Saturday, April 20, 2013

Pimlico 4-20-2013

Updated for scratches and plays 1:05pm.

Card Notes- I didn't have time to write why I like or disliked each of my top 5, but always tried to give a reason for the winner.

My Race Rating System-  I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets 


Multirace Bets- 
Pick 3 - Races 2,3,4
$0.50 - 2,1 / 4 / 6,1 = $2
$0.50 - 2,1,4 / 4,3,6 / 6,1 = $9  

Pick 4 - Races 7,8,9,10
$0.50 - 1,6,4 / 5,2,1,7 / 2,7 / 14 = $12 

Pick 3 - Race 9,10,11
$1 - 2 / 14 / 7 = $1
$0.50 - 2,7 / 14 / 7,8 = $2

 


Race 1 - 1-1/16 miles MSW - Action+
A - #2 Oasis At Midnight (9/5) - decent beyers, really like work pattern since Gp start
B - #4 Classy Broad (3-1) - like the flash of speed last out
C - #1 Miss Moonshine (5/2)
D - #3 Makayla's Angel (8-1)
E - #6 What You Know (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

2,4,1

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$1 - 2,4 / 2,4,1 = $4




Race 2 - 6f Claiming - Action
A - #2 Dancing Roman (7/2) - best speed
B - #1 Hot Escapade (5/2) - should be close with good trip, good in money record at distance
C - #4 Oopers Here (9/2)
D - #9 Pure Rey (6-1)

E - #3 Obviously Tuesday (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

2,1,4

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:




Race 3 - 1-1/16 miles OFF TURF Claiming - Action
A - #4 Dahteste - could wire field
B - #3 Monster Sleeping - could be there is speed fails
C - #6 Sweet Maxine
D - #11 Jaggermama
E - #8 Alpha Darlin

Multi-Race Horses-

A - 4

B - 3,6  

Race Notes-



Race 4 - 6f Claiming - Play
A - #6 How Convenient (9/5) - class drop, seems one of two best in here
B - #1 Wildhaassseee (7/5) - best beyers
C - #5 Roccamo (6-1)
D - #4 Flattering (12-1)
E - #7 He's a Gman (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

6,1

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$1 - 6,1 / 6,1,5 / 6,1,5 = $4

$0.50 - 6,1 / 6,1 / 5,7,2 = $3



Race 6 - 6f Claiming - Action
A - #5 Harbor Fox (7/2) - may get uncontested lead
B - #3 Sasta Go Lucky (10-1) - likes this distance
C - #4 Banner Elk Lady (5/2)
D - #7 Miso Good (9/5)
E - #2 Royale Haror (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

5,3,4,7

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:





Race 7 - 5f OFF TURF Stormy Blues Stakes - Action+
A - #1 Sense of Reality - runs well on dirt, hopefully class will prevail, but may run out of room

B - #6 Shenandoah Lady - should be close to pace all the way
C - #4 Ek Haseena
D - #10 Jewel of a Cat
E - #7 Zip Cash Back

Multi-Race Horses-

1,6,4

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:




Race 8 - 6f OC - Action
A - #5 Do You Smell Smoke (10-1) - Gp shipper, with a nice class drop, will need best

B - #2 Volastic (9/2) - drops from open claiming company
C - #1 Grand Mast (8/5) - big beyer will insure an under lay here, don't like post, 2 for 2 @ dist
D - #7 Banner Boy (6-1)
E - #3 Hurler (6-1)

Multi-Race Horses-

5,2,1,7

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

 

 

 
Race 9 - 6f Primonetta Stakes - Play
A - #2 Irish Exchange (10-1) - closer can get it done if speed fails

B - #7 Bold Affair (Even) - can get it done, lots of class, loves Pim, maybe easy winner with scratch of #4
C - #8 Srumdiddlyuptious
D - #6 Exclusive Warrior
E - #5 Enchante

Multi-Race Horses-

2,7

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$1- 2,7 / 2,7,8 / 2,7,8 = $4
$0.50 - 2,7 / 2,7,8 / 2,7,8,6,5 = $6



Race 10 - 1-1/16mi OFF TURF Henry Clark Stakes - Play
A - #14 Eighttofasttocatch - may very well wire these
B - #16 Lubango
C - #9 Concealed Indentity
D - #10 See Tobe
E - #
15 Done Talking

Multi-Race Horses-

14

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:
 
$0.50 - 14 / 16,9 / 16,9,10,15 = $3



Race 11 - 6f Claiming - Play
A - #7 No More Fives (5-1) - Lone Speed, could wire field
B - #8 Lookin for Me (3-1)
C - #2 Not That I Know Of (6-1)
D - #4 Mi Preciosa (6-1)
E - #
6 Promenade Home (7/2)

Multi-Race Horses-

7,8

Race Notes-


Suggested Plays:

$10 Win #7 = $10
$1 - 8,2 / 7 = $2

1 comment:

  1. I thought I would check it out. I've registered at PaceAdvantage like a week ago, but I'm still not allowed to post there. I've never been one to follow Pimlico, but I may check into it. If I do, I may post my thoughts on a race or two. It all depends on whether I'm able to find some free PPs on 365horses.

    ReplyDelete