Saturday, September 15, 2012

Laurel Park - Saturday 9-15-2012 Selections

Updated for Scratches.

Pick 3 - Races 4,5,6 - Play listed in race 4.
Pick 5 - Races 6,7,8,9,10 - Play listed in race 6.
Pick 4 - Races 7,8,9,10 - Play listed in race 7.

I've given 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is always my winner.  See the key below for how I label the races.


Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Usually play a small bet (Win or Exacta) for the action.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race.  Single on Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

First Post
1:10pm

Race 1 - 7f Maiden Claiming - Play 

A - #2 Cu Soonerthanlater (5-1) - Has potential to get an easy lead - Second
B - #3 Aviation Show (8/5) - Class drop, good speed #'s, but didn't like notes from last out - Winner
C
- #6 Love Hero (7/2) - was wide last out and closed gap, like trainer #'s - Third
D
- #4 Running Game (6-1)
E
- #7 Pounce Into Spring (10-1)
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 2,3/2,3 = $4 - Hit $8.80
$1 - 2,6/2,6 = $2


Race 2 - 1-1/16mi Alw - Action
A - #4 Tappinintovictory (9/5) - good speed and speed #'s, class drop, in money 6-10 at this distance - Winner $3.40
B - #1 Smiling Jordan (5/2) - good speed #'s, class drop and likes Laurel - Third
C
- #3 Albrecht (3-1) - Has some speed, in money 12-15 at this distance - Second
D
- #5 Warrensburg (8-1) - a good closer
E - #6 Siegfried (6-1) - a good closer
Suggested Plays:
With a lot of Play races on the card you may want to skip this one.
$1 - 4,1/4,1 = $2
$1 - 4/3,5 = $2 - Hit $6.20


Race 4 - 5-1/2f Claiming - Play
A - #1a Graysonia (2-1) - Third
B - #5 Bellissima Luna (5/2) - Winner
C
- #4 Love to the Max (6-1) - Second
D - #3 Access Love (4-1)
E - #6 Daddyroe (6-1)
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 1a,5/1a,5 = $4
$1 - 1a/4 = $1

-  OR -
$1 - 1a,5/1a,5,4/1a,5,4,3,6 = $12 - Hit $63.40


Pick 3 - Races 4,5,6
$0.50 - 1a,5 / 6,10,1 / 2,3,6 = $9
 

Race 5 - 5-1/2f OC TURF- Play
A - #6 Carole's Love (4-1) - Really like the early speed at this distance at Laurel, class drop
B - #10 Magical Merry (5-1) - Good speed #'s, should get good stalking trip from post, class drop - Third
C
- #1 High Cry (3-1) - 3 for 6 wins at this distance, class drop, should be there at finish
D
- #3 Kitten Love (9/2) - Has got some speed, class drop 3 for 3 in money at distance, a cut below top 3 - Second
E - #5 Allwewantforxmas (10-1) - used for some value, 2 for 4 in money at distance, early speed 
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 6,10/6,10 = $4
$1 - 6/1 = $1
- OR -
$1 - 6,10/6,10,1/6,10,1,3,5 = $12


Race 6 - 6f Md Sp Wght - Play
A - #3 Peeds in a Pod (9/2) - Third
B - #2 Lunar Rock (3-1) - Winner
C
- #6 One More Cat (5/2)
D
- #4 Heat Press  (4-1) - Second
E - #5 Love's Not Fair (5-1)
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 2,3/2,3 = $4
$1 - 2,3/6 = $2

Pick 5 - Races 6,7,8,9,10

$0.50 - 3,2,6 / 8,9,6 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 8 / 10,1,3 = $67.50
- OR -
$0.50 - 3,2,6 / 8,9,6 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 8,7 / 10,1,3 = $135


Race 7 - 5-1/2f Claiming TURF - Play
A - #8 Simple Exchange (7/5) - seems best, but worried running style may hurt here
B - #9 Jungle Juice (5-1) - speed, could very well win
C
- #6 Break the Record (6-1) - speed, ships in from SAR - Second
D
- #7 Flip the Switch (10-1) - good value for Trifecta - Third
E - #12 Charli Sunshine (12-1) - good value for TrifectaSuggested Plays:
$2 - 8,9/8,9 = $4
$1 - 8,9/6 = $2
- OR -
$1 - 8,9/8,9,6/8,9,6,7,12 = $12


Pick 4 - Races 7,8,9,10 

$0.50 - 8,9,6 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 8 / 10,1,3 = $22.50
- OR -
$0.50 -
8,9,6 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 8,7 / 10,1,3 = $45

Race 8 - 6f Md Sp Wght - Weak
A - #5 Coco Knows (6-1)
B - #7 D C Dancer (5/2) - Winner
C
- #6 Indian Bucks (3-1) - Second
D
- #2 Thurmont (12-1)
E - #1 Ski Pole (6-1) 
Suggested Plays:
No plays, too wide open


Race 9 - 7f OC - Prime
A - #8 Hurricane Girl (Even) - speed drawn outside, seems easily the best.  Even money maybe an overlay! - Winner $3.80
B - #1 Brushed by Love (9/2) - likes laurel, good speed #'s and class drop, forgive last out
C
- #4 Banner Elk Lady (6-1) - Second
D
- #3 Parade of Homes (12-1) - Third
E - #7 Namaskara (7/2) - this horse is a huge questions mark, therefore covering in mulit-race bets
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 8/1,4,3 = $6 - Hit $14.00
- OR -
$1 - 8/1,4,3/1,4,3,7 = $9 - Hit $30.70
$1 - 8/1,4,7/1,4,7 = $6 (can play this trifecta for add for value) 


Race 10 - 1-1/8mi All Brandy 100K Stakes TURF - Action
A - #10 Daydreamin Gracie (9/2) - lone speed - Third
B - #1 Charged Cotton (4-1) - moving forward, if gets good trip will be likely winner - Winner
C
- #3 Balitmore Belle (9/5) - winner if fires best run, like works, may need a race
D
- #2 Access to Charlie (12-1) - like works, good turf rider
E - #7 Grant Park (8-1) - good closer, should get a clear trip - Second
Suggested Plays:
$2 - 10,1/10,1 = $4
$1 - 10,1/3 = $2

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