Colonial Downs 6-15-2013 - All Races Except 2,8

Updated 5:45pm.

Card Notes-
The card has the potential to be a little chalky, from a winner standpoint.  However, there are some longer shots that could complete the exotics which would boost payouts.

My Race Rating System-
I always give you 5 picks in each race to help you fill out your exotic bets.  In some races I may not use all 5 in my bets.  The A horse is ALWAYS my selected winner.  If no suggested plays are listed then I would not consider betting the race.  See the key below for how I label the races.

Weak - Poor races to invest in.  Usually too wide open.  Winner possible outside of my top 5.
Action - Some clarity in the race.  Possible use in Multirace or small Exacta bet.  Winner likely in top 4 or 5.
Play - Lots of clarity in the race.  Good Exacta or Trifecta play.  Can usually get by with A or B horse in the Multi Race bets.
Prime - Excellent betting race or multirace single.  Single in Exacta, Trifecta or Multi Race bets

Multirace Bets-
None



Race 1 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Clm - Play
A - #1a My Queen (8/5) - has beat better, but may get hung wide, coupled with #1 Bridge Night
B - #11 Phantasticus (3-1) - note turf beyers from 2012 are good enough vs these
C - #7 Arrestedforpassion (20-1) - runs some decent #'s on turf, class drop, value
D - #5 Cherry Wildcat (6-1) - drops from op 9k, can really close
E - #3 Darn Proud (15-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
1-1a, 11, 7

Race Notes-
The 1 & 1a are my top 2 horses, if one scratches, just replace top spot with other one.

Suggested Plays:
$3 - 1-1a / 11 / 7 = $3
$2 - 1-1a / 7 / 11 = $2
$1 - 1-1a,11 / 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 = $6
$0.50 - 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 / 7,5,3 = $6
$2 - 11 / 1-1a / 7 = $2
$0.50 - 1-1a,11 / 7,5,3 / 1-1a,11 = $3



Race 3 - 5-1/2f INNER TURF Md Clm - Play 
A - #7 Ramsey Branch (9/5) - drops from MSW, may have best early SP
B - #3 Mott (7/2) - good early SP, pedigree, still may be a cut below
C - #6 Meant Every Tear (9/2) - trainer 28% 1st Start, 39% Debut Md Clm, solid work tab
D - #1 Get On Bob (12-1)
E - #4 Citizen Chris (4-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
7,3,6

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 
$5 - 7 / 3 / 6 = $5
$3 - 7 / 6 / 3 = $3
$5 - 3 / 7 / 6 = $5
$0.50 - 7 / 3,6,1,4 / 3,6,1,4 = $6
$0.50 - 3 / 7 / 1,4 = $1
$0.50 - 3 / 6,1,4 / 7 = $1.50



Race 4 - 5-1/2f TURF Clm - Play
A - #1 Fixin the Books (8/5) - class drop, good early speed
B - #10 Let's Play Two (5/2) - not crazy about Ct shippers, but early speed, has run well on turf
C - #2 Highstar (7/2) - class drop, good closer, trouble last out, not sure she can get up in time
D - #4 Fancy Attitude (20-1) - class drop, plenty of trouble to forgive lone turf start, value
E - #7 Heirrogant One (10-1)

Multi-Race Horses-
1,10,2

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays:
$5 - 1 /10 / 2 = $5
$3 - 1 / 2 / 10 = $3
$5 - 10 / 1 / 2 = $5
$0.50 - 1 / 10,2,4,7 / 10,2,4,7 = $6
$0.50 - 10 / 1 / 4,7 = $1
$0.50 - 10 / 2,4,7 / 1 = $1.50



Race 5 - 5f TURF MSW - Action
A - #1a Lemon Cookie (9/5) - flashed SP last out, trainer 30% with 1st Turf
B - #5 Country Sunshine (7/2) - Smith does well with 2yr olds and Russell doesn't hurt either
C - #4 One More Son (5-1)
D - #2 Offlee Worthy (5-1)
E - #8 O Reeley (15)

Multi-Race Horses-  
1a,5,4,2,8

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 




Race 6 - 5-1/2f sAlw - Action
A - #6 Whatsnottolike (Even) - Speed horse with big beyer, but that was lone turf start, still seems like a giant here
B - #4 Dan's Last Stand (5-1) - will be closing from just off the pace, class drop, 4-6 in Exacta at distance
C - #9 April's Dixie Bell (6-1) - will close from off the pace, not sure he can get there, but presence of Russell helps
D - #5 So Serene (15-1) - class drop, runs well at Cnl and distance
E - #10 Queen of the Disco (15-1) - always closes late

Multi-Race Horses- 
6,4,9,5

Race Notes-

Suggested Plays: 



Race 7 - 1 mile INNER TURF OC - Action
A - #8 Art of the Hunt (4-1) - has paired up two nice beyers within a length of par
B - #9  Reel Victory (9/2) - comes form open claiming company with good beyers
C - #6 Alamanda Drive (12-1) - comes from open 14K claiming, early SP
D - #2 Kiss the Stars (8/5) - classic horse not to bet, more than 1 year layoff, only 3 published workouts and is in for a tag, extremely vulnerable favorite
E - #3 Moral High Ground (8-1)

Multi-Race Horses- 
8,9,6,2

Race Notes-
If you have a good opinion, this is a great race to try to beat the 8/5 favorite, I just don't have a great clarity in this race.

Suggested Plays: