Thursday, October 4, 2012

Laurel Park - Fri 10-5-2012 Selections Races 2,6,7,8,9

Updated for Scratches.

Pick 4 Races 6,7,8,9 - Post Time 3:37pm
Pick 3 Races 7,8,9 - Post Time 4:07pm


I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Race 2 - 6f sAlw - Play
A - #6 Graysonia (1/1) - good post, lots of trouble last out, has beaten better - Second
B - #2 Gangsterontherun (4-1) - 3 for 4 at distance, will likely not get clear lead, speed - Winner
C - #3 Yano (8-1) - Slight class drop, has run well at distance, should stalk & speed in race will help
D - #4 Candy Games (8-1) - speed, slight class drop, should hang around for exotics
E - #5 Chac Mool (9/2) - speed, but think others seem better - Third
Suggested Plays:
$1 - 6/2,3,4/2,3,4,5 = $9

Race 6 - 1mi Claiming - Action
A - #4 Katniss Everdeen (4-1) - change of style, showed speed last out
B - #5 Jungle Princess (5-1) - class drop, could go for lead, good breeding, Ness
C - #10 Theatricality (6/5) - may need a race - Second
D - #7 Domestic Rose (15-1) - always closes
E - #6 Ten Hat Tricks (20-1) - showed can close well last out
Suggested Plays:

$1 - 4,5/4,5,10,7 = $6

Pick 4 - Races 6,7,8,9
$0.50 - 4,5,10 / 13,10,1a / 2,3,5 / 5,6,3 = $40.50
- OR -

$0.50 - 4,5,10 / 13,10,1a ,8 / 2,3,5 / 5,6,3 = $54

Race 7 - 5-1/2f OC TURF - Action
A - #13 Sounds of the City (7/2) - Will need a little pace help, but should get it, may get caught wide, lots of class vs these - Winner $6.40
B - #10 Nice Stuff (5-1) - A. Dutrow & S. Russell 67% at Lrl and 40% overall, lots of class, always closes
C - #8 Kitten Love (8-1) - Lots of gate speed, but always seems to fade

D - #1a Dakota Sis (10-1)  - 1st out in 2012, but has some gate speed, may need a race, Ness 33% +180 days - Third
E - #12 Perfect Measure (20-1) - Can be in the mix if runs to best, interesting that Smith places horse here - Second
Suggested Plays:
$1 -13,10/13,10,8,1a,12 = $8 - Hit $117.30

Pick 3 - Races 7,8,9

$0.50 - 13,10,1a / 2,3,5 / 5,6,3 = $13.50
- OR -

$0.50 - 13,10,1a ,8 / 2,3,5 / 5,6,3 = $18


Race 8 - 1-1/16mi Alw - Action
A - #2 Gypsy Baron (5-1) - Has shot for easy lead
B - #3 Easton Jack (8/5) - May contest for lead or stalk, has potential to be easily the best - Third
C - #5 Jazz Age (5-1) - Class drop, should get a good trip
D - #6 Senor Quickie (6-1) - Has run well on Dirt in the past - Second
E - #4 Siegfried (9/2) - Runs well at Lrl, will need some pace help, but good Exacta/Trifecta horse - Winner
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 2,3/2,3,5 = $8
$1 - 2,3/6,4 = $4


Race 9 - 6f OC - Action
A - #5 Exclusive Warrior (4-1) - There if speed collapses - Winner $8.00
B - #6 Hurricane Girl (2-1) - Lots of speed, could easily win here if speed holds
C - #3 Our Year (5/2) - Another speed horse that is 50% at this distance
D - #7 Majestic Samurai (6-1) - Maybe off form as of late, but best puts her in the mix here - Second
E - #1 Cryptocandiac (10-1)  - Possibility to fill out Trifecta
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 5,6/5,6 = $4
$1 - 5,6/3,7 = $4 - Hit $22.40
- OR -
$1 - 5,6/5,6,3/5,6,3,7,1 = $12

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