Friday, October 12, 2012

Laurel Park - 10-12-2012 Selections Pick 4 Races 6-9

Updated for Scratches.

I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets



Race 6 - 1mi Claiming - Action
A - #4 Heron Lake (7/2) - interesting Zito shows up here, has beaten better, good speed
B - #5 Lemon Juice (4-1) - trainer 35% first claim, good post for style - Third
C - #1a Citizen Kat (5/2) - has been racing against better, forgive last out on sly track
D - #8 Behemoth (4-1) - beyer #'s fit here, has won at distance and Lrl - Second
E - #7 Black Bullett (6-1) - has won at Lrl & 2 for 6 at distance - Winner

Suggested Plays:

$1 - 4,5/4,5,1 = $4

Pick 4 - Races 6,7,8,9
$0.50 - 4,5,1a / 4,6,8,9 / 7,3 / 10,2,11 = $36



Race 7 - 6f Md Sp Wght TURF - Action
A - #8 Make Em See Red (5-1) - like the speed here, won last out against this level but was dq'd - Third
B - #4 Ebony Street (10-1) - some trouble in recent, cutting back in distance, S. Russell on the turf
C - #6 Homestead (3-1) - could easily be best in here, but first time sprinting, trainer 16-0 Turf sprints
D - #9 Bonjour Belle (4-1) - has potential to sit a really good trip - Second
E - #12 I Am Iron Woman (8-1) - has closed well in both races, but may not get pace help here

Suggested Plays:

$2 Win #8 (if odds 5-1 or higher) 
$1 - 6,4/6,4,2 = $4
- OR -
$1 - 6,4,2/6,4,2 = $6

Pick 3 - Races 7,8,9
$0.50 - 4,6,8,9 / 7,3 / 10,2,11 = $12



Race 8 - 6f Alw - Play
A - #7 Bravo Romeo (7/5) - trainer 1st claim 35%, beat open claiming last out, good post for style - Second
B - #3 Service for Ten (7/2) - off layoff, but has a solid work tab, trainer 24% at +180 days off, has speed - Winner
C - #5 Bayou Bengal (12-1) - speed, has won at Lrl, value - Third

D - #6 Rocky Gap (6-1) -  off layoff may need a race, runs well at Lrl
E - #2 Medaglia's Express (4-1) - has some poor dirt #'s in past and moving up in class, still may fill out trifecta

Suggested Plays:

$1 - 7,3/7,3,5/7,3,5,6,2 = $12 - Hit $23.00
$0.50 - 7,3/2,6/7,3,5 = $4



Race 9 - 5-1/2f OC TURF - Action
A - #10 Hold Our Destiny (9/2) - good speed for distance - Winner $13.40
B - #2 Backyard Boogie (6-1) - 3 of 4 in money at distance, Russell will need to figure good trip
C - #11 Political Pupil (7/2) - class drop, may sit a good trip if not wide, serious contender
D - #9 Heart of Rome (10-1) - has been wide in recent outs, definite possible to fill out exotics
E - #8 Holiday Road Girl (8-1) - Smith is 20% with 2yr olds, always respect him

Suggested Plays:

$1 - 10,2/10,2,11 = $4

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