Colonial Downs 7-11-2013 Selections - Races 1,2,4,6,8

Pre Scratches.  I'm not sure if I will be able to update for scratches.
 
Card Notes-
IMPORTANT:  I handicapped the turf races assuming they stay on the turf.  If these races come "off the turf" do not use these selections.

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Multirace Bets-
None.


Race 1 - 6-1/2f DIRT Md Clm - Action
A - #6 Cherry Road (Even) - by class seems much the best and dirt #'s have been decent when compared with this bunch, but is very vulnerable
B - #3 Greatness Rules (15-1) - lots of value, switches to dirt and has posted some decent works on the dirt, the addition of blinkers and a decent jockey add confidence
C - #8 Stablemate (15-1) - in cheap md clm races when the competition isn't great first time starters have a decent shot, several works, may tag along for a piece
D - #5 Fall Colors (4-1) - closed really well last out on the dirt, but # did not come back that good
E - #9 Shades of Forever (15-1) - switches to dirt, may get a good trip on the outside


Multi-Race Horses-
6,3

Race Notes-
The #1 Ten is Magic (7/2) is worth a look, but with an off the pace style on the Cnl main track this is the horse I took a stand against.  But, if one of my top 5 scratches out, the insert this one on the bottom.

Suggested Plays: 



Race 2 - 1 mi INNER TURF Clm - Action
A - #8 R.B. Float (7/2) - appears to be in good form off recent outs, beyers fit, good recs at Cnl and distance, outside post should give a good stalking trip
B - #1 Hound (6-1) - class drop from open 10.5K, good beyers on Cnl turf, good win % at this distance, excellent trainer, will need to work out a trip
C - #6 Standing O (9/5) - solid pedigree on sire side, drops from open 16K, stretching out with potential early speed
D - #3 Pick Four (6-1) - drops in class from open 12.5K, picks up Karamanos, definitely has win potential
E - #5 Baby Time (6-1) - will be arriving on the scene late, if at all

Multi-Race Horses-
8,1,6,3,5

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 



Race 4 - 1-1/16mi INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 Blue Angel Express (8/5) - nice class drop and should get a good trip from this post
B - #1 Pauper's Queen (2-1) - class drop, will be running late, but will need a good trip from rail
C - #3 Shahadaroba (15-1) - this girl offers some serious value in the multi's, could end up being the main speed of the race and has run some good beyers, esp when loose on the lead, question is how far will he she fade, if at all
D - #4 Summer Court (3-1) - takes a jump up in class with win last out, style may compromise chances with lack of speed in race
E - #5 Asian Invasion (6-1)


Multi-Race Horses-
6,1,3

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:
$1 - 6 / 1,3 / 1,3,4,5 = $6
$0.50 - 6 / 1,3,4,5 / 1,3,4,5 = $6
$0.50 - 1,3 / 6 / 1,3,4,5 = $3



Race 6 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Action
A - #3 Seven Days (8/5) - interesting move off 7/6 work for trainer, has never run on turf, but is facing a group who is well below par
B - #1a Mo Didn't Know (5/2) - has run well at Cnl and at this distance, may scratch with same rider as #1 named
C - #7 Fancy Attitude (9/2) - last out beyer put her in mix, but did get some pace help in that race
D - #2 Pomelia (8-1) - has speed which can be good in these 5-1/2f races, Russell adds to confidence
E - #1 Highstar (5/2) - coupled entry, but is usable it the #1a scratches, will need some pace help

Multi-Race Horses-  
3,1-1a,7,2

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:



Race 8 - 5-1/2f TURF OC - Play
A - #4 Hold On Smokey (9/5) - will be trying to hold on in the str against #6, like the early speed
B - #6 Love Those Boots (2-1) - will be trying to run down leader who got the best of this horse last out
C - #5 R. Bee Ess (4-1) - should be stalking the pace just a few lengths off, should get a really good tirp
D - #1 Agnostic (9/2) - will be running late, but Russell will need to find a way thru on the inside
E - #2 Hesagoldmine (6-1) - another late runner, may grab a piece of trifecta if everything goes right


Multi-Race Horses-
4,6

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:
$2 - 4 / 6 / 5 = $2
$1 - 6 / 4 / 5 = $1
$1 -4,6 / 4,6 / 5,1,2 = $6
$0.50 - 4,6 / 5,1,2 / 4,6 = $3
$0.50 - 4,6 / 4,6 / 3 = $1

Colonial Downs 7-3-2013 Selections - Races 1,4,5,7

Pre Scratches.  I'm not sure if I will be able to update for scratches.
 
Card Notes-
IMPORTANT:  I handicapped these races assuming they stay on the turf.  If these races come "off the turf" do not use these selections.

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Multirace Bets-
None.


Race 1 - 5-1/2F TURF Clm - Play
A - #6 Harbor Fox (6-1) - class drops from open 10k, hoping Karamanos carry nurse a lead all the way
B - #9 Magical Merry (9/5) - takes a pretty big class drop with good beyers, logical choice
C - #11 Wild Heir Cat (4-1) - has never run on turf, but pedigree suggest he'll like it, strong jockey/trainer combo
D - #7 Kalahari Queen (6-1)
E - #4 Good's Secret (15-1)


Multi-Race Horses-
6,9,11

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 



Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Action+
A - #3 Pioneer Zephyr (5/2) - class drop, beyers fit
B - #9 Sally Oh Sally (2-1) - has run well at Cnl and distance, should get a good trip
C - #7 Bridge Night (8-1) - appears to be the main speed, though others could challange
D - #6 Cee's Fast (8-1)
E - #8 Darn Proud (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
3,9,7,6,8

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 



Race 5 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Play
A - #2 Citizen Chris (4-1) - was blocked badly last out, the rallied once clear, serious upset chance
B - #4 Arkle Park (7/5) - class drops from MSW, should be close to pace with good trip
C - #6 Vestry (8-1) - class drop, good pedigree, has run some decent races at Cnl
D - #3 Ascendancy (7/2) - has never run on turf, but trainer gives some confidence to ability
E - #1 Marriage Fever (9/2)


Multi-Race Horses-
2,4

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:




Race 7 - 5-1/2f TURF - Action+
A - #1 Sea Bubble (9/5) - drops from MSW 40K, bred well, presence of Russell adds confidence
B - #3 Lemon Cookie (5/2) - ran a good second last out, plenty of room for improvment
C - #7 Country Sunshing (7/2) - rallied for 3rd last out while 5 wide
D - #5 Ebony Wings (6-1)
E - #6 Hidetheblackgold (12-1)

Multi-Race Horses-  
1,3,7,5

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: