Saturday, March 15, 2014

2014 Rebel Stakes - Oaklawn Park

Rebel Stakes Stats Guide
Here is the stats guide for the Rebel Stakes. The link below will take you to my website where you can download the .pdf guide. It's free, enjoy!

The guide follows the same format as the others with stats on post position, running style, post time favorite, average running times, top 4 finishers by last race finish, top 4 finishers by last race track, payouts (average, high and low), key horses and a winners list from the previous 20 years.

Click the link below to view or download the Guide on our website:
Rebel Stakes Stats Guide


Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race, but winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - can usually key A & B horses in exotics.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.
Prime - Excellent race to key or single in the exotics.


Rebel Stakes - Pre Scratches.


Race 11 - 1-1/16mi Rebel Stakes G1 - Play
A - #3 Tapiture (9/5) - looked great winning the Southwest, though it was with a great trip.  Stats for the post time favorite and horses that have run above par in any Kentucky Derby prep race make him a really good exotic key.
B - #8 Kobe's Back (7/2)
C - #4 Strong Mandate (2-1)
D - #5 Hoppertunity (10-1)
E - #7 Street Strategy (8-1)

Multi-Race Horses - 3,8,4

Suggest Plays:

Trifecta $13 Play - uses the 3 has a key horse
$0.50 - 3 / 8,4 / 8,4 = $1
$0.50 - 3 / 8,4 / 8,4,5,7,2 = $4
$0.50 - 8,4 / 3 / 8,4,5,7 = $3
$0.50 - 8,4 / 8,4,5,7 / 3 = $3
$0.50 - 5,7 / 3 / 8,4 = $2   

Superfecta $8.40 Play - uses the 3 as a key horse and to make the most of the selections it can hit twice if the 3 runs first and the 8 and 4 run second and third
$0.10 - 3 / 8,4 / 8,4,5,7 / 8,4,5,7,2 = $1.80
$0.10 - 3 / 8,4,5,7 / 8,4 / 8,4,5,7,2 = $1.80
$0.10 - 8,4 / 3 / 8,4,5,7 / 8,4,5,7,2 = $1.80
$0.10 - 8,4 / 8,4,5,7 / 3 / 8,4,5,7,2 = $1.80
$0.10 - 5,7 / 3 / 8,4 / 8,4,5,7,2 = $1.20

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