Saturday, September 1, 2012

Saratoga 9-1-2012 Woodward Day Selections - Races 8,9,10

Race 8 - Bernard Baruch G2
A - #4 Dominus - Should like Turf and figures to be lone speed - First
B - #5 Guys Reward - Always runs well and figures to get good trip
C - #6 Sky Blazer - Like recent works, figures to lay close with a good trip - Third
D - #1 Data Link - May be compromised by pace, but definitely horse to beat - Second
E - #7 Prince Will I Am - Looks like they are using race as stepping stone, but Ex or Tri possibilities

Race 9 - Forego G1
A - #6 Emcee - Lots of speed in here, but hoping it holds - First
B - #4 Jackson Bend - Could be there if speed doesn't hold
C - #5 Pacific Ocean - Another speed horse who likes Saratoga
D - #7 Caixa Eletronica - Another good closer who could take over if speed fails
E - #8 Hamazing Destiny - Should get good outside trip, but needs some pace help - Second

Even with the scratch of Shackleford there is still a lot of speed in here.  I wouldn't blame anyone for boxing Jackson Bend, Caixa Eletronica and Hamazing Destiny in an Exacta and hoping for a collapse and a payday!

Race 10 - Woodward G1
A - #6 To Honor and Serve - Should sit a good trip, likes SAR, could fire big here - First
B - #5 Stay Thirsty - This horse LOVES Saratoga!  Mike Welsch like his last work in which he was clearly better than Rule.  Should be a good price.
C - #3 Mucho Macho Man - This was my pick until I heard Mike Welsch say his last two works had declined.  Still his best will runaway from this field, but figures to be a short price. - Second
D - #1 Rule - Is going to have to go with the rail post, likes SAR, but how much will the speed fade?
E - #4 Trickmeister - Could be lone speed and a good bet if Rule doesn't go with him.  How much will the speed fade is a big question for your exotics?

Also, #7 Cease is a good play in here.  He likes SAR and figures a good trip.  I just sided with others, but may use him underneath.

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