Monday, May 26, 2014

5-26-2014 - Gulfstream Park Races 5-10 - Rainbow Pick 6

Belmont Stakes Stats Guide
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Gulfstream Park Races 5-10 - Rainbow Pick 6 & Pick 4
I am posting these selections different than normal.  I am classifying horses into A, B or C as this will help me build the tickets below.  Each one of these (A, B or C) can have a single horse or multiple horses and sometimes I will not use any horses in C.

A - Top horse(s), definite need to use
B - Horses that offer value or feel like I need to cover on saver tickets to survive
C - On the bubble horses, only use where I need to spread
 

Race 5 - 1-1/16mi MSW TURF
A - #3 Fehsenfeld (8-1), #4 Skip's World (5-1)
B - #10 Steel N Pack (3-1)
C - #6 Are We Not Men (15-1), #5 Wall Street Kitten (4-1), #8 Prince Warrior (20-1)


Race 6 - 6-1/2f MSW
A - #8 Pekinesa (5/2), #7 Quinnkat (10-1)
B - #4 One Look (12-1)
C - #2 Lady Anita (20-1), #10 Sophia's Pride (10-1), #5 Miss Away (20-1), #11 Distinctive Lady (11-1)


 
Race 7 - 1-1/16mi OC TURF
A - #8 Joes Blazing Aaron (3-1)
B - #3 Alley Oop Oop (5-1), #12 Philly Ace (5/2)
C - #1 My Best Brother (8-1)



Race 8 - 6f Clm
A - #4 Hot Cotton (7/2)
B - #11 Karla and Me (3-1), #5 Javamine (5-1), #8 Starship Melody (10-1)
C - #10 Double Interest (8-1)


Race 9 - 1-1/16mi OC TURF
A - #9 Cage Fighter (5/2)
B - #7 Balthazar (3-1), #12 Start Up (6-1)
C - #3 Charlie the Boss (5-1)


Race 10 - 1-1/16mi Md TURF
A - #6 Senorita Sangria (4-1), #5 Tohaveandtohold (3-1)
B - #7 Sofialeonor (5-1)
C - #12 Kimberly Is That U (6-1), #11 Lucasta (12-1) 


Plays
$0.20 Rainbow Pick 6 - Races 5-10
The play below cost $172.20 spread over 10 tickets.  I would suggest playing the $34 Pick 4 play below as well.  I have my best ideas in those 4 races and those Pick 4 tickets provide excellent backup in case something goes wrong in the first two races.  Plus, it gives you the opportunity to hit both bets.  The Pick 6 tickets are built around the idea that I am only going to be wrong in so many races and leaning heavy on the races where I feel I am most likely to be right (Races 7,8,9).

Top ticket - A's and B's in races 5,6,10 and all A's in 7,8,9
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 8 / 4 / 9 / 6,5,7 = $5.40

Tickets with 2 sets A's in Races 7,8,9 and 1 set of B's in Races 7,8,9
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 3,12,1 / 4 / 9 / 6,5,7 = $16.20
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 8 / 8,11,5,10 / 9 / 6,5,7 = $21.60
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 8 / 4 / 7,12,3 / 6,5,7 = $16.20

Tickets with 1 set of A's in Races 7,8,9 and 2 sets of B's in Races 7,8,9
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 3,12 / 11,5 / 9 / 6,5,7 = $21.60
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 3,12 / 4 / 7,12 / 6,5,7 = $21.60
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 8 / 11,5 / 7,12 / 6,5,7 = $21.60

Tickets that spread to C's in Races 5,6 and 10, Singles the A in race 9
$0.20 - 6,5,8 / 8,7,4 / 8,3 / 4,11 / 9 / 6,5 = $14.40
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 2,10,5,11 / 8,3 / 4,11 / 9 / 6,5 = $19.20
$0.20 - 3,4,10 / 8,7,4 / 8,3 / 4,11 / 9 / 12,11 = $14.40   


$0.50 Pick 4 - Races 7-10
$34 play spread over 4 tickets with chances to hit multiple times.

$0.50 - 8 / 4 / 9,7,12 / 6,5,12,7 = $6
$0.50 - 8 / 4,11,5 / 9 / 6,5,12,7 = $6
$0.50 - 8,3,12 / 4 / 9 / 6,5,12,7 = $6
$0.50 - 8,3 / 4,11 / 9,12 / 6,5,12,7 = $16  

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