | |
4 | Clubhouse Ride | 127.0 | Sham Stakes - 2 (106) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 3 (96) | N/A |
5 | Comma to the Top | 90.0 | 19 | |
6 | Decisive Moment | 186.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 2 (100) Risen Star Stakes - AR (95) | 14 |
7 | Dialed In | 8.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (102) | 8 |
8 | Gourmet Dinner | 85.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 3 (100) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (102) | N/A |
9 | Indian Winter | 71.0 | N/A | |
10 | J P's Gusto | 79.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (84) FrontRunner Stakes - 2 (92) | N/A |
11 | Jaycito | 21.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (83) FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (93) | N/A |
12 | Machen | 49.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 4 (96) | N/A |
13 | Mucho Macho Man | 30.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 4 (97) Remsen Stakes - 2 (104) Risen Star Stakes - 1 (100) | 3 |
14 | Rogue Romance | 34.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (89) Risen Star Stakes - 3 (98) | N/A |
15 | Santiva | 37.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 2 (99) Breeders' Futurity - 2 (97) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (97) | 6 |
16 | Silver Medallion | 66.0 | Breeders' Futurity - AR (89) El Camino Real Derby - 1 (102) | N/A |
17 | Soldat | 18.0 | 11 | |
18 | Stay Thirsty | 40.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (85) | 12 |
19 | Sweet Ducky | 79.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (100) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 4 (92) | N/A |
20 | The Factor | 25.0 | N/A | |
21 | Tiz Blessed | 79.0 | N/A | |
22 | To Honor and Serve | 10.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (106) | N/A |
23 | Uncle Mo | 3.5 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (99) Champagne Stakes - 1 (106) | N/A |
24 | The Field | 2.1 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $6.20 $2 Exacta Payout: $230.00 |
2010 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aikenite | 54.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (91) Holy Bull Stakes - AR (92) Breeders' Futurity - 2 (105) | N/A |
2 | American Lion | 41.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 3 (97) | 11 |
3 | Buddy's Saint | 10.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (91) | N/A |
4 | Concord Point | 104.0 | N/A | |
5 | Conveyance | 33.0 | 15 | |
6 | Dave in Dixie | 28.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 2 (97) FrontRunner Stakes - AR (96) | N/A |
7 | Drosselmeyer | 20.0 | N/A | |
8 | Dryfly | 46.0 | Smarty Jones Stakes - 1 (85) | N/A |
9 | Dublin | 20.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (100) Iroquois Stakes - AR (86) | 7 |
10 | Eskendereya | 22.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (87) | N/A |
11 | Jackson Bend | 27.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (97) | 12 |
12 | Lookin At Lucky | 8.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (94) FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (98) | 6 |
13 | Make Music for Me | 105.0 | Breeders' Futurity - 4 (101) | 4 |
14 | Maximus Ruler | 76.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 2 (99) | N/A |
15 | Noble's Promise | 36.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (93) Breeders' Futurity - 1 (106) | 5 |
16 | Ron the Greek | 31.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (100) | N/A |
17 | Rule | 24.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (98) | N/A |
18 | Stay Put | 49.0 | N/A | |
19 | Super Saver | 20.6 | Champagne Stakes - 4 (101) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (109) | 1 |
20 | Tiz Chrome | 37.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 4 (94) | N/A |
21 | Uptowncharlybrown | 34.0 | N/A | |
22 | Vale of York | 26.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (94) | N/A |
23 | William's Kitten | 54.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (89) Holy Bull Stakes - 3 (94) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (104) Grey Stakes - AR (97) | N/A |
24 | The Field | 1.5 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $43.20 $2 Exacta Payout: $176.40 |
2009 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Beethoven | 31.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 4 (93) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (103) | N/A |
2 | Big Drama | 48.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (104) | N/A |
3 | Capt. Candyman Can | 25.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 1 (107) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 3 (102) | N/A |
4 | Chocolate Candy | 28.0 | El Camino Real Derby - 1 (102) | 5 |
5 | Flying Pegasus | 28.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 2 (93) | N/A |
6 | Friesan Fire | 18.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 1 (95) Lecomte Stakes - 1 (104) | 18 |
7 | Giant Oak | 24.0 | Risen Star Stakes - AR (89) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (103) | N/A |
8 | Haynesfield | 32.0 | N/A | |
9 | Hello Broadway | 30.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (89) | N/A |
10 | I Want Revenge | 54.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 3 (96) | N/A |
11 | Midshipman | 19.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (106) FrontRunner Stakes - 2 (102) | N/A |
12 | Notonthesamepage | 40.0 | Breeders' Futurity - AR (87) | N/A |
13 | Old Fashioned | 7.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (104) | N/A |
14 | Papa Clem | 44.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 2 (97) | 4 |
15 | Patena | 22.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 2 (102) | N/A |
16 | Pioneerof the Nile | 13.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (104) Robert B. Lewis - 1 (98) Breeders' Futurity - 3 (98) | 2 |
17 | Silver City | 35.0 | N/A | |
18 | Stardom Bound | 22.0 | N/A | |
19 | Taqarub | 46.0 | N/A | |
20 | The Pamplemousse | 29.0 | N/A | |
21 | This Ones for Phil | 44.0 | N/A | |
22 | Vineyard Haven | 36.0 | Champagne Stakes - 1 (98) | N/A |
23 | West Side Bernie | 40.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (103) Holy Bull Stakes - 3 (93) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 2 (103) | 9 |
24 | The Field | 1.9 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $5.80 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2008 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Anak Nakal | 33.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (108) | 7 |
2 | Blackberry Road | 47.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 2 (100) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (107) | N/A |
3 | Bob Black Jack | 58.0 | 16 | |
4 | Colonel John | 19.0 | 6 | |
5 | Court Vision | 15.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (93) Iroquois Stakes - 1 (96) | 13 |
6 | Cowboy Cal | 26.0 | 9 | |
7 | Crown of Thorns | 18.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (104) | N/A |
8 | Denis of Cork | 46.0 | 3 | |
9 | El Gato Malo | 16.0 | N/A | |
10 | Etched | 26.0 | N/A | |
11 | Georgie Boy | 69.0 | N/A | |
12 | Giant Moon | 51.0 | N/A | |
13 | Into Mischief | 26.0 | N/A | |
14 | Majestic Warrior | 18.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (84) | N/A |
15 | Monba | 16.0 | 20 | |
16 | Pyro | 5.0 | Champagne Stakes - 2 (97) | 8 |
17 | Signature Move | 155.0 | N/A | |
18 | Smooth Air | 159.0 | 11 | |
19 | Tale of Ekati | 33.0 | 4 | |
20 | War Pass | 6.0 | Champagne Stakes - 1 (98) | N/A |
21 | Yankee Bravo | 48.0 | N/A | |
22 | Z Fortune | 37.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (103) | 10 |
23 | Z Humor | 45.0 | Champagne Stakes - 3 (95) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (101) | 14 |
24 | The Field | 3.3 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $8.60 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2007 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Adore the Gold | 33.0 | N/A | |
2 | Any Given Saturday | 14.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (109) | 8 |
3 | Belgravia | 29.0 | N/A | |
4 | Buffalo Man | 59.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (78) | N/A |
5 | Circular Quay | 12.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (89) Risen Star Stakes - AR (91) Breeders' Futurity - 2 (99) | 6 |
6 | Day Pass | 38.0 | N/A | |
7 | Dreaming of Anna | 53.0 | N/A | |
8 | Drums of Thunder | 41.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (99) | N/A |
9 | EZ Warrior | 41.0 | N/A | |
10 | Exhale | 27.0 | N/A | |
11 | Forefathers | 44.0 | N/A | |
12 | Great Hunter | 24.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (87) Breeders' Futurity - 1 (101) | 13 |
13 | Hard Spun | 10.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (103) | 2 |
14 | Lawrence the Roman | 35.0 | N/A | |
15 | Liquidity | 33.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (75) Sham Stakes - 2 (101) | 14 |
16 | Nobiz Like Shobiz | 8.0 | Champagne Stakes - 2 (93) Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (100) Remsen Stakes - 1 (112) | 10 |
17 | Notional | 27.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 1 (99) | N/A |
18 | Out of Gwedda | 157.0 | N/A | |
19 | Ravel | 11.0 | Sham Stakes - 1 (102) | N/A |
20 | Scat Daddy | 44.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 4 (84) Champagne Stakes - 1 (94) Holy Bull Stakes - 3 (98) | 18 |
21 | Stormello | 40.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (84) FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (98) | 19 |
22 | Street Sense | 10.4 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (99) Breeders' Futurity - 3 (99) | 1 |
23 | Zanjero | 56.0 | Remsen Stakes - 2 (105) Risen Star Stakes - 3 (97) | 12 |
24 | The Field | 2.5 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $22.80 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2006 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | A. P. Warrior | 31.0 | FrontRunner Stakes - 2 (91) | 18 |
2 | Achilles of Troy | 26.0 | N/A | |
3 | Barbaro | 19.1 | 1 | |
4 | Barbican | 18.0 | N/A | |
5 | Blazing Rate | 101.0 | N/A | |
6 | Bluegrass Cat | 15.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (95) | 2 |
7 | Bob and John | 31.0 | 17 | |
8 | Brother Derek | 16.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 4 (95) FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (92) | 5 |
9 | Cause to Believe | 59.0 | 13 | |
10 | Doctor Decherd | 59.0 | N/A | |
11 | First Samurai | 7.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (101) Champagne Stakes - 1 (101) | N/A |
12 | Flashy Bull | 45.0 | Remsen Stakes - 2 (93) | 14 |
13 | Half Ours | 33.0 | N/A | |
14 | Henny Hughes | 27.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (103) Champagne Stakes - 2 (98) | N/A |
15 | High Cotton | 62.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 2 (101) Breeders' Futurity - AR (66) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (92) | N/A |
16 | Itsallaboutthechase | 48.0 | N/A | |
17 | Keyed Entry | 53.0 | 20 | |
18 | Lawyer Ron | 21.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 1 (105) | 12 |
19 | Point Determined | 18.0 | 9 | |
20 | Private Vow | 14.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (61) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (94) | 15 |
21 | Sorcerer's Stone | 45.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (92) | N/A |
22 | Stevie Wonderboy | 8.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (104) | N/A |
23 | Your Tent or Mine | 21.0 | N/A | |
24 | The Field | 3.0 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $40.20 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2005 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Afleet Alex | 15.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (101) Champagne Stakes - 2 (102) | 3 |
2 | Bandini | 20.0 | 19 | |
3 | Closing Argument | 50.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (103) Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 2 (85) | 2 |
4 | Consolidator | 30.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 4 (100) Breeders' Futurity - 1 (101) | N/A |
5 | Declan's Moon | 9.0 | N/A | |
6 | Galloping Grocer | 35.0 | Remsen Stakes - 2 (111) | N/A |
7 | Giacomo | 25.0 | Sham Stakes - 3 (95) | 1 |
8 | Going Wild | 25.0 | Sham Stakes - 1 (96) | 18 |
9 | Greater Good | 35.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 3 (93) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - AR (0) | 13 |
10 | Harlington | 19.0 | Risen Star Stakes - AR (95) | N/A |
11 | High Fly | 25.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 3 (101) | 10 |
12 | High Limit | 25.0 | 20 | |
13 | Lost in the Fog | 21.0 | N/A | |
14 | Proud Accolade | 35.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (97) Champagne Stakes - 1 (103) | N/A |
15 | Rockport Harbor | 13.0 | Remsen Stakes - 1 (111) | N/A |
16 | Roman Ruler | 18.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (98) FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (92) | N/A |
17 | Rush Bay | 60.0 | Risen Star Stakes - AR (91) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (96) | N/A |
18 | Spanish Chestnut | 35.0 | 16 | |
19 | Storm Surge | 70.0 | Risen Star Stakes - 3 (96) Lecomte Stakes - 1 (95) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - AR (88) | N/A |
20 | Sun King | 19.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (101) Champagne Stakes - 3 (101) | 15 |
21 | Sweet Catomine | 21.0 | N/A | |
22 | Texcess | 80.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (87) | N/A |
23 | Wilko | 23.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (102) | 6 |
24 | The Field | 2.0 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $52.00 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2004 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Action This Day | 14.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (94) Sham Stakes - 4 (100) | 6 |
2 | Birdstone | 12.0 | Champagne Stakes - 1 (94) | 8 |
3 | Borrego | 52.0 | Sham Stakes - 2 (100) | 10 |
4 | Capac | 38.0 | N/A | |
5 | Eurosilver | 11.0 | Breeders' Futurity - 1 (102) | N/A |
6 | Fire Slam | 55.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 2 (101) Lecomte Stakes - 1 (100) | N/A |
7 | Gradepoint | 24.0 | N/A | |
8 | Gran Prospect | 76.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (95) | N/A |
9 | Halfbridled | 22.0 | N/A | |
10 | Lion Heart | 14.0 | 2 | |
11 | Lucky Pulpit | 78.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 2 (102) FrontRunner Stakes - AR (87) | N/A |
12 | Master David | 19.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 3 (100) Remsen Stakes - 2 (99) Sham Stakes - 1 (101) | 12 |
13 | Minister Eric | 32.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (92) | 16 |
14 | Mr. Jester | 58.0 | Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes - 1 (101) | N/A |
15 | Read the Footnotes | 14.0 | Champagne Stakes - AR (79) Fountain of Youth Stakes - 1 (101) Remsen Stakes - 1 (103) | 7 |
16 | Second of June | 0.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 2 (101) Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (103) | N/A |
17 | Shaniko | 47.0 | N/A | |
18 | Silver Wagon | 46.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 3 (94) Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (100) | N/A |
19 | Sir Oscar | 82.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (87) | N/A |
20 | St Averil | 25.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (104) | N/A |
21 | Tapit | 17.0 | 9 | |
22 | The Cliff's Edge | 28.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 1 (105) Breeders' Futurity - AR (96) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (96) | 5 |
23 | Tiger Hunt | 34.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 4 (87) Breeders' Futurity - 2 (98) | N/A |
24 | The Field | 1.8 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $5.60 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2003 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apalachian Thunder | 62.0 | N/A | |
2 | Atswhatimtalknbout | 28.0 | 4 | |
3 | Badge of Silver | 11.0 | N/A | |
4 | Domestic Dispute | 19.0 | Robert B. Lewis - 1 (101) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - AR (95) | 10 |
5 | Empire Maker | 12.0 | Sham Stakes - 2 (104) Remsen Stakes - 3 (98) | 2 |
6 | Funny Cide | 93.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - AR (96) | 1 |
7 | Indy Dancer | 18.0 | N/A | |
8 | Kafwain | 12.0 | FrontRunner Stakes - 1 (100) | N/A |
9 | Lion Tamer | 20.0 | N/A | |
10 | Man Among Men | 29.0 | Sham Stakes - 1 (105) | N/A |
11 | Ministers Wild Cat | 24.0 | N/A | |
12 | Offlee Wild | 34.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 4 (91) Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (103) | 12 |
13 | Ozzie Cat | 50.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (71) | N/A |
14 | Peace Rules | 66.0 | 3 | |
15 | Saintly Look | 65.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (104) | N/A |
16 | Seattle Hoofer | 42.0 | N/A | |
17 | Senor Swinger | 43.0 | N/A | |
18 | Siberland | 114.0 | N/A | |
19 | Sky Mesa | 12.0 | Breeders' Futurity - 1 (86) | N/A |
20 | Ten Cents a Shine | 34.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (74) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (99) | 8 |
21 | Toccet | 12.0 | Champagne Stakes - 1 (92) Remsen Stakes - 1 (104) | N/A |
22 | Trust N Luck | 19.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 1 (98) | N/A |
23 | Whywhywhy | 62.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (87) | N/A |
24 | The Field | 2.0 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $188.00 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
2002 Pool 2 | ||||
Entry # | Horse Name | Closing Odds | Major Previous Prep Races - Finish (Par Rating) |
Kentucky Derby Finish |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Booklet | 24.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 1 (92) Holy Bull Stakes - 1 (87) | N/A |
2 | Came Home | 14.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (95) | 6 |
3 | Cappuchino | 62.0 | N/A | |
4 | Danthebluegrassman | 30.0 | N/A | |
5 | Easyfromthegitgo | 41.0 | Lecomte Stakes - 1 (102) | N/A |
6 | Fonz's | 41.0 | N/A | |
7 | Grey Beard | 70.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (76) | N/A |
8 | Harlan's Holiday | 17.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 2 (92) Holy Bull Stakes - 2 (87) Iroquois Stakes - 1 (108) Breeders' Futurity - 2 (95) | 7 |
9 | High Star | 29.0 | Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 3 (107) | N/A |
10 | Johannesburg | 7.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 1 (101) | 8 |
11 | Update | 40.0 | N/A | |
12 | Maybry's Boy | 51.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (73) | N/A |
13 | Nokoma | 43.0 | Holy Bull Stakes - 4 (82) Remsen Stakes - 2 (99) | N/A |
14 | Update | 47.0 | N/A | |
15 | Political Attack | 99.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - 4 (85) | N/A |
16 | Repent | 8.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 2 (100) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 1 (109) | N/A |
17 | Request for Parole | 58.0 | Iroquois Stakes - 2 (105) Breeders' Futurity - AR (90) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes - 2 (108) | 5 |
18 | Saarland | 11.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - AR (95) Champagne Stakes - 4 (89) Remsen Stakes - 1 (99) | 10 |
19 | Saratoga Blues | 26.0 | N/A | |
20 | Siphonic | 8.0 | Breeders' Cup Juvenile - 3 (98) Robert B. Lewis - 2 (94) Breeders' Futurity - 1 (101) | N/A |
21 | Stephentown | 25.0 | Fountain of Youth Stakes - AR (85) | N/A |
22 | Update | 33.0 | N/A | |
23 | U S S Tinosa | 42.0 | Sham Stakes - 1 (101) | N/A |
24 | The Field | 2.8 | N/A | N/A |
$2 Win Payout: $7.60 $2 Exacta Payout: Not Offered |
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)