Preakness Stats Guide
Get ready for the Preakness Stakes with our Preakness Stats Guide. Packed full of stats and analysis to help you include and exclude horses in the second leg of the Triple Crown.
5-16-2014 Black Eyed Susan Day Selections
Pre Scratches.
Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets. In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets. The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner. If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race. See the key below for how I label the races.
Weak - Poor races to invest in. Usually too wide open. Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Action+ - Some clarity, but winner likely in top 3.
Play - can usually key top 2 (A & B) horses in exotics. Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.
Multirace Bets-
Pimlico Special / Preakness Double - $18 play on 3 tickets
$1 - 6,3 / 3,8 = $4 - HIT $6.00
$1 - 6,3,5 / 3,8 = $6 - HIT $6.00
$1 - 6,3 / 3,8,10,5 = $8 - HIT $6.00
Pimlico Special / Dixie / Preakness Pick 3 - $18 play on 4 tickets
$1 - 6,3 / 3,6 / 3,8 = $8
$0.50 - 5 / 3,6 / 3,8 = $2
$0.50 - 6,3 / 7,8 / 3,8 = 4
$0.50 - 6,3 / 3,6 / 10,5 = $4
Race 1 - 1-1/16mi Handicap - Play
A - #6 La Reine's Wager (15-1) - seems to be the only speed in the race, hoping he can hold on at a price - 3RD
B - #5 Love Heart (4/5) - seems much the best from a speed figure standpoint, but has never routed - WIN
C - #3 Smooth Approach (15-1) - owns 3 wins at this distance, hoping he can plod up for a price in the mud - which he should like. - 6TH
D - #1a Will n' Pat (8-1) - always in the money on wet tracks, coupled entry offers value - 2ND
Multi-Race Horses - 6,5
Suggest Plays:
Daily Double - Races 1,2
$3 - 6 / 7 = $3
$1 - 6,5 / 7 = $2
$1 - 6 / 7,5 = $2
$1 - 6,5 / 7,5 = $4
Race 3 - 6f Alw - Action+
A - #4 Big Lute (7/5) - will need to work a trip, but seems best - 4TH
B - #2 Zuerstgold (5-1) - should be the main speed - WIN
C - #3 Graced (4-1) - fits with the top 2 - 2ND
D - #6 Big Blue Talent (5-1) - 3RD
E - #5 Rojo Perfecto (6-1) - 6TH
Multi-Race Horses - 4,2,3
Suggest Plays:
Race 5 - 6f Skipat Stakes- Action
A - #2 Five Star Momma (6-1) - class drops from G2 to non graded stakes, has plenty of speed and owns a win on a wet track - SCRATCHED
B - #6 Munnings Sister (7/2) - class dropping from G2, is the class of the field and likes a wet track, but may scratch - SCRATCHED
C - #3 Lion D N A (12-1) - another class dropper that may like the wet surface, the price looks good too - WIN $11.20
D - #9 Winning Image (4-1) - like the outside post, really like the horse and the 60 something year old Tony Black riding, but seems a cut below top 2 - 3RD
E - #8 Flattering Bea (12-1) - will need some pace, but could plod into the exotics, value - 2ND
Multi-Race Horses - 2,6,3,9
Suggest Plays:
Plays were affected by scratches.
Race 7 - 5f Rollicking - Action+
A - #7 Spanish Pipedream (2-1) - like the post, ran some good fractions in last out on the synthetic - SCRATCHED
B - #5 Bessie's Boy (10-1) - like the last work and shouldn't mind the wet surface -SCRATCHED
C - #6 Hootenanny (5/2) - seems that he could be a contender based on time in last out - 3RD
D - #1 Governmentshutdown (3-1) - posted a good speed figure in last out - WIN
Multi-Race Horses - 7,5,6
Suggest Plays:
Plays were affected by scratches.
Race 9 - 5f Jim McKay Turf Sprint - Play
A - #8 Ben's Cat (7/5) - whether or not this stays on the turf I think he is the best on either surface - WIN $2.80
B - #1 Great Attack (7/2) - another horse who is good on both surfaces - 2ND
C - #3 Bold Thunder (4-1) - has good speed - SCRATCHED
D - #6 Wicked Tune (8-1) - has some class and should sit close to pace - SCRATCHED
E - #7 Spring to the Sky (10-1) - cross entered at Bel - SCRATCHED
Multi-Race Horses - 8
Suggest Plays:
Plays were affected by scratches.
Race 10 - 1-1/8mi Black-Eyed Susan G2 - Action
A - #5 Euphrosyne (4-1) - may go for the lead, has posted some good speed figures, last two starts haven't been that bad - 10TH
B - #4 Stopchargingmaria (7/2) - has run well on a wet track, needs to step forward off last out, but definite win shot - WIN
C - #3 Shanon Nicole (6-1) - fits here, but will need to work a trip from the inside - 8TH
D - #6 Arethusa (8-1) - has been running against much better, but not sure she'll get the pace she needs - 6TH
E - #8 Sloane Square (5-1) - should be up front and shouldn't mind the off going - 9TH
Multi-Race Horses - 5,4,3,6
Suggest Plays:
There will be plenty of value in the Exacta.
$1 - 5,4 / 5,4,3,6 = $6
$1 - 5,4,3,6 / 5,4 = $6
Race 11 - 6f Miss Preakness Stakes - Action+
A - #8 Jojo Warrior (5/2) - comes right back from Eight Belles at Cd, shouldn't mind the wet surface, really like the post, excellent win chance - 3RD
B - #9 Our Lesmis (5-1) - has a win over the wet track, may sit a great trip from the outside post - 7TH
C - #6 Tepin (9/2) - 1st out in 2014, kind of a toss up - 8TH
D - #4 Miss Behaviour (8-1) - 2nd out in 2014 and should offer some value in the exotics, is 2 for 2 at this distance - WIN
E - #5 Tea Time (7/2) - speed and class drops, shouldn't mind the wet going - 4TH
Multi-Race Horses - 8,9,6
Suggest Plays:
Race 12 - 1-3/16 Pimlico Special G3 - Play
A - #6 Revolutionary (5/2) - will not be bothered by the wet going, like the post and ran a good 2nd last out to Will Take Charge - WIN $6.40
B - #3 Moreno (7/2) - will be on the lead, has run well on a wet track, not sure he can hold on at this distance - 4TH
C - #5 Carve (5-1) - ran a good race last out, seems to be moving forward - 7TH
D - #4 Golden Lad (6-1) - ran well in the Razorback on the off going, fits here, but not sure he can get the best of the top 2 - 8TH
E - #8 Prayer for Relief (12-1) - 6 year old will offer some value if he can run himself into the exotics, has a definite shot to do that - 2ND
Multi-Race Horses - 6,3,5
Suggest Plays:
$0.50 - 6,3 / 6,3 / 5,4,8,2,1 = $5
$0.50 - 6,3 / 6,3 / 5,4,8 = $3
$0.50 - 6,3 / 5,4,8,2,1 / 6,3 = $5
$0.50 - 6,3 / 5,4,8 / 5,4,8 = $6
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