Laurel Park - Thurs 9-27-2012 Selections Pick 4 (Races 6-9)

Updated for Scratches.

Pick 4 Races 6,7,8,9 - Post Time 3:37pm
Pick 3 Races 7,8,9 - Post Time 4:07pm

I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Race 6 - 1mi OC - Action
Recap:   I thought the #4 lost his chance when we stumbled out of the gate, but he still didn't fire later.  #6 Mr Hall's Opus was very stubborn to wear down foe for win.
A - #4 Hello Now (8-1) - like the speed shown last out, notes show game horse, sire
B - #5 Amelia Mar (3-1) - has won at distance, ships from Mth
C - #6 Mr Hall's Opus (2-1) - closed last out, added ground may help, ships from Mth - Winner
D - #3 Off My Cloud (6-1) - class drop, could complete trifecta - Second
E - #1 Precious Franca (9/2) - class drop - Third
Suggested Plays:
$2 - Win #4

Pick 4 - Races 6,7,8,9
Winning Ticket 6 / 9 / 1 / 9
$0.50 - 4,5,6 / 3,9,6 / 5,2 / 6,9 = $18
- OR -
$0.50 - 4,5,6 / 3,9,6 / 5,2,6 / 6,9 = $27
- OR -
$0.50 - 4,5,6 / 3,9,6 / 5,2,6 / 6,9,4 = $40.50


Race 7 - 1-1/16mi OC TURF - Action
Recap:  S. Russell is always extremely dangerous on the turf.  Utley had to find room in the stretch to run, but once he did he quickly ran down the leader.  #3 Mr. Irons just left himself too much to do considering the pace.
A - #3 Mr. Irons (9/2) - good closing effort last out against better, plenty of speed here for style
B - #9 Utley (3-1) - closes well, back to turf after dirt last out, should get a good trip, S. Russell on the turf - Winner
C - #2 Followmyfootsteps (5-1) - has got speed, lots of class, worried will get pressed - Second
D - #1 Noll Wallop (6-1) - can close, definitely could mix it up in the exotics
E - #6 Raconteur (12-1) - a huge question mark here, 1st turf try and adds blinkers
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 3,9/3,9 = $4
$1 - 3,9/2,1,6 = $6 Hit $25.70
- OR - 
$1 - 3,9/3,9/2,1,6 = $6
$1 - 3,9/2,1,6/3,9,2 = $10

Pick 3 - Races 7,8,9
Winning Ticket 9 / 1 / 9
$0.50 - 3,9,6 / 5,2 / 6,9 = $6
- OR -
$0.50 - 3,9,6 / 5,2,6 / 6,9,4 = $13.50


Race 8 - 7f OC - Play
Recap:  I try not to harp on Jockeys too much, but Castellano lost this race for #5 My Charming Clyde.  It looked like he thought he had the race won at the top of the stretch.  Instead of cutting the corner he floated out and that allowed #1 Private Tale to slip to his inside and by the time Castellano noticed him Private Tale already had a head in front.  If Private Tale had been forced to go outside then My Charming Clyde could very well have won.  There are a lot of was to lose a race, but I don't give an experienced jockey a free pass when he floats out and lets a horse slide through on the inside - that is simple geometry!
A - #5 My Charming Clyde (2-1) - This horse should get a perfect trip from this post - Second
B - #2 Malibu Kid (7/2) - Could be lone speed in race
C - #6 Hop Skip and Away (12-1) - Class drop and may provide some value in race
D - #1 Private Tale (3-1) - Winner
E - #3 Homeboykris (4-1)
Suggested Plays:
$4 - 5/2,6 = $8
$2 -2,6/5 =  $4
$1 - 5/1 = $1
- OR - 
$1 - 5/2,6/2,6,3 = $4
$1 - 5/2,6,1/2,6,1,3 = $9
$2 - 2,6/5 = $4


Race 9 - 1mi Claiming TURF - Play
Recap:  Someone forgot to tell #5 All for Peace he was 97-1.  The speed didn't collapse as much as I was hoping.
A - #6 Safety Valve (5/2) - class drop, lots of class vs these, like the inside post, 2nd off layoff - Third
B - #9 Great Harbour (6/5) - could be lone speed, but no value at 6/5, could be wide on 1st turn - Winner
C - #4 Wotan (8-1) - good closer, but lack of pace could hurt
D - #3 Nightscape (20-1) - could get into Trifecta
E - #8 Artic Cry (12-1)
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 6,9/6,9 = $4
$2 - 6/4 = $2
$1 - 9/4 = $1
$1 - 6,9/8 = $2
- OR -
$1 - 6,9/6,9,4/6,9,4,3,8 = $12
$1 - 6,9/3,8/6,9,4 = $8