Saturday, October 6, 2012

Santa Anita - 10-6-2012 Selections


Pre Scratches.  I will update the plays once the scratches come out.

I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets


Race 3 - 1mi Arroyo Seco Mile TURF G2 - Play
A - #3 Obviously (1/1) - seems to be the lone speed in race, has proven can win with that style at distance
B - #1 Mr. Commons (8/5) - works suggest ready, will need to work out trip from post, and will have to run down lone speed
C - #5 Midnight Interlude (8-1) - have always like this horse on the turf (his preferred surface), don't think he'll win but good for exotics
D - #2 Trailblazer (5-1) - this horse is a huge question mark, could very well upset these
E - #4 Kettle Corn (6-1) - somethings to like here, but I think top 2 are much better

Suggested Plays:
 
$2 - 3,1/3,1/5 = $4
$1 - 3,1/3,1/2,4 = $4
$1 - 3,1/5,2,4/3,1 = $6


Race 8 - 6f SA Sprint Championship G1 - Action
A - #2 Amazombie (9/5) - could easily be best here, but is vulnerable, does love this distance
B - #7 Reneesgotzip (6-1) -  has a lot of gate speed which should server her well here
C - #4 Camp Victory (9/2) - the only hose in here to beat Amazombie, will be waiting for front runners to come back
D - #3 Coil (4-1) - Baffert adds blinkers and I find it interesting that he places him here, must be doing well
E - #5 Capital Account (3-1) - should sit a good stalking trip, but still a cut below Amazombie if Amazombie runs his best

Suggested Plays:
$2 - 2/7,4/7,4,3 = $8
$1 - 2/7,4/5 = $2
$1 - 2/3,5/7,4 = $4
$2 - 7,4/2 = $4

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